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Unilever PLC (ULVR) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · GB · Market cap 99.0B GBX

UP Unilever PLC ULVR · LSE
Price£47.34
Fair Value£38.13
Upside-19.5%
Quality72/100
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Healthy Growth
Solidly profitable · 18.8% net margin
High debt · generates free cash flow
4.34% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/15)
Wide moat 78/100
Evidence: High Range £25.12 – £57.74 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 6, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 6, 2026, revised from £40.54 to £38.13 (−5.9%) since Jul 12, 2026. Share price +0.7% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 19% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • A high-quality business (quality 72/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
  • A fairly wide model range (£25.12 to £57.74) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

£54.89 £30.93 Fair Value £38.13 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 6, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range £30.93 – £54.89 · fair‑value band £25.12 – £57.74 · the £47.34 price screens above the £38.13 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 6, 2026.

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Analysis

Unilever PLC (ULVR) currently trades at £47.34, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £38.13, implying the stock looks roughly 19.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 72/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Unilever PLC generated revenue of £50.5B at a net margin of 18.8%. Revenue declined 3.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 31.0%. Net debt stands at £25.7B. Fundamentals as of Aug 6, 2026

Our scenario range runs from £25.12 (bear case) to £57.74 (bull case); at £47.34, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -32% fair-value upside, at -19%, ULVR screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF £21.67 £31.83 £50.64 80
Residual Income £16.48 £20.00 £83.97 76
Rev-Margin DCF £16.06 £27.23 £41.51 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF £20.46 £30.82 £51.80 38
Owner Earnings £18.27 £27.87 £47.31 31
5Y Revenue Exit £16.06 £26.55 £42.41 39
5Y EBITDA Exit £29.21 £48.84 £75.78 41
5Y P/E Exit £25.41 £42.40 £63.43 38
10Y Revenue Exit £16.84 £26.21 £36.74 36
10Y EBITDA Exit £25.57 £40.89 £58.26 37
10Y P/E Exit £23.24 £36.65 £50.29 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd £18.90 £30.72 £37.12 54
EPV £23.67 £29.17 £33.99 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM £18.65 £22.63 £26.92 70
DDM Multi-Stage £18.65 £24.83 £32.56 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple £43.79 £58.38 £72.98 63
P/S Multiple £28.15 £37.53 £46.91 58
P/B Multiple £29.79 £39.72 £49.65 55
EV/EBIT £49.28 £68.83 £88.38 53
EV/EBITDA £41.50 £58.45 £75.41 54
EV/Revenue £15.27 £25.83 £36.38 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) £3.61 £4.84 £7.22 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF £21.67 £31.83 £50.64 80
Rev-Margin DCF £16.06 £27.23 £41.51 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income £16.48 £20.00 £83.97 76
ROIC Compounder £24.18 £30.63 £37.71 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E £30.92 £44.17 £57.42 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (£44.17) versus Asset-Based (£4.84). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 50.5B GBX
Revenue growth (YoY) -3.2%
Net margin 18.8%
Return on equity 31.0%
Free cash flow 6.4B GBX FY2025
P/E ratio 20.5
More key figures
Operating margin 20.1%
EPS (TTM) £2.24
Dividend yield 4.3%
EPS growth (YoY) -3.4%
Net debt 25.7B GBX FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 6, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 72/100

Of which business quality 66 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 57

Profitability 64
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 47
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 62
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 44
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 99
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 92
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 41
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 45
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Unilever PLC operates as a fast-moving consumer goods company in the Asia Pacific, Africa, the Americas, and Europe. It operates through four segments: Beauty & Wellbeing, Personal Care, Home Care, and Foods.

Full company description

Unilever PLC operates as a fast-moving consumer goods company in the Asia Pacific, Africa, the Americas, and Europe. It operates through four segments: Beauty & Wellbeing, Personal Care, Home Care, and Foods. The Beauty & Wellbeing segment offers hair care, such as shampoo, conditioner, and styling; face, hand, and body moisturizer skin care products; and Prestige Beauty and Wellbeing products. The Personal Care segment provides soap and shower skin cleansing products; and deodorant and oral care, including toothpaste, toothbrush, and mouthwash products. The Home Care segment offers washing powders and liquids, and rinse conditioner fabric care products; and a range of home and hygiene cleaning products. The Foods segment provides cooking aids and mini meals comprising soups, bouillons, and seasonings, as well as mayonnaise and ketchup condiments; and Unilever food solutions. The company provides its products under the AXE, Clear, Cif, Closeup, Comfort, Dermalogica, Domestos, Dove, Dove Men+Care, Hellmann's, Horlicks, Knorr, LUX, Lifebuoy, Liquid I.V., Nexxus, Nutrafol, OMO, Pond's, Paula's Choice, Pepsodent, Radiant, Rexona, Sunlight, Sunsilk, Surf, TRESemmé, and Vaseline brand names. Unilever PLC was founded in 1860 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Unilever PLC reported revenue of £50.5B in FY2025 versus £52.4B in FY2021, a compound −0.9%/yr. Reported net income was £6.0B in FY2025, compounding −0.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 74/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
£50.5B
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+5.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+3.2%
Avg. growth/yr (39Y)
+2.1%
Revenue −0.9%/yr
FY21 £52.4B
FY22 £60.1B
FY23 £59.6B
FY24 £60.8B
FY25 £50.5B
Net income −0.3%/yr
FY21 £6.0B
FY22 £7.6B
FY23 £6.5B
FY24 £5.7B
FY25 £6.0B

ULVR screens 19% overvalued. Compare with The Procter & Gamble Company →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Unilever PLC Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ULVR

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Household & Personal Products · 244 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 72 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −20% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 31% · Top 25%
Return on assets 8% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 19% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 20% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -3% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.3% · Above median
Debt / equity 1.55× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Household & Personal Products median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 20.5× · Pricier than median
P/B 8.59× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 2.65× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 20.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 14.2× · Pricier than median
PEG 11.39× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 7 · sector 28
FUTURE 0 · sector 4
PAST 100 · sector 26
HEALTH 23 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 87 · sector 50

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Household & Personal Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 6, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
The Procter & Gamble Company PG $146.80 $108.16 -26%
Hindustan Unilever Limited HINDUNILVR ₹2,144 ₹1,000 -53%
Essity AB ESSITYA kr 279.00 kr 250.02 -10%
Godrej Consumer Products Limited GODREJCP ₹1,088 ₹367.64 -66%
Marico Limited MARICO ₹846.75 ₹233.05 -72%
APR Co 278470 375,000 KRW 151,222 KRW -60%
Dabur India Limited DABUR ₹429.45 ₹181.60 -58%
Kimberly-Clark de México, S. A. B. de C. V., KIMBERA 38.07 MXN 50.09 MXN +32%
PT Unilever Indonesia Tbk UNVR 1,730 IDR 1,934 IDR +12%
Amorepacific Corporation 090430 124,400 KRW 84,785 KRW -32%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Unilever PLC (ULVR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £38.13 versus a price of £47.34, about −19% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ULVR?
Our model-based fair value for Unilever PLC is £38.13 (as of Aug 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is £47.34.
What is the quality score of ULVR?
Unilever PLC has a Quality Score of 72/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Unilever PLC (ULVR)?
Unilever PLC reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £50.5B (latest available figure, as of Aug 6, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ULVR?
The net profit margin of Unilever PLC is about 18.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 18.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Unilever PLC pay a dividend?
Unilever PLC currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.78% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 6, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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