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Toyota Industries Corporation (TYIDY) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $38.7B

TI Toyota Industries Corporation logo Toyota Industries Corporation TYIDY · US
Price$128.00
Fair Value$104.48
Upside-18.4%
Quality48/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 5.1% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (2/10)
Narrow moat 31/100
Evidence: High Range $78.36 – $130.60 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated yesterday

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $83.23 to $104.48 (+25.5%) since Jul 21, 2026. Share price +5.6% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 18% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • Our model range runs from $78.36 (bear) to $130.60 (bull), base $104.48. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 48/100 (below-average quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$132.56 $45.06 Fair Value $104.48 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $45.06 – $132.56 · fair‑value band $78.36 – $130.60 · the $128.00 price screens above the $104.48 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Toyota Industries Corporation (TYIDY) currently trades at $128.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $104.48, implying the stock looks roughly 18.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Toyota Industries Corporation generated revenue of $4.4T at a net margin of 5.1%. Revenue grew 7.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.8%. Net debt stands at $1.3T. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $78.36 (bear case) to $130.60 (bull case); at $128.00, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -16% fair-value upside, at -18%, TYIDY screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $45.92 $85.85 $148.99 80
Rev-Margin DCF $34.17 $66.58 $105.23 74
ROIC Compounder $18.61 $25.00 $30.60 72
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $45.24 $85.75 $149.91 38
Owner Earnings $104.92 $182.65 $305.72 31
5Y Revenue Exit $34.17 $66.55 $108.25 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $92.33 $178.38 $281.64 41
5Y P/E Exit $61.92 $119.92 $182.41 38
10Y Revenue Exit $35.92 $66.87 $109.47 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $74.98 $145.68 $245.26 37
10Y P/E Exit $55.38 $104.48 $167.55 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $43.38 $153.34 $206.36 54
Lynch FV $35.91 $51.30 $66.68 50
PEG = 1.0 $35.91 $51.30 $66.68 46
EPV $18.61 $25.00 $30.60 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $100.49 $133.98 $167.48 63
P/S Multiple $81.35 $108.46 $135.58 58
P/B Multiple $81.35 $108.46 $135.58 55
EV/EBIT $50.40 $73.79 $97.18 53
EV/EBITDA $132.03 $182.63 $233.23 54
EV/Revenue $30.32 $51.78 $73.24 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $91.43 $122.52 $182.87 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $45.92 $85.85 $148.99 80
Rev-Margin DCF $34.17 $66.58 $105.23 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $134.28 $131.54 $114.63 61
ROIC Compounder $18.61 $25.00 $30.60 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $69.40 $99.14 $128.88 68

Widest divergence: Asset-Based ($122.52) versus Economic Profit ($25.00). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $4.4T
Revenue growth (YoY) +7.9%
Net margin 5.1%
Return on equity 3.8%
Free cash flow $206B FY2026
P/E ratio 27.5
More key figures
Operating margin 4.2%
EPS (TTM) $4.62
EPS growth (YoY) -4.8%
Net debt $1.3T FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 48/100

Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 59

Profitability 25
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 38
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 45
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 59
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 40
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 77
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 45
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 62
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 96
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Toyota Industries Corporation engages in the manufacture and sale of textile machinery, materials handling equipment, automobiles, and automobile parts in Japan, the United States, and internationally. The company operates through the Automobile, Materials Handling, and Textile Machinery segments.

Full company description

Toyota Industries Corporation engages in the manufacture and sale of textile machinery, materials handling equipment, automobiles, and automobile parts in Japan, the United States, and internationally. The company operates through the Automobile, Materials Handling, and Textile Machinery segments. It provides internal combustion telematics, lift truck training, and end-to-end warehouse solutions, as well as electric lift trucks comprising reach trucks, pallet jacks, pallet stackers, sit-down and stand-up counterbalanced lift trucks, order pickers, and turret trucks under the TOYOTA, RAYMOND, and CESAB brands. The company also offers vehicles; engines, including engines for automobiles, industrial engines, foundry parts, and turbochargers; car air-conditioning compressors comprising electric compressors, continuous variable-displacement type and fixed-displacement type compressors, aluminum die-cast products, and products for fuel cell electric vehicles; car electronics, such as DC-DC converters, DC-AC inverters, and on-board chargers; batteries; and stamping dies. In addition, it develops, manufactures, and markets textile machinery, including weaving and spinning machineries. Toyota Industries Corporation was incorporated in 1926 and is headquartered in Kariya-shi, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Toyota Industries Corporation reported revenue of $4.6T in FY2026 versus $2.7T in FY2022, a compound +14.4%/yr. Reported net income was $237B in FY2026, compounding +7.1%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 85/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
$4.6T
Latest YoY
+13.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+16.9%
Avg. growth/yr (29Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.8%
Revenue +14.4%/yr
FY22 $2.7T
FY23 $3.4T
FY24 $3.8T
FY25 $4.1T
FY26 $4.6T
Net income +7.1%/yr
FY22 $180B
FY23 $193B
FY24 $229B
FY25 $262B
FY26 $237B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2015-2026) +6.0 % p.a.
Revenue per share +9.8 pp

of which total revenue +9.5 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.3 pp

EBIT margin −2.8 pp
Tax rate +0.4 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −1.4 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

TYIDY screens 18% overvalued. Compare with Caterpillar Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Toyota Industries Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TYIDY

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery · 149 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 48 · Below median
Fair Value upside −18% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 5% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Revenue growth 8% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.18× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 27.5× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 0.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 9 · sector 21
FUTURE 40 · sector 30
PAST 15 · sector 34
HEALTH 91 · sector 93
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 39

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Caterpillar Inc CAT $855.60 $307.83 -64%
Deere & Company DE $619.77 $182.29 -71%
AB Volvo (publ), VOLVA kr 344.00 kr 288.08 -16%
PACCAR Inc PCAR $131.06 $94.80 -28%
Epiroc AB EPIA kr 254.50 kr 144.14 -43%
Sany Heavy Industry Co 600031 ¥18.91 ¥20.84 +10%
XCMG Construction Machinery Co 000425 ¥8.25 ¥11.79 +43%
Sinotruk (Hong Kong) Limited 3808 HK$41.42 HK$53.57 +29%
Yutong Bus Co 600066 ¥29.82 ¥42.00 +41%
Ashok Leyland Limited ASHOKLEY ₹176.70 ₹118.01 -33%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Toyota Industries Corporation (TYIDY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $104.48 versus a price of $128.00, about −18% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TYIDY?
Our model-based fair value for Toyota Industries Corporation is $104.48 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $128.00.
What is the quality score of TYIDY?
Toyota Industries Corporation has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Toyota Industries Corporation (TYIDY)?
Toyota Industries Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $4.4T (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of TYIDY?
The net profit margin of Toyota Industries Corporation is about 5.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 5.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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