Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure Ltd (TWM) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · CA · Market cap C$414M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated yesterday
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from C$5.57 to C$11.14 (+100.0%) since Jul 14, 2026. Share price +17.6% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 50% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (C$16.62). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (34/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range (C$8.32 to C$16.62) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range C$4.39 – C$636.53 · fair‑value band C$8.32 – C$16.62 · the C$22.32 price screens above the C$11.14 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure Ltd (TWM) currently trades at C$22.32, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$11.14, implying the stock looks roughly 50.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure Ltd generated revenue of C$1.4B at a net margin of -7.7%. Revenue grew 24.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -41.9%. Net debt stands at C$574M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from C$8.32 (bear case) to C$16.62 (bull case); at C$22.32, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 77% below its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -39% fair-value upside, at -50%, TWM screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 31 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 42
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure Ltd. operates as a downstream, midstream, and infrastructure company in Western Canada and the United States. It primarily focuses on processing natural gas, natural gas liquids (NGLs), crude oil, refined products, and renewable products and services, as well as refining of light oil.
Full company description
Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure Ltd. operates as a downstream, midstream, and infrastructure company in Western Canada and the United States. It primarily focuses on processing natural gas, natural gas liquids (NGLs), crude oil, refined products, and renewable products and services, as well as refining of light oil. The company also engages in the sale of refined products, including low sulfur diesel, renewable diesel, and gasoline; natural gas, NGL extraction, as well as renewable fuels and emissions credits; and purchases, transports, sells, stores and blends both NGLs and crude oil. The company was incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure Ltd reported revenue of C$1.3B in FY2025 versus C$1.7B in FY2021, a compound −6.1%/yr. Reported net income was −C$112M in FY2025.
TWM screens 50% overvalued. Compare with Enbridge Inc →
Peer Group
Oil & Gas Midstream · 90 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Midstream median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas Midstream stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Enbridge Inc ENB | $51.44 | $35.83 | -30% |
| The Williams Companies, Inc WMB | $73.70 | $11.73 | -84% |
| Enterprise Products Partners L.P. EPD | $37.92 | $24.74 | -35% |
| TC Energy Corporation TRP | C$88.72 | C$24.53 | -72% |
| Kinder Morgan, Inc KMI | $31.73 | $10.92 | -66% |
| Energy Transfer LP, ET | $20.95 | $11.45 | -45% |
| MPLX LP owns and MPLX | $59.94 | $36.42 | -39% |
| ONEOK, Inc OKE | $92.47 | $58.62 | -37% |
| Targa Resources Corp TRGP | $268.67 | $79.61 | -70% |
| Cheniere Energy, Inc LNG | $268.11 | $199.99 | -25% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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