Tulikivi Oyj A (TULAV) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Tulikivi Oyj A €0.25, price €0.57, upside -56.1%, quality 41 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €0.3390 – €0.8619 · fair‑value band €0.1400 – €0.3600 · the €0.5700 price screens above the €0.2500 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Tulikivi Corporation manufactures and sells fireplaces, sauna heaters, and interior stone products in Finland, the United States, and rest of Europe. It offers heat-retaining and convection fireplaces; electric sauna and wood burning heaters; sauna control panel and smoke sauna heaters; and soapstone tiles.
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Tulikivi Corporation manufactures and sells fireplaces, sauna heaters, and interior stone products in Finland, the United States, and rest of Europe. It offers heat-retaining and convection fireplaces; electric sauna and wood burning heaters; sauna control panel and smoke sauna heaters; and soapstone tiles. The company was founded in 1893 and is headquartered in Juuka, Finland.
Stock analysis
Tulikivi Oyj A (TULAV) currently trades at €0.5700, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €0.2500, implying the stock looks roughly 128.0% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of €0.2200 per share, and 0 of the 12 models we run sit above the €0.5700 price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at €0.0700, and 12 of the 12 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: €0.1400 (bear) to €0.3600 (bull), the price of €0.5700 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Tulikivi Oyj A reported revenue of €29.5M in FY2025 versus €33.5M in FY2021, a compound −3.1%/yr. Reported net income was −€1.1M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap €31.4M · P/S ratio 1.04 · EPS (TTM) €−0.0300 · Dividend yield 1.8% · Net margin −3.7% · Return on equity −7.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.5% · Operating margin −13.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 34% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −20% fair-value upside, at −56%, TULAV screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear €0.1400Fair Value €0.2500Bull €0.3600
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.23/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
−11.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−12.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −0.8% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.8%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
4.0% (2020) → −2.7% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+22.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +20.2% a year for the price.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (96 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Very negative
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Building Products & Equipment · 253 stocks
Beats the industry median on 1/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score41 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−56% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−4% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−14% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth5% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)1.8% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.44× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Building Products & Equipment median · lower = cheaper
P/B2.10× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM)1.16× · Pricier than median
P/FCF44.6× · Priciest 25%
PEG21.81× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 14
FUTURE (revenue growth)24· sector 11
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 23
HEALTH (low debt)78· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)36· sector 42
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Tulikivi Oyj A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TULAV
Frequently asked questions
Is Tulikivi Oyj A (TULAV) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €0.2500 versus a price of €0.5700, about −56% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TULAV?
Our model-based fair value for Tulikivi Oyj A is €0.2500 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €0.5700.
What is the quality score of TULAV?
Tulikivi Oyj A has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Tulikivi Oyj A (TULAV)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €0.2500 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 12 valuation models. Cautious scenario €0.1400, optimistic scenario €0.3600. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Tulikivi Oyj A stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €0.2500, about −56% upside versus a price of €0.5700 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €0.1400, optimistic scenario €0.3600. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Tulikivi Oyj A (TULAV)?
Tulikivi Oyj A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €30.8M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Tulikivi Oyj A pay a dividend?
Tulikivi Oyj A currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.82% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Tulikivi Oyj A (TULAV)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Tulikivi Oyj A would have to grow free cash flow by +22.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +0.2 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of TULAV use?
Our models discount Tulikivi Oyj A at 8.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.20, country premium for Finland. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Tulikivi Oyj A that is +22.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Tulikivi Oyj A (TULAV) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Tulikivi Oyj A grew +0.2 % a year. The price currently implies +22.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Tulikivi Oyj A (TULAV) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Tulikivi Oyj A (+22.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Tulikivi Oyj A (TULAV)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.55 %: that much free cash flow Tulikivi Oyj A produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Tulikivi Oyj A (TULAV)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Tulikivi Oyj A it is €0.2500 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of €0.5700. It is the blended result of 12 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Tulikivi Oyj A stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, TULAV trades above its calculated fair value: price €0.5700, fair value €0.2500, a gap of about −56% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TULAV?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€0.5700); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€0.2500). For Tulikivi Oyj A the two are €0.3200 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Tulikivi Oyj A worth?
The market values Tulikivi Oyj A at about €31.4M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is €0.5700; our models calculate a fair value of €0.2500 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TULAV?
Our models span a range for Tulikivi Oyj A: cautious scenario €0.1400, base €0.2500, optimistic €0.3600 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price €0.5700). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of TULAV?
The PEG ratio of Tulikivi Oyj A is 21.81 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Tulikivi Oyj A (TULAV)?
Balance-sheet figures for Tulikivi Oyj A (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −7.7%, debt of 0.44 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 41/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is TULAV from its 52-week high?
Tulikivi Oyj A trades at €0.5700, about 12% below its 52-week high of €0.6480 and 34% above the low of €0.4253 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €0.2500 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Tulikivi Oyj A?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Trane Technologies plc, Johnson Controls International plc, Carrier Global Corporation, Compagnie de Saint-Gobain S.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Tulikivi Oyj A stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price €0.5700, calculated fair value €0.2500 (−56%), Quality Score 41/100, from 12 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TULAV calculated?
We run Tulikivi Oyj A through 12 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €0.2500, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Tulikivi Oyj A itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Tulikivi Oyj A (TULAV)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was €0.5700. Our model-based fair value is €0.2500, about −56% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Tulikivi Oyj A right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€0.3600). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (€0.1400 to €0.3600) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Tulikivi Oyj A
How large is the market capitalisation of Tulikivi Oyj A (TULAV)?
The market capitalisation of Tulikivi Oyj A is €31.4M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Tulikivi Oyj A (TULAV)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Tulikivi Oyj A is 1.04 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Tulikivi Oyj A (TULAV)?
Earnings per share at Tulikivi Oyj A are €−0.0300. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Tulikivi Oyj A (TULAV)?
The dividend yield of Tulikivi Oyj A is 1.8%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Tulikivi Oyj A (TULAV)?
The net margin of Tulikivi Oyj A is −3.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Tulikivi Oyj A (TULAV)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Tulikivi Oyj A is −7.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Tulikivi Oyj A (TULAV)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Tulikivi Oyj A is 7.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Tulikivi Oyj A (TULAV)?
The operating margin of Tulikivi Oyj A is −13.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Tulikivi Oyj A (TULAV)?
Revenue at Tulikivi Oyj A is growing +4.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg −12.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Tulikivi Oyj A (TULAV)?
Earnings per share at Tulikivi Oyj A are growing −25.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Tulikivi Oyj A (TULAV) carry?
The net debt of Tulikivi Oyj A is €11.3M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 14.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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