VBG Group (VBG-B) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · SE · Market cap 7.9B SEK (≈ $825M) · ISIN SE0000115107
What is VBG Group really worth?
A solid business, trading 20% below our fair value of kr 391.03.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 19, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 16 days ago
Share price −3.5% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- Solid quality (53/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range (kr 199.85 to kr 491.05) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 102.97 – kr 485.42 · fair‑value band kr 199.85 – kr 491.05 · the kr 313.00 price screens below the kr 391.03 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.
Analysis
VBG Group (VBG-B) currently trades at kr 313.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 391.03, implying the stock looks roughly 20.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of kr 347.78 per share, and 14 of the 24 models we run sit above the kr 313.00 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at kr 117.74, and 10 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, VBG Group generated revenue of 5.4B SEK at a net margin of 7.8%. Revenue grew 1.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.3%. Net debt stands at 830M SEK. Fundamentals as of Aug 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from kr 199.85 (bear case) to kr 491.05 (bull case); at kr 313.00, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 31% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −38% fair-value upside, at 25%, VBG-B screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly kr 6.52 per share, which is 1.7 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (kr 347.78) versus Asset-Based (kr 117.74). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (77).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 50
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
VBG Group AB (publ), together with its subsidiaries, develops, manufactures, markets, and sells various industrial products in Sweden, Germany, rest of the Nordic countries and Europe, North America, Brazil, Australia, New Zealand, China, and internationally.
Full company description
VBG Group AB (publ), together with its subsidiaries, develops, manufactures, markets, and sells various industrial products in Sweden, Germany, rest of the Nordic countries and Europe, North America, Brazil, Australia, New Zealand, China, and internationally. It operates in three segments: Truck & Trailer Equipment, Mobile Thermal Solutions, and Ringfeder Power Transmission. The Truck & Trailer Equipment segment provides drawbar couplings under VBG and Ringfeder brands; automatic tire chains under Onspot brand name; sliding roofs for tarpaulin-covered trailers and railway wagons and tipper vehicles under Edscha Trailer Systems and Sesam brands; and vehicle lighting products under the Ledson brand name. Its Mobile Thermal Solutions segment offers climate control systems for commercial motor vehicles, including heating, ventilation, air conditioning, control systems, and various associated components, for manufacturers of transit, coach, school, and shuttle buses; and off-road vehicles for construction, agriculture, forestry, mining, and materials handling applications, as well as utility vehicles, including delivery vans, refuse collection trucks, ambulances, and fire trucks; and defense vehicles for troop transport. The Ringfeder Power Transmission segment provides products and systems for mechanical power transmission, and energy and shock absorption for the mines, freight handling, and energy production, industrial rolling mills, drilling equipment, aerospace and defense, infrastructure, medicine, and robotics sectors under the Ringfeder, Henfel, Rathi, Malmedie, and Carlyle Johnson brands. VBG Group AB (publ) was founded in 1951 and is headquartered in Trollhättan, Sweden.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
VBG Group reported revenue of 5.4B SEK in FY2025 versus 3.6B SEK in FY2021, a compound +10.6%/yr. Reported net income was 422M SEK in FY2025, compounding +5.8%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +17.1 % · buybacks/dilution −3.6 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Auto Parts · 641 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| O'Reilly Automotive, Inc ORLY | $88.50 | $47.50 | −46% |
| AutoZone, Inc AZO | $2,932 | $2,287 | −22% |
| Hyundai Mobis Co 012330 | 450,500 KRW | 643,909 KRW | +43% |
| Fuyao Glass Industry Group 600660 | ¥57.67 | ¥84.47 | +46% |
| Samvardhana Motherson International Limited MOTHERSON | ₹165.30 | ₹80.63 | −51% |
| Magna International Inc MGA | $65.57 | $68.17 | +4% |
| Genuine Parts Company GPC | $137.51 | $58.07 | −58% |
| Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD | ₹48,700 | ₹11,534 | −76% |
| Ningbo Tuopu Group 601689 | ¥45.82 | ¥28.28 | −38% |
| Bharat Forge Limited BHARATFORG | ₹2,063 | ₹393.20 | −81% |
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