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Valora Effekten Handel AG (VEH) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · DE · Market cap €1.7M

VE Valora Effekten Handel AG VEH · F
Price€0.8800
Fair Value€0.5500
Upside-37.5%
Quality71/100
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Strengths

Healthy Growth
Low debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Trades 38% ABOVE our fair value of €0.5500
!Loss over the last twelve months · -27.7% net margin · fiscal year 2025 4.8%
!Trails peers (3/11)
!Narrow moat 0/100
Healthy Growth
Loss over the last twelve months · -27.7% net margin · fiscal year 2025 4.8%
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (3/11)
Narrow moat 0/100
Evidence: High Range €0.5300 – €0.5600 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 20, 2026

From 10 valuation models · updated yesterday

Share price −21.4% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 38% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • A high-quality business (quality 71/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€0.5600). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The models converge in a tight band (€0.5300 to €0.5600), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€1.61 €0.8000 Fair Value €0.5500 Jun 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €0.8000 – €1.61 · fair‑value band €0.5300 – €0.5600 · the €0.8800 price screens above the €0.5500 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.

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Analysis

Valora Effekten Handel AG (VEH) currently trades at €0.8800, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €0.5500, implying the stock looks roughly 37.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 71/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Valora Effekten Handel AG generated revenue of €733K at a net margin of -27.7%. Revenue declined 48.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -16.2%. Fundamentals as of Aug 20, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €0.5300 (bear case) to €0.5600 (bull case); at €0.8800, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -19% fair-value upside, at -38%, VEH screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF €2.07 €3.10 €4.43 80
Rev-Margin DCF €1.02 €1.38 €1.84 74
P/E Multiple €0.3300 €0.4400 €0.5600 63
All 10 models by family
DCF Models
5Y P/E Exit €1.02 €1.35 €1.68 38
10Y P/E Exit €1.46 €1.88 €2.38 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €0.2300 €1.00 €1.37 54
Lynch FV €0.2600 €0.3700 €0.4800 50
Multiples
P/E Multiple €0.3300 €0.4400 €0.5600 63
P/B Multiple €0.4400 €0.5800 €0.7300 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €0.3400 €0.4600 €0.6800 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €2.07 €3.10 €4.43 80
Rev-Margin DCF €1.02 €1.38 €1.84 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income €0.4700 €0.4600 €0.3800 61

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (€1.38) versus Earnings-Based (€0.3700). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €733K
Revenue growth (YoY) -48.4%
Net margin -27.7%
Return on equity -16.2%
Free cash flow €409K FY2025
Operating margin -18.9%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) €-0.1200
Net debt €68.2K FY2022

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 71/100

Of which business quality 73 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 32

Profitability 41
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 80
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 51
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 25
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 22
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Valora Effekten Handel AG operates as a securities trading company in Germany. The company engages in the trading of unlisted shares and securities; and the securities trading after delisting and block trade.

Full company description

Valora Effekten Handel AG operates as a securities trading company in Germany. The company engages in the trading of unlisted shares and securities; and the securities trading after delisting and block trade. The company also supports creation of securities and investment prospectus, and offers to purchase securities and fund shares; and creates WP brochures, WIB, and VIB. Valora Effekten Handel AG was founded in 1977 and is headquartered in Ettlingen, Germany.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Valora Effekten Handel AG reported revenue of €1.2M in FY2025 versus €896K in FY2021, a compound +8.3%/yr. Reported net income was €59.2K in FY2025.

Growth Quality 70/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€1.2M
Latest YoY
+69.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+21.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.6%
Avg. growth/yr (12Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.1%
Revenue +8.3%/yr
FY21 €896K
FY22 €689K
FY23 €735K
FY24 €730K
FY25 €1.2M
Net income
FY21 €0
FY22 −€442K
FY23 −€184K
FY24 −€343K
FY25 €59.2K

VEH screens 38% overvalued. Compare with Mirae Asset Securities Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Valora Effekten Handel AG Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/VEH

Peer Group

Capital Markets · 434 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 70 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −43% · Below median
Return on assets -11% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -28% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -19% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -48% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.06× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Capital Markets median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.66× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 2.68× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 4.8× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 15
FUTURE0 · sector 91
PAST0 · sector 30
HEALTH97 · sector 93
DIVIDEND0 · sector 38

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Capital Markets stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 20, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Mirae Asset Securities Co 006800 38,050 KRW 18,009 KRW -53%
Meritz Financial Group 138040 118,600 KRW 52,717 KRW -56%
Korea Investment Holdings 071050 200,500 KRW 189,335 KRW -6%
NH Investment & Securities Co 005940 28,550 KRW 22,396 KRW -22%
Samsung Securities Co 016360 93,100 KRW 75,573 KRW -19%
Kiwoom Securities Co 039490 299,000 KRW 214,812 KRW -28%
SSI Securities Corporation SSI 19,400 VND 17,375 VND -10%
Bolsas y Mercados Argentinos S.A BYMA 313.75 ARS 294.30 ARS -6%
Daishin Securities Co 003540 26,950 KRW 48,790 KRW +81%
SK Securities Co 001515 4,285 KRW 1,395 KRW -67%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Valora Effekten Handel AG (VEH) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 20, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €0.5500 versus a price of €0.8800, about −38% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of VEH?
Our model-based fair value for Valora Effekten Handel AG is €0.5500 (as of Aug 20, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €0.8800.
What is the quality score of VEH?
Valora Effekten Handel AG has a Quality Score of 71/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Valora Effekten Handel AG (VEH)?
Valora Effekten Handel AG reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €733K (latest available figure, as of Aug 20, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of VEH?
The net profit margin of Valora Effekten Handel AG is about -27.7%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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