URC.TO (URC) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · CA · Market cap C$539M (≈ $390M) · ISIN CA91702V1013
What is URC.TO really worth?
Below-average quality, and trading another 140% above our fair value of C$1.62.
As of Aug 22, 2026, the fair value of URC.TO is C$1.62 per share against a price of C$3.89, so the fair value sits 58% below the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 22, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 15 days ago
Share price −1.5% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (C$2.02). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (18/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range (C$1.07 to C$2.02) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 22, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range C$2.00 – C$7.39 · fair‑value band C$1.07 – C$2.02 · the C$3.89 price screens above the C$1.62 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 22, 2026.
Analysis
URC.TO (URC) currently trades at C$3.89, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$1.62, implying the stock looks roughly 140.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 18/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
It earns a return on equity of 1.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of C$12.8M. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 97.3. Fundamentals as of Aug 22, 2026
Our scenario range runs from C$1.07 (bear case) to C$2.02 (bull case); at C$3.89, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 48% below its 52-week high and 29% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −66% fair-value upside, at −58%, URC screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 12 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly C$0.0400 per share, which is 2.5 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 24 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 12
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Uranium Royalty Corp. operates as a pure-play uranium royalty company in Canada, the United States, Namibia, and Spain. It engages in the acquisition and assembly of a portfolio of royalties; investment in companies with exposure to uranium and physical uranium; and purchase and sale of physical uranium.
Full company description
Uranium Royalty Corp. operates as a pure-play uranium royalty company in Canada, the United States, Namibia, and Spain. It engages in the acquisition and assembly of a portfolio of royalties; investment in companies with exposure to uranium and physical uranium; and purchase and sale of physical uranium. The company also owns and manages a portfolio of geographically diversified uranium interests. Uranium Royalty Corp. was incorporated in 2017 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
URC.TO reported revenue of C$15.6M in FY2025 versus C$0 in FY2021. Reported net income was −C$5.7M in FY2025.
URC screens 140% overvalued. Compare with China National Uranium Co →
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Uranium stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 22, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China National Uranium Co 001280 | ¥63.29 | ¥16.71 | −74% |
| NexGen Energy Ltd NXE | $9.93 | $1.03 | −90% |
| Sprott Physical Uranium Trust Fund UU | $18.61 | $29.76 | +60% |
| Centrus Energy Corp LEU | $170.46 | $58.25 | −66% |
| CGN Mining Company 1164 | HK$2.87 | HK$1.01 | −65% |
| Deep Yellow Limited DYL | A$1.75 | A$0.3000 | −83% |
| IsoEnergy Ltd ISO | C$15.59 | C$1.59 | −90% |
| Bannerman Energy Ltd BMN | A$4.34 | A$3.63 | −16% |
| Uranium Royalty Corp UROY | $4.44 | $1.62 | −64% |
| Boss Energy Limited BOE | A$1.53 | A$0.3600 | −76% |
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