UCAL Limited (UCAL) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · IN · Market cap ₹3.2B (≈ $33.7M) · ISIN INE139B01016

What is UCAL Limited really worth?

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

• The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹60.58). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
• Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
• A fairly wide model range (₹32.43 to ₹60.58) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹81.10 – ₹234.90 · fair‑value band ₹32.43 – ₹60.58 · the ₹148.95 price screens above the ₹32.43 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.

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Analysis

UCAL Limited (UCAL) currently trades at ₹148.95, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹32.43, implying the stock looks roughly 359.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of ₹251.77 per share, and 8 of the 13 models we run sit above the ₹148.95 price. Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ₹10.45, and 5 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Over the trailing twelve months, UCAL Limited generated revenue of ₹8.5B at a net margin of −2.5%. Revenue grew 4.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −9.8%. Net debt stands at ₹1.8B. Fundamentals as of Aug 27, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹32.43 (bear case) to ₹60.58 (bull case); at ₹148.95, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 89% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −38% fair-value upside, at −78%, UCAL screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Widest divergence: DCF Models (₹379.31) versus Earnings-Based (₹10.45). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (77).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

UCAL Limited engages in the provision of fuel management systems for the automotive sector in India. The company offers fuel systems and emission controls, including mechanical carburetor, fuel injection systems, hydrocarbon doser, fuel rails, air suction valve, electric air suction valve, and electric purge valve; and automotive electronics, such as ECU, …

Full company description

UCAL Limited engages in the provision of fuel management systems for the automotive sector in India. The company offers fuel systems and emission controls, including mechanical carburetor, fuel injection systems, hydrocarbon doser, fuel rails, air suction valve, electric air suction valve, and electric purge valve; and automotive electronics, such as ECU, fuel level sensor, DC DC converters, integrated sensor, CR controller, RR Unit, flasher, throttle position sensor, timers, relays and controllers, buzzer/hooter, ECU speed module, and reverse speed module. It also provides pumps and valves comprising oil pump, variable pressure oil pump, variable displacement oil pump, vacuum pump, mechanical throttle body assembly, electric-vacuum pump, electric-coolant pump, electric-throttle body, water outlet, variable valve timing, and intake throttle valve; and pressure die casting products and precision machined parts for automotive applications. In addition, the company offers engineering services, which include analysis and benchmarking; design, drawing, and modelling; computational analysis and simulation; testing and validation; design for manufacturing; system calibration; and value addition/value engineering services. The company sells its products under the UCAL brand. It also exports its products. The company was formerly known as UCAL Fuel Systems Limited and changed its name to UCAL Limited in June 2023. UCAL Limited was incorporated in 1985 and is based in Chennai, India.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

UCAL Limited reported revenue of ₹8.4B in FY2026 versus ₹7.7B in FY2022, a compound +2.0%/yr. Reported net income was −₹333M in FY2026.

UCAL screens 359% overvalued. Compare with O'Reilly Automotive, Inc →

Peer Group

Auto Parts · 641 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

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