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U-BX Technology Ltd. Ordinary Shares (UBXG) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · US · Market cap $12.6M · ISIN KYG9161K1040

What is U-BX Technology Ltd. Ordinary Shares really worth?

UB U-BX Technology Ltd. Ordinary Shares logo U-BX Technology Ltd. Ordinary Shares UBXG · US
Price$15.97
Fair Value$7.37
Upside−53.9%
Quality23/100

Below-average quality, and trading another 117% above our fair value of $7.37.

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Risks

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −13.6 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -55.1% net margin
!negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (2/9)
!Narrow moat 6/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
Evidence: Low Range $4.86 – $9.21

Fair value as of: Aug 21, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 12 days ago

Share price +74.5% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($9.21). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (23/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range ($4.86 to $9.21) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (2 years)

$13,720 $2.87 Fair Value $7.37 Mar 2024 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 21, 2026.

How to read this chart

29‑month range $2.87 – $13,720 · fair‑value band $4.86 – $9.21 · the $15.97 price screens above the $7.37 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 21, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

U-BX Technology Ltd. Ordinary Shares (UBXG) currently trades at $15.97, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $7.37, implying the stock looks roughly 116.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 23/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector. How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Over the trailing twelve months, U-BX Technology Ltd. Ordinary Shares generated revenue of $24.0M at a net margin of −55.1%. Revenue declined 32.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −46.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $10.8M. Fundamentals as of Aug 21, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $4.86 (bear case) to $9.21 (bull case); at $15.97, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at −13% fair-value upside, at −54%, UBXG screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) best evidence $6.29 $8.43 $12.58 51
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) best evidence $6.29 $8.43 $12.58 51

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Key figures & financial health

P/S ratio 0.52 TTM
EPS (TTM) $−22.75
Net margin −9.2% FY2025
Return on equity −46.6% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) −4.0% avg 5y
Operating margin −87.6% TTM
More key figures
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $24.0M TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) −32.6% 3y avg −30.0%
EPS growth (YoY) −88.4%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −$8.6M FY2025
Net cash $10.8M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 23/100

Of which business quality 32 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 31

Profitability 20
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 9
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 12
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 34
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 33
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 6
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

U-BX Technology Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, focuses on providing value-added services using artificial intelligence-driven technology to businesses in the insurance industry in China.

Full company description

U-BX Technology Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, focuses on providing value-added services using artificial intelligence-driven technology to businesses in the insurance industry in China. It offers digital promotion services; risk assessment services; and value-added bundled benefits, including auto maintenance, auto value-added, vehicle moving notification, and other services to property and auto insurance carriers, and insurance brokers. The company also provides insurance-related information to individual consumers; and Magic Mirror algorithm to calculate payout risks for insurance carriers to underwrite auto insurance coverage. The company was formerly known as Famingsur Develop Limited and changed its name to U-BX Technology Ltd. in October 2021. U-BX Technology Ltd. was founded in 2018 and is based in Beijing, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

U-BX Technology Ltd. Ordinary Shares reported revenue of $29.7M in FY2025 versus $72.4M in FY2021, a compound −20.0%/yr. Reported net income was −$2.7M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$29.7M
Latest YoY
−42.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−30.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−13.6%
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue −20.0%/yr
FY21 $72.4M
FY22 $86.7M
FY23 $94.3M
FY24 $51.6M
FY25 $29.7M
Net income
FY21 −$9.6K
FY22 −$49.0K
FY23 $206K
FY24 −$749K
FY25 −$2.7M

UBXG screens 117% overvalued. Compare with AppLovin Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "U-BX Technology Ltd. Ordinary Shares Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/UBXG

Peer Group

Advertising Agencies · 204 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 32 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −54% · Below median
Return on assets −27% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −55% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −88% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth −33% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Advertising Agencies median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.66× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.53× · Cheaper than median

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Advertising Agencies stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 21, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
AppLovin Corporation APP $317.76 $252.45 −21%
Publicis Groupe S.A PUB €101.65 €146.36 +44%
Omnicom Group OMC $87.89 $99.84 +14%
Focus Media Information Technology Co 002027 ¥4.97 ¥5.71 +15%
The Trade Desk, Inc TTD $13.57 $29.07 +114%
BlueFocus Intelligent Communications Group 300058 ¥13.37 ¥1.44 −89%
JCDecaux SE DEC €24.00 €20.99 −13%
WPP plc WPP $26.87 $19.05 −29%
Easy Click Worldwide Network Technology Co 301171 ¥37.40 ¥5.62 −85%
Magnite, Inc MGNI $24.53 $12.18 −50%

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Frequently asked questions

Is U-BX Technology Ltd. Ordinary Shares (UBXG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 21, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $7.37 versus a price of $15.97, about −54% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of UBXG?
Our model-based fair value for U-BX Technology Ltd. Ordinary Shares is $7.37 (as of Aug 21, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $15.97.
What is the quality score of UBXG?
U-BX Technology Ltd. Ordinary Shares has a Quality Score of 23/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of U-BX Technology Ltd. Ordinary Shares (UBXG)?
U-BX Technology Ltd. Ordinary Shares reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $24.0M (latest available figure, as of Aug 21, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of UBXG?
The net profit margin of U-BX Technology Ltd. Ordinary Shares is about −55.1%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
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