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Unite Group (UTG) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · GB · Market cap 2.7B GBX

UG Unite Group UTG · LSE
Price£5.27
Fair Value£3.23
Upside-38.7%
Quality33/100
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Expensive Growth
Highly profitable · 25.2% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
7.18% dividend yield
Trails peers (4/14)
Moderate moat 59/100
Evidence: High Range £2.26 – £4.04 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 9 valuation models · updated 24 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 17, 2026, revised from £3.19 to £3.23 (+1.3%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price +5.4% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 39% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (£4.04). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (33/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

£9.98 £4.21 Fair Value £3.23 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range £4.21 – £9.98 · fair‑value band £2.26 – £4.04 · the £5.27 price screens above the £3.23 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

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Analysis

Unite Group (UTG) currently trades at £5.27, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £3.23, implying the stock looks roughly 38.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 33/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Unite Group generated revenue of £387M at a net margin of 25.2%. Revenue grew 22.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.1%. Net debt stands at £1.4B. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from £2.26 (bear case) to £4.04 (bull case); at £5.27, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at -39%, UTG screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income £6.45 £6.20 £4.87 76
Gordon GGM £2.63 £5.23 £7.93 70
DDM Multi-Stage £2.63 £4.52 £5.53 61
All 9 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM £2.63 £5.23 £7.93 70
DDM Multi-Stage £2.63 £4.52 £5.53 61
Multiples
P/S Multiple £2.42 £3.23 £4.04 58
P/B Multiple £2.42 £3.23 £4.04 55
EV/EBIT £2.54 £4.18 £5.81 53
EV/EBITDA £1.59 £2.91 £4.24 54
EV/Revenue £0.3300 £1.50 £2.66 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) £4.61 £6.17 £9.21 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income £6.45 £6.20 £4.87 76

Widest divergence: Economic Profit (£6.20) versus Multiples (£3.23). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 387M GBX
Revenue growth (YoY) +22.6%
Net margin 25.2%
Return on equity 2.1%
Free cash flow −92.1M GBX FY2025
P/E ratio 26.4
More key figures
Operating margin 43.5%
EPS (TTM) £0.2000
Dividend yield 7.2%
EPS growth (YoY) -41.1%
Net debt 1.4B GBX FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 33/100

Of which business quality 36 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 40

Profitability 31
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 23
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 43
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 55
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 45
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 67
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 33
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 20
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 12
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Unite Group PLC is the UK's largest owner, manager and developer. It is purpose-built student accommodation (PBSA) serving the country's world-leading higher education sector. We provide homes to 72,000 students across 208 properties in 29 leading university towns and cities. We currently partner with over 60 universities across the UK.

Full company description

Unite Group PLC is the UK's largest owner, manager and developer. It is purpose-built student accommodation (PBSA) serving the country's world-leading higher education sector. We provide homes to 72,000 students across 208 properties in 29 leading university towns and cities. We currently partner with over 60 universities across the UK. Our people are driven by a common purpose: to provide a Home for Success for the students who live with us. Unite Students accommodation is safe and secure, high quality and affordable. Students live predominantly in en-suite study bedrooms with rents covering all bills, insurance, 24-hour security and high-speed Wi-Fi. We are committed to raising standards in the student accommodation sector for our customers, investors and employees. Our Sustainability Strategy includes a commitment to become net zero carbon across our operations and developments by 2030. Founded in 1991 in Bristol, the Unite Group is an award-winning Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT), listed on the London Stock Exchange. Unite Group PLC was incorporated in 1991 in United Kingdom.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Unite Group reported revenue of £333M in FY2025 versus £267M in FY2021, a compound +5.7%/yr. Reported net income was £97.6M in FY2025, compounding −26.9%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 46/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
£333M
Latest YoY
+11.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+8.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+9.1%
Avg. growth/yr (29Y)
+25.3%
Revenue +5.7%/yr
FY21 £267M
FY22 £259M
FY23 £276M
FY24 £299M
FY25 £333M
Net income −26.9%/yr
FY21 £342M
FY22 £351M
FY23 £103M
FY24 £442M
FY25 £97.6M

UTG screens 39% overvalued. Compare with Goodman Group →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Unite Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/UTG

Peer Group

REIT - Diversified · 165 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 34 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −39% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 2% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 25% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 43% · Below median
Revenue growth 23% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 7.2% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.27× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Diversified median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 26.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 0.77× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 9.45× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 21.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 3.23× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 13
FUTURE 100 · sector 13
PAST 8 · sector 20
HEALTH 87 · sector 72
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 97

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 30/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more REIT - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Goodman Group GMG A$29.11 A$7.37 -75%
VICI Properties Inc VICI $26.73 $41.74 +56%
W. P. Carey Inc WPC $76.69 $35.59 -54%
Charter Hall Group CHC A$21.90 A$11.46 -48%
Fibra Uno FUNO11 31.10 MXN 63.56 MXN +104%
COV COV €52.55 €62.39 +19%
The GPT Group GPT A$4.89 A$3.49 -29%
Mirvac Group MGR A$1.70 A$0.5700 -66%
KLCC Property Holdings 5235SS 8.85 MYR 6.91 MYR -22%
CRRUN CRRUN C$17.65 C$17.89 +1%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Unite Group (UTG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £3.23 versus a price of £5.27, about −39% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of UTG?
Our model-based fair value for Unite Group is £3.23 (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is £5.27.
What is the quality score of UTG?
Unite Group has a Quality Score of 33/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Unite Group (UTG)?
Unite Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £387M (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of UTG?
The net profit margin of Unite Group is about 25.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 25.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Unite Group pay a dividend?
Unite Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 7.33% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 17, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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