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PT Vastland Indonesia Tbk (VAST) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · ID · Market cap 354B IDR

PV PT Vastland Indonesia Tbk VAST · JK
Price115.00 IDR
Fair Value94.54 IDR
Upside-17.8%
Quality59/100
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Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 43.3% net margin
Low debt
Ranks above peers (8/9)
Wide moat 65/100
Evidence: High Range 70.90 IDR – 118.17 IDR Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 19 valuation models · updated 24 days ago

Share price +0.9% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 18% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (59/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
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Price vs Fair Value (4 years)

234.00 IDR 56.00 IDR Fair Value 94.54 IDR Feb 2023 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

42‑month range 56.00 IDR – 234.00 IDR · fair‑value band 70.90 IDR – 118.17 IDR · the 115.00 IDR price screens above the 94.54 IDR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

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Analysis

PT Vastland Indonesia Tbk (VAST) currently trades at 115.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 94.54 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 17.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, PT Vastland Indonesia Tbk generated revenue of 40.2B IDR at a net margin of 43.3%. Revenue grew 6.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.5%. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 70.90 IDR (bear case) to 118.17 IDR (bull case); at 115.00 IDR, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 51% below its 52-week high and 26% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -9% fair-value upside, at -18%, VAST screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 156.93 IDR 308.78 IDR 591.89 IDR 80
ROIC Compounder 46.44 IDR 57.31 IDR 66.97 IDR 72
Growth-Adj P/E 80.26 IDR 114.66 IDR 149.06 IDR 68
All 19 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 159.24 IDR 327.02 IDR 646.51 IDR 38
5Y Revenue Exit 48.37 IDR 72.48 IDR 100.87 IDR 39
5Y P/E Exit 94.53 IDR 170.89 IDR 258.97 IDR 38
10Y Revenue Exit 81.47 IDR 117.83 IDR 166.75 IDR 36
10Y P/E Exit 113.82 IDR 193.04 IDR 306.69 IDR 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 37.81 IDR 195.85 IDR 270.84 IDR 54
Lynch FV 53.56 IDR 76.52 IDR 99.47 IDR 50
PEG = 1.0 53.56 IDR 76.52 IDR 99.47 IDR 46
EPV 46.44 IDR 57.31 IDR 66.97 IDR 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple 87.59 IDR 116.78 IDR 145.98 IDR 63
P/S Multiple 19.45 IDR 25.94 IDR 32.42 IDR 58
P/B Multiple 70.90 IDR 94.54 IDR 118.17 IDR 55
EV/EBIT 84.25 IDR 117.38 IDR 150.51 IDR 53
EV/Revenue 1.19 IDR 8.20 IDR 15.20 IDR 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 64.88 IDR 86.94 IDR 129.77 IDR 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 156.93 IDR 308.78 IDR 591.89 IDR 80
Economic Profit
Residual Income 99.04 IDR 99.28 IDR 92.84 IDR 61
ROIC Compounder 46.44 IDR 57.31 IDR 66.97 IDR 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 80.26 IDR 114.66 IDR 149.06 IDR 68

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (308.78 IDR) versus Economic Profit (57.31 IDR). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 40.2B IDR
Revenue growth (YoY) +6.4%
Net margin 43.3%
Return on equity 4.5%
Operating margin 58.4%
EPS growth (YoY) +13.5%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 59/100

Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 25

Profitability 35
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 46
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 99
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 50
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 23
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 46
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 18
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 12
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

PT Vastland Indonesia Tbk is involved in the construction and rental of warehouses in Indonesia. It operates built-to-suit warehouses for various industries, including fast-moving consumer goods, beverages, commodities trading, 3PL providers, pharmaceutical distributors, electronics, and e-commerce; and general warehouses.

Full company description

PT Vastland Indonesia Tbk is involved in the construction and rental of warehouses in Indonesia. It operates built-to-suit warehouses for various industries, including fast-moving consumer goods, beverages, commodities trading, 3PL providers, pharmaceutical distributors, electronics, and e-commerce; and general warehouses. The company was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in Bandar Lampung, Indonesia. PT Vastland Indonesia Tbk operates as a subsidiary of PT Tembesu Elang Perkasa.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

PT Vastland Indonesia Tbk reported revenue of 39.6B IDR in FY2025 versus 23.8B IDR in FY2022, a compound +18.6%/yr. Reported net income was 17.0B IDR in FY2025, compounding +0.8%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
39.6B IDR
Latest YoY
+4.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+18.6%
Revenue +18.6%/yr
FY22 23.8B IDR
FY23 25.7B IDR
FY24 38.1B IDR
FY25 39.6B IDR
Net income +0.8%/yr
FY22 16.6B IDR
FY23 98.8B IDR
FY24 14.8B IDR
FY25 17.0B IDR

VAST screens 18% overvalued. Compare with Vingroup Joint Stock Company →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "PT Vastland Indonesia Tbk Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/VAST

Peer Group

Real Estate Services · 520 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 57 · Above median
Fair Value upside −18% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 43% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 58% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 6% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.12× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper

EV/EBITDA 1.7× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 10 · sector 37
FUTURE 32 · sector 10
PAST 18 · sector 16
HEALTH 94 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 49

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
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KE Holdings 2423 HK$44.76 HK$18.03 -60%
Swire Properties Limited 1972 HK$23.90 HK$18.75 -22%
China Resources Mixc Lifestyle Services Limited 1209 HK$39.92 HK$34.92 -13%
Plaza S.A MALLPLAZA 3,725 CLP 5,571 CLP +50%
SAGAA SAGAA kr 170.00 kr 75.55 -56%
Cencosud Shopping S.A CENCOMALLS 2,324 CLP 2,976 CLP +28%
PT Sarana Menara Nusantara Tbk. owns and TOWR 372.00 IDR 1,208 IDR +225%
PT Metropolitan Kentjana Tbk MKPI 20,975 IDR 19,160 IDR -9%
PT Bangun Kosambi Sukses Tbk, CBDK 3,530 IDR 3,464 IDR -2%

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Frequently asked questions

Is PT Vastland Indonesia Tbk (VAST) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 94.54 IDR versus a price of 115.00 IDR, about −18% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of VAST?
Our model-based fair value for PT Vastland Indonesia Tbk is 94.54 IDR (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 115.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of VAST?
PT Vastland Indonesia Tbk has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of PT Vastland Indonesia Tbk (VAST)?
PT Vastland Indonesia Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 40.2B IDR (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of VAST?
The net profit margin of PT Vastland Indonesia Tbk is about 43.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 43.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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