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ULVAC, Inc (ULVAF) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $2.6B

UI ULVAC, Inc logo ULVAC, Inc ULVAF · US
Price$62.00
Fair Value$43.47
Upside-29.9%
Quality64/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 5.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
1.98% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (7/11)
Narrow moat 39/100
Evidence: High Range $32.60 – $54.34 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026

From 22 valuation models · updated 19 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 22, 2026, revised from $48.52 to $43.47 (−10.4%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +19.3% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 30% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($54.34). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (64/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$62.00 $21.77 Fair Value $43.47 Apr 2021 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $21.77 – $62.00 · fair‑value band $32.60 – $54.34 · the $62.00 price screens above the $43.47 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

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Analysis

ULVAC, Inc (ULVAF) currently trades at $62.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $43.47, implying the stock looks roughly 29.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, ULVAC, Inc generated revenue of $255B at a net margin of 5.0%. Revenue grew 28.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.1%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 33.1. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $32.60 (bear case) to $54.34 (bull case); at $62.00, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 92% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -30%, ULVAF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $37.50 $46.88 $61.59 80
Rev-Margin DCF $36.23 $49.60 $65.42 74
ROIC Compounder $27.59 $30.99 $34.58 72
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $36.55 $46.33 $62.77 38
Owner Earnings $27.73 $34.46 $45.77 31
5Y Revenue Exit $36.23 $49.12 $66.91 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $43.17 $61.03 $83.40 41
5Y P/E Exit $36.51 $49.60 $64.31 38
10Y Revenue Exit $35.32 $46.48 $59.42 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $40.29 $54.20 $70.30 37
10Y P/E Exit $36.28 $46.79 $57.71 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $14.08 $25.66 $31.73 54
EPV $27.59 $30.64 $33.27 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $32.60 $43.47 $54.34 63
P/S Multiple $26.39 $35.19 $43.99 58
P/B Multiple $26.39 $35.19 $43.99 55
EV/EBIT $50.21 $64.19 $78.18 53
EV/EBITDA $53.41 $68.46 $83.51 54
EV/Revenue $38.20 $51.03 $63.86 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $14.33 $19.21 $28.67 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $37.50 $46.88 $61.59 80
Rev-Margin DCF $36.23 $49.60 $65.42 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $23.01 $24.16 $25.70 61
ROIC Compounder $27.59 $30.99 $34.58 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $23.10 $33.00 $42.90 68

Widest divergence: Growth DCF ($46.88) versus Asset-Based ($19.21). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $255B
Revenue growth (YoY) +28.2%
Net margin 5.0%
Return on equity 6.1%
Free cash flow $23.5B FY2025
P/E ratio 33.1
More key figures
Operating margin 9.3%
EPS (TTM) $1.57
Dividend yield 2.0%
EPS growth (YoY) +8.2%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 64/100

Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 76

Profitability 39
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 39
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 64
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 86
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 83
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 32
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 91
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

ULVAC, Inc. engages in the vacuum equipment and applications business in Japan and internationally. The company offers various equipment, such as micro powder dry system, native oxide removal system, diffusion furnace, vacuum melting furnace, integrated system, sputtering system, PE-CVD system, evaporation system, ashing system, dry etching system, ion …

Full company description

ULVAC, Inc. engages in the vacuum equipment and applications business in Japan and internationally. The company offers various equipment, such as micro powder dry system, native oxide removal system, diffusion furnace, vacuum melting furnace, integrated system, sputtering system, PE-CVD system, evaporation system, ashing system, dry etching system, ion implantation system, vacuum furnace, and lyophilizer; components, including vacuum pumps, vacuum gauge, gas analyzer, leak detector, spectroscopic ellipsometer, deposition controller, vacuum valve, power supply for plasma generation, vacuum-deposition electron beam source, vacuum transfer robot, film forming equipment, cryogenic equipment; and various materials, as well as provides maintenance services. Its products have different applications, such as thin-film lithium ion secondary battery, LCD, OLED, touch panel, research and development equipment for display, photovoltaic, rare earth magnet, automotive parts, capacitors, packaging materials, decorative coating, pharmaceutical, aviation parts, vacuum interrupter, wafer, brazed heat exchangers, vacuum flask, VCSEL, SOI/LNOI, communication, semiconductor, LED device, power device, packaging device, MEMS Device, optical film, and magnetic device. ULVAC, Inc. was incorporated in 1929 and is headquartered in Chigasaki, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

ULVAC, Inc reported revenue of $251B in FY2025 versus $183B in FY2021, a compound +8.2%/yr. Reported net income was $16.7B in FY2025, compounding +3.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 58/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$251B
Latest YoY
−3.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+1.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+6.3%
Avg. growth/yr (10Y)
+3.4%
Revenue +8.2%/yr
FY21 $183B
FY22 $241B
FY23 $228B
FY24 $261B
FY25 $251B
Net income +3.0%/yr
FY21 $14.8B
FY22 $20.2B
FY23 $14.2B
FY24 $20.2B
FY25 $16.7B

ULVAF screens 30% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "ULVAC, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ULVAF

Peer Group

Specialty Industrial Machinery · 809 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 64 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −30% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 6% · Below median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 5% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 9% · Above median
Revenue growth 28% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.0% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.14× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 33.1× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 0.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 23
PAST 24 · sector 28
HEALTH 93 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 40 · sector 24

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
GE Vernova Inc 1GEV €887.60 €186.93 -79%
1SIE 1SIE €273.20 €91.93 -66%
SMNS SMNS C$31.76 C$22.68 -29%
Eaton Corporation ETN $407.28 $171.92 -58%
Atlas Copco AB ATCOA kr 195.15 kr 112.59 -42%
Sandvik AB SAND kr 384.10 kr 193.01 -50%
Doosan Enerbility Co 034020 76,400 KRW 7,938 KRW -90%
Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS kr 178.10 kr 124.54 -30%
Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 ¥43.20 ¥22.68 -48%
NARI Technology Co 600406 ¥22.19 ¥18.71 -16%

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Frequently asked questions

Is ULVAC, Inc (ULVAF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $43.47 versus a price of $62.00, about −30% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ULVAF?
Our model-based fair value for ULVAC, Inc is $43.47 (as of Jul 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $62.00.
What is the quality score of ULVAF?
ULVAC, Inc has a Quality Score of 64/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of ULVAC, Inc (ULVAF)?
ULVAC, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $255B (latest available figure, as of Jul 22, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ULVAF?
The net profit margin of ULVAC, Inc is about 5.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 5.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does ULVAC, Inc pay a dividend?
ULVAC, Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.98% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 22, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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