Uttam Sugar Mills Limited (UTTAMSUGAR) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · IN · Market cap ₹8.9B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 4 days ago
Share price +19.7% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 95% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (₹398.05). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (60/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹99.62 – ₹513.57 · fair‑value band ₹398.05 – ₹690.28 · the ₹283.00 price screens below the ₹552.23 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Uttam Sugar Mills Limited (UTTAMSUGAR) currently trades at ₹283.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹552.23, implying the stock looks roughly 95.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Uttam Sugar Mills Limited generated revenue of ₹22.0B at a net margin of 4.6%. Revenue declined 17.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.8%. Net debt stands at ₹7.1B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹398.05 (bear case) to ₹690.28 (bull case); at ₹283.00, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 56% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -37% fair-value upside, at 95%, UTTAMSUGAR screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (₹759.29) versus Dividend Discount (₹40.81). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 66
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Uttam Sugar Mills Limited manufactures and sells sugar products under the Uttam brand in India and internationally. It operates through Sugar, Cogeneration, and Distillery segments.
Full company description
Uttam Sugar Mills Limited manufactures and sells sugar products under the Uttam brand in India and internationally. It operates through Sugar, Cogeneration, and Distillery segments. The company offers pharma, double refined, planation white, and demerara sugar, as well as invert sugar syrup; and liquid, natural brown, sulphur free and bura, icing, superfine, mishri candi, white sachet, brown, table, brown and white cube, and caster sugar. It also provides industrial alcohol and ethanol; and engages in power generation business. In addition, the company produces carbon dioxide and potash from the ash of incineration boiler. It serves pharmaceuticals, processed food, beverages, confectionery, diary, bakery, distillery, honey replacement, sauces, breakfast cereals, tobacco, direct consumption, hotels, hospitals, and travel and tourism industries. The company was formerly known as Associated Sugar Mills Limited and changed its name to Uttam Sugar Mills Limited in November 1998. Uttam Sugar Mills Limited was founded in 1960 and is based in Noida, India.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Uttam Sugar Mills Limited reported revenue of ₹22.0B in FY2026 versus ₹20.3B in FY2022, a compound +2.0%/yr. Reported net income was ₹1.0B in FY2026, compounding −7.1%/yr from FY2022.
of which total revenue +8.3 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Confectioners · 78 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Confectioners median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Confectioners stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli AG LISN | CHF 94,500 | CHF 9,669 | -90% |
| Mondelez International, Inc MDLZ | $61.78 | $27.36 | -56% |
| The Hershey Company HSY | $184.23 | $91.25 | -50% |
| Barry Callebaut AG BARN | CHF 1,136 | CHF 711.91 | -37% |
| ORION Corp 271560 | 132,800 KRW | 203,315 KRW | +53% |
| Guangxi Yuegui Guangye Holdings 000833 | ¥20.48 | ¥9.09 | -56% |
| Cloetta AB CLAB | kr 54.85 | kr 59.12 | +8% |
| Balrampur Chini Mills Limited BALRAMCHIN | ₹604.70 | ₹304.54 | -50% |
| PT Yupi Indo Jelly Gum Tbk YUPI | 1,295 IDR | 1,140 IDR | -12% |
| ORION Holdings 001800 | 26,850 KRW | 42,237 KRW | +57% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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