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Tivan Limited (TVN) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · AU · Market cap A$681M

PriceA$0.2650
Fair ValueA$0.0500
Upside-81.1%
Quality95/100
Evidence: Low Range A$0.0400 – A$0.0600

Analysis

Tivan Limited (TVN) currently trades at A$0.2650, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0500 — implying the stock looks roughly 81.1% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

About the company

Tivan Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, evaluation, and development of mineral properties in Australia. It explores for critical mineral, fluorite, vanadium, titanium, silver, lead, copper, tungsten, and lithium deposits. The company focuses on the 100% owned Speewah fluorite and vanadium projects located in the Kimberley region of north-east Western Australia. It also develops and commercializes TIVAN+ critical minerals processing technology for the recovery of vanadium. The company holds 30% interest in exploration licence EL22349 and 100% interest in mining leases of ML33904, ML79, ML3905, ML33903 and ML86. The company was formerly known as TNG Limited and changed its name to Tivan Limited in January 2023. Tivan Limited was incorporated in 1970 and is headquartered in Darwin, Australia.

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How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.