ULVAC, Inc (ULVAF) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $2.6B
Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026
From 22 valuation models · updated 19 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 22, 2026, revised from $48.52 to $43.47 (−10.4%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +19.3% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 30% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($54.34). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (64/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $21.77 – $62.00 · fair‑value band $32.60 – $54.34 · the $62.00 price screens above the $43.47 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.
Analysis
ULVAC, Inc (ULVAF) currently trades at $62.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $43.47, implying the stock looks roughly 29.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, ULVAC, Inc generated revenue of $255B at a net margin of 5.0%. Revenue grew 28.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.1%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 33.1. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $32.60 (bear case) to $54.34 (bull case); at $62.00, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 92% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -30%, ULVAF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 22 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF ($46.88) versus Asset-Based ($19.21). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 76
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
ULVAC, Inc. engages in the vacuum equipment and applications business in Japan and internationally. The company offers various equipment, such as micro powder dry system, native oxide removal system, diffusion furnace, vacuum melting furnace, integrated system, sputtering system, PE-CVD system, evaporation system, ashing system, dry etching system, ion …
Full company description
ULVAC, Inc. engages in the vacuum equipment and applications business in Japan and internationally. The company offers various equipment, such as micro powder dry system, native oxide removal system, diffusion furnace, vacuum melting furnace, integrated system, sputtering system, PE-CVD system, evaporation system, ashing system, dry etching system, ion implantation system, vacuum furnace, and lyophilizer; components, including vacuum pumps, vacuum gauge, gas analyzer, leak detector, spectroscopic ellipsometer, deposition controller, vacuum valve, power supply for plasma generation, vacuum-deposition electron beam source, vacuum transfer robot, film forming equipment, cryogenic equipment; and various materials, as well as provides maintenance services. Its products have different applications, such as thin-film lithium ion secondary battery, LCD, OLED, touch panel, research and development equipment for display, photovoltaic, rare earth magnet, automotive parts, capacitors, packaging materials, decorative coating, pharmaceutical, aviation parts, vacuum interrupter, wafer, brazed heat exchangers, vacuum flask, VCSEL, SOI/LNOI, communication, semiconductor, LED device, power device, packaging device, MEMS Device, optical film, and magnetic device. ULVAC, Inc. was incorporated in 1929 and is headquartered in Chigasaki, Japan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
ULVAC, Inc reported revenue of $251B in FY2025 versus $183B in FY2021, a compound +8.2%/yr. Reported net income was $16.7B in FY2025, compounding +3.0%/yr from FY2021.
ULVAF screens 30% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →
Peer Group
Specialty Industrial Machinery · 809 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| GE Vernova Inc 1GEV | €887.60 | €186.93 | -79% |
| 1SIE 1SIE | €273.20 | €91.93 | -66% |
| SMNS SMNS | C$31.76 | C$22.68 | -29% |
| Eaton Corporation ETN | $407.28 | $171.92 | -58% |
| Atlas Copco AB ATCOA | kr 195.15 | kr 112.59 | -42% |
| Sandvik AB SAND | kr 384.10 | kr 193.01 | -50% |
| Doosan Enerbility Co 034020 | 76,400 KRW | 7,938 KRW | -90% |
| Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS | kr 178.10 | kr 124.54 | -30% |
| Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 | ¥43.20 | ¥22.68 | -48% |
| NARI Technology Co 600406 | ¥22.19 | ¥18.71 | -16% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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