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Victoria PLC (VCP) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · GB · Market cap 78.8M GBX

VP Victoria PLC VCP · LSE
Price£0.6830
Fair Value£1.09
Upside+59.6%
Quality37/100
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Expensive Growth
Loss-making · -21.5% net margin
Negative equity (buybacks among others) · negative free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (7/12)
Narrow moat 12/100
Evidence: Low Range £0.6100 – £1.50 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026

From 2 valuation models · updated 26 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 15, 2026, revised from £1.70 to £1.09 (−35.9%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price −17.8% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 60% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (37/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range (£0.6100 to £1.50) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

£14.20 £0.2300 Fair Value £1.09 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range £0.2300 – £14.20 · fair‑value band £0.6100 – £1.50 · the £0.6830 price screens below the £1.09 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.

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Analysis

Victoria PLC (VCP) currently trades at £0.6830, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £1.09, implying the stock looks roughly 59.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Victoria PLC generated revenue of £1.1B at a net margin of -21.5%. Revenue declined 7.0% year over year. Net debt stands at £898M. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 0.4. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026

Our scenario range runs from £0.6100 (bear case) to £1.50 (bull case); at £0.6830, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 16% fair-value upside, at 60%, VCP screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM £0.5400 £0.9100 £1.18 70
DDM Multi-Stage £0.5400 £0.8600 £0.9800 61
All 2 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM £0.5400 £0.9100 £1.18 70
DDM Multi-Stage £0.5400 £0.8600 £0.9800 61

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.1B GBX
Revenue growth (YoY) -7.0%
Net margin -21.5%
Return on equity -223%
Free cash flow −79.4M GBX FY2025
P/E ratio 0.4
More key figures
Operating margin -8.4%
EPS (TTM) £0.8600
Net debt 898M GBX FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 37/100

Of which business quality 34 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 50

Profitability 27
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 25
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 5
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 7
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 91
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 67
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 21
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 94
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Victoria PLC designs, manufactures, and distributes flooring products primarily in the United Kingdom, Italy, Belgium, Spain, Australia, the Netherlands, Turkey, France, Ireland, Portugal, and the United States.

Full company description

Victoria PLC designs, manufactures, and distributes flooring products primarily in the United Kingdom, Italy, Belgium, Spain, Australia, the Netherlands, Turkey, France, Ireland, Portugal, and the United States. The company offers a range of wool and synthetic broadloom carpets, flooring underlays, wall and floor ceramic tiles, luxury vinyl tiles (LVT), hardwood flooring products, artificial grass products, rugs, carpet tiles, and flooring accessories. It also provides logistics services. The company offers its products under the Abingdon, Avalon, Ascot, Carpet Line Direct, Casabella Ceramiche, Casainfinita, Capri, Colli, Distinctive, Dom Design Lab, Duralay, Edel Grass, Edel Life, Estillon, Ezifloor, Gaskell Mackay, GrassInc., Gripperrods, Hugh Mackay, Ibero, Interfloor, Keraben, Keradom, Kasset, Love Story, Metropol, Millennium Weavers, Royal Grass, Saloni, Schramm, Ceramiche Serra, Soft Step, Sonixx, Stainfree, Stikatak, Thomas Witter, Tredaire, United Works, Vallelunga & Co., Victoria Carpets, View Logistics, Westex, Whitestone Weavers, Wilton Royal, Dunlop Flooring, Frontier, Heartridge, Quest, Victoria Carpets, Cali, and the International Wholesale Tile brands. Victoria PLC was founded in 1895 and is headquartered in Worcester, the United Kingdom.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Victoria PLC reported revenue of £1.1B in FY2025 versus £662M in FY2021, a compound +14.0%/yr. Reported net income was −£264M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 35/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
£1.1B
Latest YoY
−12.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+12.5%
Avg. growth/yr (23Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+16.3%
Revenue +14.0%/yr
FY21 £662M
FY22 £1.0B
FY23 £1.5B
FY24 £1.3B
FY25 £1.1B
Net income
FY21 £2.8M
FY22 −£12.4M
FY23 −£91.8M
FY24 −£108M
FY25 −£264M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Victoria PLC Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/VCP

Peer Group

Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances · 311 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 37 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +60% · Top 25%
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) -21% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -8% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -7% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 0.8× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.10× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 4.3× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 0.53× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 22
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 0 · sector 19
HEALTH 100 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 55

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Midea Group 000333 ¥82.71 ¥107.22 +30%
Gree Electric Appliances, Inc 000651 ¥38.25 ¥88.02 +130%
Haier Smart Home Co 600690 ¥21.46 ¥36.04 +68%
King Slide Works Co 2059 8,655 TWD 1,917 TWD -78%
Guangdong Songfa Ceramics Co 603268 ¥155.59 ¥38.95 -75%
SharkNinja, Inc SN $154.53 $89.07 -42%
Hisense Home Appliances Group 000921 ¥26.33 ¥48.03 +82%
Zhejiang Supor Co 002032 ¥43.85 ¥44.84 +2%
COWAY Co 021240 96,700 KRW 112,530 KRW +16%
Ecovacs Robotics Co 603486 ¥50.13 ¥54.11 +8%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Victoria PLC (VCP) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 15, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £1.09 versus a price of £0.6830, about +60% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of VCP?
Our model-based fair value for Victoria PLC is £1.09 (as of Jul 15, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is £0.6830.
What is the quality score of VCP?
Victoria PLC has a Quality Score of 37/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Victoria PLC (VCP)?
Victoria PLC reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £1.1B (latest available figure, as of Jul 15, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of VCP?
The net profit margin of Victoria PLC is about -21.5%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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