United Palm Oil Industry Public Company (UPOIC) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · TH · Market cap 2.3B THB
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 17 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Share price −2.9% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 38% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (6.93 THB). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (59/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 3.56 THB – 8.14 THB · fair‑value band 6.93 THB – 11.55 THB · the 6.70 THB price screens below the 9.24 THB fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
United Palm Oil Industry Public Company (UPOIC) currently trades at 6.70 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 9.24 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 37.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, United Palm Oil Industry Public Company generated revenue of 2.1B THB at a net margin of 12.5%. Revenue grew 42.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.9%. Net debt stands at 51.4M THB. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 6.93 THB (bear case) to 11.55 THB (bull case); at 6.70 THB, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 102% fair-value upside, at 38%, UPOIC screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 17 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (12.91 THB) versus DCF Models (1.40 THB). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 58
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
United Palm Oil Industry Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells crude palm oil and palm kernel oil in Thailand. It operates through two segments, Oil Palm Plantation, Crude Palm Oil and Crude Palm Kernel Oil Processing; and Generation of Electricity from Biogases and Biomasses.
Full company description
United Palm Oil Industry Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells crude palm oil and palm kernel oil in Thailand. It operates through two segments, Oil Palm Plantation, Crude Palm Oil and Crude Palm Kernel Oil Processing; and Generation of Electricity from Biogases and Biomasses. It also offers crude palm kernel oil, palm kernel cakes, and palm kernel seeds; and holds concessions to use forest reserve land. In addition, the company owns oil palm plantations in Krabi and Surat Thani province. The company was incorporated in 1978 and is headquartered in Bangkok, Thailand. United Palm Oil Industry Public Company Limited is a subsidiary of Lam Soon (Thailand) Public Company Limited.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
United Palm Oil Industry Public Company reported revenue of 1.9B THB in FY2025 versus 2.1B THB in FY2021, a compound −2.6%/yr. Reported net income was 219M THB in FY2025, compounding −8.1%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +5.3 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
Watch UPOIC: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Peer Group
Farm Products · 288 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Farm Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Muyuan Foods Group 002714 | ¥40.90 | ¥48.19 | +18% |
| Wens Foodstuff Group 300498 | ¥14.51 | ¥12.08 | -17% |
| Mowi ASA MOWI | kr 188.40 | kr 262.59 | +39% |
| PT Charoen Pokphand Indonesia Tbk, CPIN | 3,120 IDR | 7,076 IDR | +127% |
| Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company CPF | 22.00 THB | 55.71 THB | +153% |
| PT Triputra Agro Persada Tbk TAPG | 1,540 IDR | 3,105 IDR | +102% |
| PT FAP Agri Tbk FAPA | 7,300 IDR | 7,463 IDR | +2% |
| PT Japfa Comfeed Indonesia Tbk JPFA | 2,070 IDR | 7,231 IDR | +249% |
| Thaifoods Group TFGR | 10.60 THB | 23.53 THB | +122% |
| PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk JARR | 1,845 IDR | 610.80 IDR | -67% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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