UMT United Mobility Technology AG (UMD) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · DE · Market cap €2.8M
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 2 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Share price −12.7% over the past month.
Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €0.9700 – €113.50 · fair‑value band €0.7302 – €1.22 · the €0.9950 price screens above the €0.9775 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
UMT United Mobility Technology AG (UMD) currently trades at €0.9950, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €0.9775, implying the stock looks roughly 1.8% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at €116K. Revenue grew 1.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -11.1%. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €0.7302 (bear case) to €1.22 (bull case); at €0.9950, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -50% fair-value upside, at -2%, UMD screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 2 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (€1.15) versus Asset-Based (€0.0505). Highest evidence: EV/EBITDA (54).
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Key figures & financial health
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 13
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
UMT United Mobility Technology AG engages in the development and implementation of customized solutions for the digitalization of business processes in Germany.
Full company description
UMT United Mobility Technology AG engages in the development and implementation of customized solutions for the digitalization of business processes in Germany. The company offers UMS Vision AI, an AI-based automated document processing and analysis solution; and T4 (Trackability, Traceability, Transparency, and Trust) blockchain solution that enables seamless compliance with the new EU regulations, including the product passport requirements. It also licenses mobile payment platforms and acts as a central interface between various parties, such as large retail chains, banks, bonus program providers, and end consumers. In addition, the company offers mobile payment, mobile wallet, loyalty/bonus programs, and data analytics solutions; and consulting and implementation services. It serves the logistics, insurance, and commerce industries. The company was formerly known as Leipziger Solarpark AG and changed its name to UMT United Mobility Technology AG in 2011. UMT United Mobility Technology AG was founded in 1989 and is headquartered in Munich, Germany.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
UMT United Mobility Technology AG reported revenue of €223K in FY2025 versus €299K in FY2021, a compound −7.0%/yr. Reported net income was −€1.3M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Software - Infrastructure · 370 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Infrastructure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Microsoft Corporation MSFT | $384.00 | $274.17 | -29% |
| Oracle Corporation ORAC | C$9.08 | C$2.94 | -68% |
| Fortinet, Inc FTNT | $160.78 | $44.96 | -72% |
| Synopsys, Inc 1SNPS | €354.50 | €93.61 | -74% |
| Block, Inc XYZ | A$114.53 | A$70.69 | -38% |
| CoreWeave, Inc CRWV | $79.94 | $44.89 | -44% |
| Range Intelligent Computing Technology Group 300442 | ¥71.60 | ¥34.00 | -53% |
| Oracle Financial Services Software Limited OFSS | ₹11,651 | ₹5,821 | -50% |
| 360 Security Technology Inc 601360 | ¥9.64 | ¥5.05 | -48% |
| One97 Communications Limited PAYTM | ₹1,342 | ₹181.50 | -86% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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