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VAT Group (VACN) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CH · Market cap CHF 20.0B

VG VAT Group VACN · SW
PriceCHF 634.40
Fair ValueCHF 132.45
Upside-79.1%
Quality76/100
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Healthy Growth
Solidly profitable · 20.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
1.01% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/15)
Wide moat 79/100
Evidence: High Range CHF 90.90 – CHF 166.45 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 20 days ago

Share price −3.8% over the past month.

A strong business, but screening 79% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • A high-quality business (quality 76/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (CHF 166.45). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • A fairly wide model range (CHF 90.90 to CHF 166.45) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

CHF 709.40 CHF 186.17 Fair Value CHF 132.45 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range CHF 186.17 – CHF 709.40 · fair‑value band CHF 90.90 – CHF 166.45 · the CHF 634.40 price screens above the CHF 132.45 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

VAT Group (VACN) currently trades at CHF 634.40, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is CHF 132.45, implying the stock looks roughly 79.1% overvalued today. We read business quality at 76/100 (high quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, VAT Group generated revenue of CHF 1.1B at a net margin of 20.0%. Revenue grew 4.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 27.7%. Net debt stands at CHF 107M. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from CHF 90.90 (bear case) to CHF 166.45 (bull case); at CHF 634.40, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 149% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -79%, VACN screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF CHF 101.37 CHF 169.34 CHF 281.39 80
Residual Income CHF 42.55 CHF 50.58 CHF 146.08 76
Rev-Margin DCF CHF 76.63 CHF 123.13 CHF 181.50 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF CHF 101.40 CHF 173.46 CHF 294.29 38
Owner Earnings CHF 88.20 CHF 150.57 CHF 255.16 31
5Y Revenue Exit CHF 76.63 CHF 123.45 CHF 185.06 39
5Y EBITDA Exit CHF 97.99 CHF 166.31 CHF 249.97 41
5Y P/E Exit CHF 101.21 CHF 172.76 CHF 252.52 38
10Y Revenue Exit CHF 82.21 CHF 128.84 CHF 196.31 36
10Y EBITDA Exit CHF 98.30 CHF 159.76 CHF 249.23 37
10Y P/E Exit CHF 100.41 CHF 164.42 CHF 251.32 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd CHF 48.63 CHF 204.32 CHF 278.75 54
Lynch FV CHF 51.86 CHF 74.09 CHF 96.31 50
PEG = 1.0 CHF 51.86 CHF 74.09 CHF 96.31 46
EPV CHF 73.69 CHF 85.44 CHF 95.72 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM CHF 57.41 CHF 119.36 CHF 189.36 70
DDM Multi-Stage CHF 57.41 CHF 100.65 CHF 125.28 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple CHF 107.27 CHF 143.02 CHF 178.78 63
P/S Multiple CHF 67.17 CHF 89.56 CHF 111.95 58
P/B Multiple CHF 59.55 CHF 79.40 CHF 99.26 55
EV/EBIT CHF 122.50 CHF 162.27 CHF 202.03 53
EV/EBITDA CHF 105.23 CHF 139.24 CHF 173.25 54
EV/Revenue CHF 65.90 CHF 92.77 CHF 119.64 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) CHF 13.23 CHF 17.73 CHF 26.47 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF CHF 101.37 CHF 169.34 CHF 281.39 80
Rev-Margin DCF CHF 76.63 CHF 123.13 CHF 181.50 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income CHF 42.55 CHF 50.58 CHF 146.08 76
ROIC Compounder CHF 81.22 CHF 104.16 CHF 131.79 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E CHF 85.68 CHF 122.41 CHF 159.13 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (CHF 159.76) versus Asset-Based (CHF 17.73). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) CHF 1.1B
Revenue growth (YoY) +4.7%
Net margin 20.0%
Return on equity 27.7%
Free cash flow CHF 237M FY2025
P/E ratio 85.4
More key figures
Operating margin 22.2%
EPS (TTM) CHF 7.15
Dividend yield 1.2%
EPS growth (YoY) -7.7%
Net debt CHF 107M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 76/100

Of which business quality 77 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 65

Profitability 77
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 48
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 79
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 85
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 93
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 26
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 77
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 90
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

VAT Group AG, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development, manufacture, and sale of vacuum and gas inlet valves, multi-valve modules, motion components, and edge-welded metal bellows. It operates in two segments, Valves and Global Service.

Full company description

VAT Group AG, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development, manufacture, and sale of vacuum and gas inlet valves, multi-valve modules, motion components, and edge-welded metal bellows. It operates in two segments, Valves and Global Service. The Valves segment offers vacuum valves for the semiconductor, displays, photovoltaics, and vacuum coating industries, as well as for the industrial and research sectors. The Global Service segment provides spare parts, repairs, and upgrades, as well as support services. The company offers vacuum isolation, gate, angle, inline, check, cylinder, and all-metal valves; vacuum pendulum and butterfly valves; 3 position, multi-value, and vacuum control valves; vacuum transfer valves and doors; pressure relief/venting, gas dosing, and fast closing/beam stopper valves; and flange connections, bellows, and vacuum modules. It has operations in Switzerland, rest of Europe, the United States, Japan, Korea, Singapore, China, rest of Asia, and internationally. VAT Group AG was founded in 1965 and is headquartered in Solothurn, Switzerland.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

VAT Group reported revenue of CHF 1.1B in FY2025 versus CHF 901M in FY2021, a compound +4.5%/yr. Reported net income was CHF 214M in FY2025, compounding −0.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 89/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
CHF 1.1B
Latest YoY
+13.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−2.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+9.2%
Avg. growth/yr (10Y)
+10.1%
Revenue +4.5%/yr
FY21 CHF 901M
FY22 CHF 1.1B
FY23 CHF 885M
FY24 CHF 942M
FY25 CHF 1.1B
Net income −0.4%/yr
FY21 CHF 217M
FY22 CHF 307M
FY23 CHF 190M
FY24 CHF 212M
FY25 CHF 214M

VACN screens 79% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "VAT Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/VACN

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Specialty Industrial Machinery · 807 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 76 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −79% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 28% · Top 25%
Return on assets 12% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 20% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 22% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 5% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.0% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.06× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 93.6× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 31.14× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 23.01× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 104.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 83.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 3.44× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 24 · sector 23
PAST 100 · sector 28
HEALTH 97 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 20 · sector 24

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
GE Vernova Inc 1GEV €967.60 €212.97 -78%
1SIE 1SIE €284.30 €122.46 -57%
SMNS SMNS C$31.76 C$22.68 -29%
Eaton Corporation ETN $407.28 $171.92 -58%
Atlas Copco AB ATCOA kr 195.15 kr 112.59 -42%
Sandvik AB SAND kr 384.10 kr 193.01 -50%
Doosan Enerbility Co 034020 76,400 KRW 7,938 KRW -90%
Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 ¥43.20 ¥22.68 -48%
Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS kr 178.10 kr 124.54 -30%
NARI Technology Co 600406 ¥22.19 ¥18.71 -16%

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Frequently asked questions

Is VAT Group (VACN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of CHF 132.45 versus a price of CHF 634.40, about −79% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of VACN?
Our model-based fair value for VAT Group is CHF 132.45 (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is CHF 634.40.
What is the quality score of VACN?
VAT Group has a Quality Score of 76/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of VAT Group (VACN)?
VAT Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about CHF 1.1B (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of VACN?
The net profit margin of VAT Group is about 20.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 20.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does VAT Group pay a dividend?
VAT Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.17% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 18, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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