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United States Lime & Minerals, Inc (USLM) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · US · Market cap $2.9B

US United States Lime & Minerals, Inc logo United States Lime & Minerals, Inc USLM · US
Price$120.07
Fair Value$76.63
Upside-36.2%
Quality68/100
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Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 35.4% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
0.24% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/14)
Wide moat 86/100
Evidence: High Range $56.56 – $92.59 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 13, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 28 days ago

Share price +23.2% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 36% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($92.59). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (68/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$156.93 $20.20 Fair Value $76.63 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $20.20 – $156.93 · fair‑value band $56.56 – $92.59 · the $120.07 price screens above the $76.63 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.

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Analysis

United States Lime & Minerals, Inc (USLM) currently trades at $120.07, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $76.63, implying the stock looks roughly 36.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 68/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, United States Lime & Minerals, Inc generated revenue of $369M at a net margin of 35.4%. Revenue declined 3.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 21.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $367M. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $56.56 (bear case) to $92.59 (bull case); at $120.07, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 28% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -59% fair-value upside, at -36%, USLM screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $54.07 $79.18 $117.72 80
Residual Income $30.64 $43.61 $244.04 76
Rev-Margin DCF $35.82 $46.73 $60.26 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $54.00 $80.53 $122.20 38
Owner Earnings $51.80 $76.91 $116.35 31
5Y Revenue Exit $35.82 $46.36 $59.53 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $55.45 $85.00 $120.70 41
5Y P/E Exit $62.43 $98.73 $138.66 38
10Y Revenue Exit $41.59 $53.16 $68.65 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $54.50 $80.13 $116.52 37
10Y P/E Exit $58.94 $89.71 $130.57 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $31.83 $124.32 $168.69 54
Lynch FV $30.57 $43.68 $56.78 50
PEG = 1.0 $30.57 $43.68 $56.78 46
EPV $51.33 $57.39 $62.62 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $2.10 $4.19 $6.35 70
DDM Multi-Stage $2.10 $3.62 $4.43 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $59.69 $79.59 $99.48 63
P/S Multiple $14.62 $19.49 $24.37 58
P/B Multiple $49.48 $65.97 $82.47 55
EV/EBIT $70.73 $89.99 $109.25 53
EV/EBITDA $60.81 $76.77 $92.73 54
EV/Revenue $26.58 $32.43 $38.28 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $11.00 $14.73 $21.99 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $54.07 $79.18 $117.72 80
Rev-Margin DCF $35.82 $46.73 $60.26 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $30.64 $43.61 $244.04 76
ROIC Compounder $54.15 $64.11 $75.18 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $48.46 $69.22 $89.99 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($80.13) versus Dividend Discount ($3.62). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $369M
Revenue growth (YoY) -3.7%
Net margin 35.4%
Return on equity 21.9%
Free cash flow $102M FY2025
P/E ratio 22.3
More key figures
Operating margin 40.7%
EPS (TTM) $4.54
Dividend yield 0.2%
EPS growth (YoY) -10.9%
Net cash $367M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 68/100

Of which business quality 70 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 52

Profitability 72
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 62
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 73
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 6
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 63
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 45
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 53
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 79
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

United States Lime & Minerals, Inc. manufactures and supplies lime and limestone products in the United States. It extracts limestone from open-pit quarries and an underground mine, and processes it as pulverized limestone, quicklime, hydrated lime, and lime slurry.

Full company description

United States Lime & Minerals, Inc. manufactures and supplies lime and limestone products in the United States. It extracts limestone from open-pit quarries and an underground mine, and processes it as pulverized limestone, quicklime, hydrated lime, and lime slurry. The company supplies its products primarily to the construction customers, including highway, road, and building contractors; industrial customers, such as paper and glass manufacturers; environmental customers comprising municipal sanitation and water treatment facilities, and flue gas treatment processes; oil and gas services companies; roof shingle manufacturers; and poultry producers, as well as steel producers. In addition, the company has various royalty interests with respect to oil and gas rights in natural gas wells located in Johnson County, Texas in the Barnett Shale Formation. The company was incorporated in 1950 and is headquartered in Dallas, Texas. United States Lime & Minerals, Inc. is a subsidiary of Inberdon Enterprises Ltd.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

United States Lime & Minerals, Inc reported revenue of $373M in FY2025 versus $189M in FY2021, a compound +18.5%/yr. Reported net income was $134M in FY2025, compounding +38.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$373M
Latest YoY
+17.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+16.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+18.3%
Avg. growth/yr (34Y)
+6.8%
Revenue +18.5%/yr
FY21 $189M
FY22 $236M
FY23 $281M
FY24 $318M
FY25 $373M
Net income +38.0%/yr
FY21 $37.0M
FY22 $45.4M
FY23 $74.5M
FY24 $109M
FY25 $134M

USLM screens 36% overvalued. Compare with CRH plc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "United States Lime & Minerals, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/USLM

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Building Materials · 254 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 68 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −36% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 22% · Top 25%
Return on assets 15% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 35% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 41% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -4% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.2% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Building Materials median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 22.3× · Pricier than median
P/B 4.60× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 7.85× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 28.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 14.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 28
FUTURE 0 · sector 2
PAST 88 · sector 15
HEALTH 100 · sector 92
DIVIDEND 5 · sector 42

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 30/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Building Materials stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
CRH plc CRH $102.92 $70.57 -31%
UltraTech Cement Limited ULTRACEMCO ₹11,711 ₹4,719 -60%
China Jushi Co 600176 ¥54.52 ¥13.95 -74%
Grasim Industries Limited GRASIM ₹3,073 ₹1,245 -59%
CEMEX, S.A. CEMEXCPO 21.71 MXN 15.42 MXN -29%
Anhui Conch Cement Company 600585 ¥16.99 ¥26.14 +54%
Ambuja Cements Limited AMBUJACEM ₹435.25 ₹227.96 -48%
Shree Cement Limited SHREECEM ₹26,930 ₹8,215 -69%
TCC Group 1101B 43.70 TWD 10.48 TWD -76%
Taiwan Glass Ind. Corp 1802 53.30 TWD 13.98 TWD -74%

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Frequently asked questions

Is United States Lime & Minerals, Inc (USLM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $76.63 versus a price of $120.07, about −36% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of USLM?
Our model-based fair value for United States Lime & Minerals, Inc is $76.63 (as of Jul 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $120.07.
What is the quality score of USLM?
United States Lime & Minerals, Inc has a Quality Score of 68/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of United States Lime & Minerals, Inc (USLM)?
United States Lime & Minerals, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $369M (latest available figure, as of Jul 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of USLM?
The net profit margin of United States Lime & Minerals, Inc is about 35.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 35.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does United States Lime & Minerals, Inc pay a dividend?
United States Lime & Minerals, Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.23% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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