Unicasa Indústria de Móveis S.A (UCAS3) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · BR · Market cap R$78.6M
Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026
From 11 valuation models · updated 24 days ago
Share price +0.9% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 71% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (35/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (R$1.36). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range R$1.11 – R$4.40 · fair‑value band R$1.36 – R$1.97 · the R$1.15 price screens below the R$1.97 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
Analysis
Unicasa Indústria de Móveis S.A (UCAS3) currently trades at R$1.15, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$1.97, implying the stock looks roughly 71.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Unicasa Indústria de Móveis S.A generated revenue of R$237M at a net margin of -5.6%. Revenue declined 4.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -7.4%. Net debt stands at R$96.2M. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from R$1.36 (bear case) to R$1.97 (bull case); at R$1.15, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 16% fair-value upside, at 71%, UCAS3 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 11 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (R$2.68) versus Dividend Discount (R$1.29). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 37 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 33
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Unicasa Indústria de Móveis S.A. manufacture, sell, import, and export furniture in Brazil. It offers furniture made from wood, iron, steel, and aluminum, as well as other products related to household and commercial furniture. The company sells its products under the Dell Anno, New, Casa Brasileira, and Unicasa brands. Unicasa Indústria de Móveis S.A.
Full company description
Unicasa Indústria de Móveis S.A. manufacture, sell, import, and export furniture in Brazil. It offers furniture made from wood, iron, steel, and aluminum, as well as other products related to household and commercial furniture. The company sells its products under the Dell Anno, New, Casa Brasileira, and Unicasa brands. Unicasa Indústria de Móveis S.A. was founded in 1985 and is headquartered in Bento Gonçalves, Brazil.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Unicasa Indústria de Móveis S.A reported revenue of R$239M in FY2025 versus R$221M in FY2021, a compound +2.0%/yr. Reported net income was −R$11.5M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances · 311 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Midea Group 000333 | ¥82.71 | ¥107.22 | +30% |
| Gree Electric Appliances, Inc 000651 | ¥38.25 | ¥88.02 | +130% |
| Haier Smart Home Co 600690 | ¥21.46 | ¥36.04 | +68% |
| King Slide Works Co 2059 | 8,655 TWD | 1,917 TWD | -78% |
| Guangdong Songfa Ceramics Co 603268 | ¥155.59 | ¥38.95 | -75% |
| SharkNinja, Inc SN | $154.53 | $89.07 | -42% |
| Hisense Home Appliances Group 000921 | ¥26.33 | ¥48.03 | +82% |
| Zhejiang Supor Co 002032 | ¥43.85 | ¥44.84 | +2% |
| COWAY Co 021240 | 96,700 KRW | 112,530 KRW | +16% |
| Ecovacs Robotics Co 603486 | ¥50.13 | ¥54.11 | +8% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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