Toyota Motor Corporation (TYT) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Toyota Motor Corporation ¥3,577, price ¥2,857, upside +25.2%, quality 49 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? No
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Toyota Motor Corporation
TYT · LSESpeculativeUpside exists, but weak quality makes the signal speculative.
What runs behind every stock
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 28, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥906.00 – ¥3,769 · fair‑value band ¥1,376 – ¥5,644 · the ¥2,857 price screens below the ¥3,577 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 28, 2026.
Company profile
Toyota Motor Corporation designs, manufactures, assembles, and sells passenger vehicles, minivans and commercial vehicles, and related parts and accessories in Japan, North America, Europe, Asia, Central and South America, Oceania, Africa, the Middle East, and internationally.
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Toyota Motor Corporation designs, manufactures, assembles, and sells passenger vehicles, minivans and commercial vehicles, and related parts and accessories in Japan, North America, Europe, Asia, Central and South America, Oceania, Africa, the Middle East, and internationally. The company operates through Automotive, Financial Services, and All Other segments. The company offers subcompact and compact cars; mini-vehicles; mid-size, luxury, sports, and specialty cars; recreational and sport-utility vehicles; pickup trucks; minivans; trucks; and buses. It also develops and sells battery and hybrid electric vehicles and batteries. In addition, the company provides financial services, such as retail financing and leasing, wholesale financing, insurance, and credit cards. Further, it operates GAZOO.com, a web portal for automobile information, as well as engages in telecommunications and other businesses. It offers vehicles under the Toyota and Lexus brand names. Toyota Motor Corporation was founded in 1933 and is headquartered in Toyota, Japan.
Stock analysis
Toyota Motor Corporation (TYT) currently trades at ¥2,857, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥3,577, implying the stock looks roughly 20.1% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥7,622 per share, and 15 of the 24 models we run sit above the ¥2,857 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at ¥1,835, and 9 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: ¥1,376 (bear) to ¥5,644 (bull), the price of ¥2,857 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Toyota Motor Corporation reported revenue of ¥50.7T in FY2026 versus ¥31.4T in FY2022, a compound +12.7%/yr. Reported net income was ¥3.8T in FY2026, compounding +7.8%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap ¥37.2T (≈ $236B) · P/E ratio 0.1 · EPS (TTM) ¥295.26 · Dividend yield 3.3% · Net margin 7.6% · Return on equity 10.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.5% · Operating margin 4.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 70 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 215% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at 25%, TYT screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
All 26 models by family
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 47
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Forecast
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Compare Toyota Motor Corporation with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Manufacturers · 102 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Manufacturers median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Consumer Discretionary sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: UK Stocks
- Valuation of the UK market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Auto Manufacturers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tesla, Inc TSLA | $354.81 | $40.97 | −88% |
| BYD Company 002594 | ¥83.31 | ¥61.43 | −26% |
| General Motors Company GM | $77.00 | $60.53 | −21% |
| Ferrari N.V RACE | $392.85 | $432.14 | +10% |
| Hyundai Motor Company 005380 | 353,500 KRW | 362,081 KRW | +2% |
| Ford Motor Company F | $12.27 | $12.59 | +3% |
| Dr. Ing. h.c. F. Porsche AG P911 | €43.00 | €22.09 | −49% |
| Mercedes-Benz Group MBG | €39.73 | €106.67 | +169% |
| Honda Motor Co HMC | $31.62 | $20.31 | −36% |
| Volkswagen AG VOW | €67.80 | €248.34 | +266% |
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Frequently asked questions
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Key figures of Toyota Motor Corporation
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