U-BX Technology Ltd. Ordinary Shares (UBXG) Fair Value & Analysis
Communication Services · US · Market cap $12.6M · ISIN KYG9161K1040
What is U-BX Technology Ltd. Ordinary Shares really worth?
Below-average quality, and trading another 117% above our fair value of $7.37.
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 21, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 12 days ago
Share price +74.5% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($9.21). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (23/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range ($4.86 to $9.21) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (2 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 21, 2026.
How to read this chart
29‑month range $2.87 – $13,720 · fair‑value band $4.86 – $9.21 · the $15.97 price screens above the $7.37 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 21, 2026.
Analysis
U-BX Technology Ltd. Ordinary Shares (UBXG) currently trades at $15.97, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $7.37, implying the stock looks roughly 116.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 23/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector. How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Over the trailing twelve months, U-BX Technology Ltd. Ordinary Shares generated revenue of $24.0M at a net margin of −55.1%. Revenue declined 32.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −46.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $10.8M. Fundamentals as of Aug 21, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $4.86 (bear case) to $9.21 (bull case); at $15.97, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at −13% fair-value upside, at −54%, UBXG screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 32 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 31
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
U-BX Technology Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, focuses on providing value-added services using artificial intelligence-driven technology to businesses in the insurance industry in China.
Full company description
U-BX Technology Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, focuses on providing value-added services using artificial intelligence-driven technology to businesses in the insurance industry in China. It offers digital promotion services; risk assessment services; and value-added bundled benefits, including auto maintenance, auto value-added, vehicle moving notification, and other services to property and auto insurance carriers, and insurance brokers. The company also provides insurance-related information to individual consumers; and Magic Mirror algorithm to calculate payout risks for insurance carriers to underwrite auto insurance coverage. The company was formerly known as Famingsur Develop Limited and changed its name to U-BX Technology Ltd. in October 2021. U-BX Technology Ltd. was founded in 2018 and is based in Beijing, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
U-BX Technology Ltd. Ordinary Shares reported revenue of $29.7M in FY2025 versus $72.4M in FY2021, a compound −20.0%/yr. Reported net income was −$2.7M in FY2025.
UBXG screens 117% overvalued. Compare with AppLovin Corporation →
Peer Group
Advertising Agencies · 204 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Advertising Agencies median · lower = cheaper
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Advertising Agencies stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 21, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| AppLovin Corporation APP | $317.76 | $252.45 | −21% |
| Publicis Groupe S.A PUB | €101.65 | €146.36 | +44% |
| Omnicom Group OMC | $87.89 | $99.84 | +14% |
| Focus Media Information Technology Co 002027 | ¥4.97 | ¥5.71 | +15% |
| The Trade Desk, Inc TTD | $13.57 | $29.07 | +114% |
| BlueFocus Intelligent Communications Group 300058 | ¥13.37 | ¥1.44 | −89% |
| JCDecaux SE DEC | €24.00 | €20.99 | −13% |
| WPP plc WPP | $26.87 | $19.05 | −29% |
| Easy Click Worldwide Network Technology Co 301171 | ¥37.40 | ¥5.62 | −85% |
| Magnite, Inc MGNI | $24.53 | $12.18 | −50% |
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