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UOB-KAY HIAN HOLDINGS LIMITED (U10) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · SG · Market cap 3.8B SGD

UK UOB-KAY HIAN HOLDINGS LIMITED U10 · SG
Price4.31 SGD
Fair Value3.16 SGD
Upside-26.7%
Quality43/100
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Weak Growth
Highly profitable · 33.1% net margin
negative free cash flow
3.26% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/12)
Wide moat 73/100
Evidence: High Range 2.37 SGD – 3.95 SGD Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 9 valuation models · updated 4 days ago

Share price +2.1% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 27% overvalued on our models.

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What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (3.95 SGD). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

4.65 SGD 0.9839 SGD Fair Value 3.16 SGD May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 0.9839 SGD – 4.65 SGD · fair‑value band 2.37 SGD – 3.95 SGD · the 4.31 SGD price screens above the 3.16 SGD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

UOB-KAY HIAN HOLDINGS LIMITED (U10) currently trades at 4.31 SGD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 3.16 SGD, implying the stock looks roughly 26.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, UOB-KAY HIAN HOLDINGS LIMITED generated revenue of 723M SGD at a net margin of 33.1%. Revenue grew 20.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.8%. Net debt stands at 138M SGD. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 2.37 SGD (bear case) to 3.95 SGD (bull case); at 4.31 SGD, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 1% below its 52-week high and 111% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at -27%, U10 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income 2.02 SGD 2.26 SGD 3.68 SGD 76
Gordon GGM 0.4500 SGD 0.9000 SGD 1.36 SGD 70
P/E Multiple 2.37 SGD 3.16 SGD 3.95 SGD 63
All 9 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings 3.95 SGD 5.33 SGD 7.35 SGD 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 1.65 SGD 5.16 SGD 6.86 SGD 54
Lynch FV 1.12 SGD 1.60 SGD 2.08 SGD 50
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 0.4500 SGD 0.9000 SGD 1.36 SGD 70
DDM Multi-Stage 0.4500 SGD 0.7300 SGD 0.9500 SGD 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 2.37 SGD 3.16 SGD 3.95 SGD 63
P/B Multiple 2.42 SGD 3.23 SGD 4.04 SGD 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 1.15 SGD 1.55 SGD 2.31 SGD 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income 2.02 SGD 2.26 SGD 3.68 SGD 76

Widest divergence: DCF Models (5.33 SGD) versus Dividend Discount (0.7300 SGD). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 723M SGD
Revenue growth (YoY) +20.4%
Net margin 33.1%
Return on equity 10.8%
Free cash flow −82.1M SGD FY2025
P/E ratio 17.2
More key figures
Operating margin 34.9%
EPS (TTM) 0.2500 SGD
Dividend yield 3.3%
EPS growth (YoY) +21.9%
Net debt 138M SGD FY2022

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 43/100

Of which business quality 39 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 85

Profitability 39
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 38
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 58
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 69
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 79
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 80
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 99
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 44
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

UOB-Kay Hian Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, provides stockbroking, futures broking, structured lending, investment trading, margin financing, and nominee and research services.

Full company description

UOB-Kay Hian Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, provides stockbroking, futures broking, structured lending, investment trading, margin financing, and nominee and research services. It offers corporate finance services, including underwriting and placement for primary and secondary equities, mergers and acquisitions, and compliance and financial advisory services; and acts as lenders and arrangers. The company also provides investor education and margin trading services; deals and trades securities; retail and institutional Investors; structured finance, such as privatization financing and credit restructuring services, as well as credit solutions and funding support services; money lending services; and wealth management products and services, including asset allocation strategies, discretionary portfolio management, asset manager platforms, and external investment products. In addition, it offers various products and services, such as equities, bonds, contracts for difference, daily leverage certificates, exchange traded funds, futures and options, leveraged foreign exchange, advisory, and unit trust. The company serves financial institutions, fund management companies, corporations, and high net worth and mass market retail clients. It operates in Singapore, Hong Kong, Thailand, Malaysia, London, New Jersy, Toronto and internationally. The company was formerly known as Kay Hian Holdings Ltd. and changed its name to UOB-Kay Hian Holdings Limited in October 2000. UOB-Kay Hian Holdings Limited was incorporated in 1970 and is headquartered in Singapore.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

UOB-KAY HIAN HOLDINGS LIMITED reported revenue of 624M SGD in FY2025 versus 620M SGD in FY2021, a compound +0.1%/yr. Reported net income was 239M SGD in FY2025, compounding +12.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 33/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
624M SGD
Latest YoY
+17.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.2%
Avg. growth/yr (12Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.1%
Revenue +0.1%/yr
FY21 620M SGD
FY22 448M SGD
FY23 454M SGD
FY24 533M SGD
FY25 624M SGD
Net income +12.0%/yr
FY21 152M SGD
FY22 102M SGD
FY23 170M SGD
FY24 224M SGD
FY25 239M SGD

U10 screens 27% overvalued. Compare with Mirae Asset Securities Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "UOB-KAY HIAN HOLDINGS LIMITED Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/U10

Peer Group

Capital Markets · 425 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 44 · Below median
Fair Value upside −27% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 11% · Above median
Return on assets 5% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 33% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 35% · Above median
Revenue growth 20% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.3% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Capital Markets median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 17.2× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.32× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 4.13× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 9.5× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 15
FUTURE 100 · sector 96
PAST 43 · sector 31
HEALTH 0 · sector 93
DIVIDEND 65 · sector 42

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Capital Markets stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Mirae Asset Securities Co 006800 38,050 KRW 18,009 KRW -53%
Meritz Financial Group 138040 118,600 KRW 52,717 KRW -56%
Korea Investment Holdings 071050 200,500 KRW 189,335 KRW -6%
NH Investment & Securities Co 005940 28,550 KRW 22,396 KRW -22%
Samsung Securities Co 016360 93,100 KRW 75,573 KRW -19%
Kiwoom Securities Co 039490 299,000 KRW 214,812 KRW -28%
SSI Securities Corporation SSI 25,300 VND 17,375 VND -31%
Bolsas y Mercados Argentinos S.A BYMA 313.75 ARS 294.30 ARS -6%
Daishin Securities Co 003540 26,950 KRW 48,790 KRW +81%
SK Securities Co 001515 4,285 KRW 1,395 KRW -67%

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Frequently asked questions

Is UOB-KAY HIAN HOLDINGS LIMITED (U10) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 3.16 SGD versus a price of 4.31 SGD, about −27% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of U10?
Our model-based fair value for UOB-KAY HIAN HOLDINGS LIMITED is 3.16 SGD (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 4.31 SGD.
What is the quality score of U10?
UOB-KAY HIAN HOLDINGS LIMITED has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of UOB-KAY HIAN HOLDINGS LIMITED (U10)?
UOB-KAY HIAN HOLDINGS LIMITED reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 723M SGD (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of U10?
The net profit margin of UOB-KAY HIAN HOLDINGS LIMITED is about 33.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 33.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does UOB-KAY HIAN HOLDINGS LIMITED pay a dividend?
UOB-KAY HIAN HOLDINGS LIMITED currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.26% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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