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Ultrapetrol Bahamas Ltd (ULTRF) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $14.1K

UB Ultrapetrol Bahamas Ltd logo Ultrapetrol Bahamas Ltd ULTRF · US
Price$0.0001
Fair Value$0.0001
Upside+0.0%
Quality28/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -37.7% net margin
Moderate debt
Trails peers (1/9)
Narrow moat 12/100
Evidence: Medium Range $0.0001 – $0.0001 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 4 days ago

Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.

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What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • Our model range runs from $0.0001 (bear) to $0.0001 (bull), base $0.0001. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 28/100 (below-average quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$0.0170 $0.0001 Fair Value $0.0001 Jun 2019 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.0001 – $0.0170 · the $0.0001 price screens below the $0.0001 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Ultrapetrol Bahamas Ltd (ULTRF) currently trades at $0.0001, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0001, implying the stock looks roughly 0.0% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 28/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Ultrapetrol Bahamas Ltd generated revenue of $291M at a net margin of -37.7%. Revenue declined 17.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -37.9%. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

The share trades near its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 7% fair-value upside, at 0%, ULTRF screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $0.0001 $0.0001 $0.0001 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.0001 $0.0001 $0.0001 50

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $291M
Revenue growth (YoY) -17.6%
Net margin -37.7%
Return on equity -37.9%
Operating margin 2.7%
EPS (TTM) $-0.0100

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 28/100

Of which business quality 26 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 41

Profitability 7
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 26
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 22
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 14
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 91
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 40
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 33
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Ultrapetrol (Bahamas) Limited does not have significant operations. Previously, it was engaged in the provision of marine transportation services. The company was founded in 1992 and is headquartered in Nassau, Bahamas. Ultrapetrol (Bahamas) Limited operates as a subsidiary of Sparrow Capital Investments Ltd.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2008 – FY2015 · reported fiscal years

Ultrapetrol Bahamas Ltd reported revenue of $347M in FY2015 versus $304M in FY2011, a compound +3.4%/yr. Reported net income was −$48.0M in FY2015.

Growth Quality 35/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2015)
$347M
Latest YoY
−4.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.6%
Avg. growth/yr (11Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+12.5%
Revenue +3.4%/yr
FY11 $304M
FY12 $313M
FY13 $411M
FY14 $364M
FY15 $347M
Net income
FY08 $47.5M
FY12 −$63.7M
FY13 $7.4M
FY14 −$52.3M
FY15 −$48.0M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ultrapetrol Bahamas Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ULTRF

Peer Group

Marine Shipping · 232 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 28 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +0% · Above median
Return on assets -0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -38% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 3% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -18% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 1.40× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Marine Shipping median · lower = cheaper

EV/EBITDA 10.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 33 · sector 19
FUTURE 0 · sector 19
PAST 0 · sector 27
HEALTH 30 · sector 88
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 56

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Marine Shipping stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited ADANIPORTS ₹1,658 ₹1,041 -37%
A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S MAERSKA kr 16,810 kr 3,033 -82%
COSCO SHIPPING Holdings 601919 ¥15.25 ¥49.90 +227%
HMM Co 011200 21,350 KRW 33,795 KRW +58%
JSW Infrastructure Limited JSWINFRA ₹346.60 ₹126.31 -64%
Wan Hai Lines Ltd 2615 87.10 TWD 212.79 TWD +144%
PT Transcoal Pacific Tbk, a shipping company, TCPI 3,640 IDR 368.32 IDR -90%
Pan Ocean Co 028670 5,630 KRW 11,840 KRW +110%
Sociedad Matriz SAAM S.A SMSAAM 137.00 CLP 146.51 CLP +7%
PT Ancara Logistics Indonesia Tbk ALII 795.00 IDR 350.80 IDR -56%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Ultrapetrol Bahamas Ltd (ULTRF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0001 versus a price of $0.0001, about +0% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of ULTRF?
Our model-based fair value for Ultrapetrol Bahamas Ltd is $0.0001 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $0.0001.
What is the quality score of ULTRF?
Ultrapetrol Bahamas Ltd has a Quality Score of 28/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Ultrapetrol Bahamas Ltd (ULTRF)?
Ultrapetrol Bahamas Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $291M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ULTRF?
The net profit margin of Ultrapetrol Bahamas Ltd is about -37.7%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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