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ÜNLÜ Yatirim Holding (UNLU) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · TR · Market cap 2.0B TRY

ÜY ÜNLÜ Yatirim Holding UNLU · IS
Price11.12 TRY
Fair Value5.57 TRY
Upside-49.9%
Quality33/100
Expensive Growth
Loss-making · -0.5% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (1/8)
Narrow moat 5/100
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Evidence: Medium Range 3.53 TRY – 6.92 TRY Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 2, 2026

From 8 valuation models · updated today

Share price −16.7% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and the price sits another 50% above our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (6.92 TRY). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (33/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • A fairly wide model range (3.53 TRY to 6.92 TRY) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

24.00 TRY 4.25 TRY Fair Value 5.57 TRY Jun 2021 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 4.25 TRY – 24.00 TRY · fair‑value band 3.53 TRY – 6.92 TRY · the 11.12 TRY price screens above the 5.57 TRY fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.

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Analysis

ÜNLÜ Yatirim Holding (UNLU) currently trades at 11.12 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 5.57 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 49.9% overvalued today. We read business quality at 33/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, ÜNLÜ Yatirim Holding generated revenue of 41.6B TRY at a net margin of -0.5%. Revenue declined 43.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -8.2%. Net debt stands at 949M TRY. Fundamentals as of Aug 2, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 3.53 TRY (bear case) to 6.92 TRY (bull case); at 11.12 TRY, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 16% fair-value upside, at -50%, UNLU screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
ROIC Compounder 4.46 TRY 5.57 TRY 6.46 TRY 72
Gordon GGM 1.00 TRY 1.81 TRY 2.49 TRY 70
DDM Multi-Stage 1.00 TRY 1.65 TRY 1.93 TRY 61
All 8 models by family
Earnings-Based
EPV 4.06 TRY 4.46 TRY 4.78 TRY 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 1.00 TRY 1.81 TRY 2.49 TRY 70
DDM Multi-Stage 1.00 TRY 1.65 TRY 1.93 TRY 61
Multiples
EV/EBIT 7.49 TRY 9.59 TRY 11.70 TRY 53
EV/EBITDA 6.65 TRY 8.47 TRY 10.30 TRY 54
EV/Revenue 5.43 TRY 7.25 TRY 9.08 TRY 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 1.83 TRY 2.46 TRY 3.67 TRY 50
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder 4.46 TRY 5.57 TRY 6.46 TRY 72

Widest divergence: Multiples (8.47 TRY) versus Dividend Discount (1.65 TRY). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 41.6B TRY
Revenue growth (YoY) -43.4%
Net margin -0.5%
Return on equity -8.2%
Free cash flow −218M TRY FY2025
Operating margin -1.8%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) -1.27 TRY
EPS growth (YoY) +40.8%
Net debt 949M TRY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 33/100

Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 28

Profitability 39
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 23
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 20
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 50
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 73
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 13
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 1
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 81
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

ÜNLÜ Yatirim Holding A.S. provides investment advisory and asset management services to investors, corporates, multinationals, and financial institutions in Turkey.

Full company description

ÜNLÜ Yatirim Holding A.S. provides investment advisory and asset management services to investors, corporates, multinationals, and financial institutions in Turkey. It operates through Brokerage Activities and Corporate Financing Activities; Asset Management Financial Consultancy and Investment Services; Venture capital; and Investment Holding Services segments. The company offers corporate finance advisory, such as mergers and acquisitions, and corporate debt advisory services. It also provides capital markets services comprising public offerings and block sales, corporate sales, research services, and debt capital markets; and investment advisory and brokerage services, including equities, futures and options, mutual funds, structured debt instruments, over-the-counter derivatives, fixed-income securities, international markets, and portfolio brokerage services. In addition, the company offers asset management services, such as non-performing loans management; "venture capital and private equity; "treasury and cash management; and portfolio management services. ÜNLÜ Yatirim Holding A.S. was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Istanbul, Turkey.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

ÜNLÜ Yatirim Holding reported revenue of 49.9B TRY in FY2025 versus 5.0B TRY in FY2021, a compound +77.7%/yr. Reported net income was −206M TRY in FY2025.

Growth Quality 38/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
49.9B TRY
Latest YoY
−31.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+68.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+80.9%
Avg. growth/yr (7Y)
+60.1%
Revenue +77.7%/yr
FY21 5.0B TRY
FY22 10.5B TRY
FY23 36.0B TRY
FY24 72.7B TRY
FY25 49.9B TRY
Net income
FY21 79.6M TRY
FY22 269M TRY
FY23 52.2M TRY
FY24 154M TRY
FY25 −206M TRY

UNLU sits 50% above fair value. Compare with Mirae Asset Securities Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "ÜNLÜ Yatirim Holding Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/UNLU

Peer Group

Capital Markets · 448 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 32 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −50% · Below median
Return on assets -4% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -2% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -43% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.03× · Lower than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 / 6
FUTURE 0 / 85
PAST 0 / 30
HEALTH 99 / 93
DIVIDEND 0 / 38

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Capital Markets stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 2, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Mirae Asset Securities Co 006800 38,750 KRW 31,645 KRW -18%
Meritz Financial Group 138040 117,000 KRW 87,706 KRW -25%
Korea Investment Holdings 071050 239,000 KRW 318,825 KRW +33%
NH Investment & Securities Co 005940 31,000 KRW 37,133 KRW +20%
Samsung Securities Co 016360 107,700 KRW 126,487 KRW +17%
Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited MOTILALOFS ₹967.00 ₹299.65 -69%
Kiwoom Securities Co 039490 322,000 KRW 358,091 KRW +11%
SSI Securities Corporation SSI 24,250 VND 28,021 VND +16%
Bolsas y Mercados Argentinos S.A BYMA 313.75 ARS 120.22 ARS -62%
Daishin Securities Co 003540 26,200 KRW 46,660 KRW +78%

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Frequently asked questions

Is ÜNLÜ Yatirim Holding (UNLU) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 5.57 TRY versus a price of 11.12 TRY, about −50% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of UNLU?
Our model-based fair value for ÜNLÜ Yatirim Holding is 5.57 TRY (as of Aug 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 11.12 TRY.
What is the quality score of UNLU?
ÜNLÜ Yatirim Holding has a Quality Score of 33/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of ÜNLÜ Yatirim Holding (UNLU)?
ÜNLÜ Yatirim Holding reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 41.6B TRY (latest available figure, as of Aug 2, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of UNLU?
The net profit margin of ÜNLÜ Yatirim Holding is about -0.5%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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