Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure Ltd (TWM) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 28, 2026: fair value of Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure Ltd C$9.47, price C$24.25, upside -61.0%, quality 26 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range C$4.39 – C$636.53 · fair‑value band C$7.06 – C$14.13 · the C$24.25 price screens above the C$9.47 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure Ltd. operates as a downstream, midstream, and infrastructure company in Western Canada and the United States. It primarily focuses on processing natural gas, natural gas liquids (NGLs), crude oil, refined products, and renewable products and services, as well as refining of light oil.
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Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure Ltd. operates as a downstream, midstream, and infrastructure company in Western Canada and the United States. It primarily focuses on processing natural gas, natural gas liquids (NGLs), crude oil, refined products, and renewable products and services, as well as refining of light oil. The company also engages in the sale of refined products, including low sulfur diesel, renewable diesel, and gasoline; natural gas, NGL extraction, as well as renewable fuels and emissions credits; and purchases, transports, sells, stores and blends both NGLs and crude oil. The company was incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.
Stock analysis
Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure Ltd (TWM) currently trades at C$24.25, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$9.47, implying the stock looks roughly 156.1% overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 91/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: C$7.06 (bear) to C$14.13 (bull), the price of C$24.25 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 26/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure Ltd reported revenue of C$1.3B in FY2025 versus C$1.7B in FY2021, a compound −6.1%/yr. Reported net income was −C$112M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap C$650M (≈ $458M) · P/S ratio 0.28 · EPS (TTM) C$−3.52 · Net margin −8.5% · Return on equity −29.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.4% · Operating margin 3.6% · Revenue (TTM) C$1.6B.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 27 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high and 432% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −21% fair-value upside, at −61%, TWM screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear C$7.06Fair Value C$9.47Bull C$14.13
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.19/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−19.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−22.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +50.9% a year
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+50.9%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
4.9% (2020) → −4.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas Midstream · 83 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score24 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−61.0% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−0.9% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−4.8% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)3.6% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth62.1% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity2.16× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas Midstream median · lower = cheaper
P/B2.51× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM)0.29× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA17.9× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 21
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 61
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 47
HEALTH (low debt)0· sector 55
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 83
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TWM
Frequently asked questions
Is Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure Ltd (TWM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$9.47 versus a price of C$24.25, about −61% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TWM?
Our model-based fair value for Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure Ltd is C$9.47 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: C$24.25.
What is the quality score of TWM?
Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure Ltd has a Quality Score of 26/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure Ltd (TWM)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of C$9.47 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario C$7.06, optimistic scenario C$14.13. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at C$9.47, about −61% upside versus a price of C$24.25 (overvalued). Cautious scenario C$7.06, optimistic scenario C$14.13. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure Ltd (TWM)?
Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$1.6B (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure Ltd (TWM)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure Ltd it is C$9.47 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of C$24.25. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, TWM trades above its calculated fair value: price C$24.25, fair value C$9.47, a gap of about −61% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TWM?
No. The price is what the market pays today (C$24.25); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (C$9.47). For Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure Ltd the two are C$14.78 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure Ltd worth?
The market values Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure Ltd at about C$650M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is C$24.25; our models calculate a fair value of C$9.47 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TWM?
Our models span a range for Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure Ltd: cautious scenario C$7.06, base C$9.47, optimistic C$14.13 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price C$24.25). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure Ltd (TWM)?
Balance-sheet figures for Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −29.7%, debt of 2.16 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 26/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is TWM from its 52-week high?
Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure Ltd trades at C$24.25, about 3% below its 52-week high of C$24.92 and 432% above the low of C$4.56 (as of Sep 28, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of C$9.47 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure Ltd?
From the same area (Energy) we also value Enbridge Inc, The Williams Companies, Inc, Enterprise Products Partners L.P., Energy Transfer LP,, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price C$24.25, calculated fair value C$9.47 (−61%), Quality Score 26/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TWM calculated?
We run Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of C$9.47, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure Ltd (TWM)?
The closing price on Sep 28, 2026 was C$24.25. Our model-based fair value is C$9.47, about −61% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (C$14.13). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (26/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (C$7.06 to C$14.13) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure Ltd (TWM)?
The market capitalisation of Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure Ltd is C$650M (≈ $458M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure Ltd (TWM)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure Ltd is 0.28 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure Ltd (TWM)?
Earnings per share at Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure Ltd are C$−3.52. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure Ltd (TWM)?
The net margin of Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure Ltd is −8.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure Ltd (TWM)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure Ltd is −29.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure Ltd (TWM)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure Ltd is 1.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure Ltd (TWM)?
The operating margin of Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure Ltd is 3.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure Ltd (TWM)?
Revenue at Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure Ltd is growing +62.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −22.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure Ltd (TWM)?
Earnings per share at Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure Ltd are growing −74.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure Ltd (TWM) generate?
The free cash flow of Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure Ltd is −C$11.8M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure Ltd (TWM) carry?
The net debt of Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure Ltd is C$574M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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