Virtu Financial, Inc (VIRT) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · US · Market cap $12.0B
Virtu Financial, Inc
VIRT · US
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 19 days ago
Share price −12.1% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 54% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($31.82). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (66/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $14.80 – $66.82 · fair‑value band $19.09 – $31.82 · the $55.58 price screens above the $25.45 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
Analysis
Virtu Financial, Inc (VIRT) currently trades at $55.58, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $25.45, implying the stock looks roughly 54.2% overvalued today. We read business quality at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Virtu Financial, Inc generated revenue of $3.0B at a net margin of 18.1%. Revenue grew 30.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 56.9%. Net debt stands at $7.9B. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $19.09 (bear case) to $31.82 (bull case); at $55.58, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 1% below its 52-week high and 78% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 11% fair-value upside, at -54%, VIRT screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($32.62) versus Asset-Based ($2.88). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 75
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Virtu Financial, Inc. operates as a financial services company in the United States, Ireland, and internationally. It operates in two segments, Market Making and Execution Services.
Full company description
Virtu Financial, Inc. operates as a financial services company in the United States, Ireland, and internationally. It operates in two segments, Market Making and Execution Services. The company is involved in buying and selling securities to broker dealers, banks and institutions; trading direct to clients, exchanges, alternative trading systems, and other market centers; cash trading business; and pre- and post-trade services, data products, and compliance tools. It also provides agency execution services and trading venues for transparent trading in global equities, ETFs, fixed income, currencies, and commodities to institutions, banks, and broker dealers; agency-based and execution-only trading; workflow technology; trading analytics; foreign exchange, futures, and cryptocurrency products. The company was founded in 2008 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Virtu Financial, Inc reported revenue of $3.6B in FY2025 versus $2.8B in FY2021, a compound +6.6%/yr. Reported net income was $468M in FY2025, compounding −0.4%/yr from FY2021.
VIRT screens 54% overvalued. Compare with Huatai Securities Co →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- VIRT Beats Q2 Earnings Estimates on Strong Market Making Performance
- Compared to Estimates, Virtu Financial (VIRT) Q2 Earnings: A Look at Key Metrics
- Can Virtu Financial (VIRT) Justify Its Valuation After Record Results And A Dividend Affirmation?
- Virtu Financial Q2 Earnings Call Highlights
Peer Group
Capital Markets · 424 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Capital Markets median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 44/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Capital Markets stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Huatai Securities Co HTSC | $0.2700 | $0.0400 | -85% |
| Mirae Asset Securities Co 006800 | 38,750 KRW | 31,645 KRW | -18% |
| Meritz Financial Group 138040 | 117,000 KRW | 87,706 KRW | -25% |
| Korea Investment Holdings 071050 | 239,000 KRW | 318,825 KRW | +33% |
| NH Investment & Securities Co 005940 | 31,000 KRW | 37,133 KRW | +20% |
| Samsung Securities Co 016360 | 107,700 KRW | 126,487 KRW | +17% |
| Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited MOTILALOFS | ₹967.00 | ₹299.65 | -69% |
| Kiwoom Securities Co 039490 | 322,000 KRW | 358,091 KRW | +11% |
| SSI Securities Corporation SSI | 24,250 VND | 28,021 VND | +16% |
| Bolsas y Mercados Argentinos S.A BYMA | 313.75 ARS | 120.22 ARS | -62% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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