Vivakor Inc (VIVK) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · US · Market cap $3.0M · ISIN US92852R4039
What is Vivakor Inc really worth?
Vivakor Inc
VIVK · US
Below-average quality, and trading another 145% above our fair value of $0.3825.
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated 21 days ago
Share price −43.1% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
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What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.6424). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (19/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The model range is unusually wide ($0.1756 to $0.6424). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.2130 – $2,147 · fair‑value band $0.1756 – $0.6424 · the $0.9389 price screens above the $0.3825 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Vivakor Inc (VIVK) currently trades at $0.9389, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.3825, implying the stock looks roughly 145.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 19/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 89/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $86.5M. Revenue declined 47.9% year over year. Net debt stands at $35.0M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.1756 (bear case) to $0.6424 (bull case); at $0.9389, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −17% fair-value upside, at −59%, VIVK screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 3 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount ($7.93) versus Asset-Based ($3.90). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (66).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 23 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 17
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Vivakor, Inc. provides crude oil transportation, terminaling, and marketing services in the United States. It operates through three segments: Crude Oil Transportation; Terminaling and Storage Facilities; and Marketing and Trading. The Crude Oil Transportation segment engages in trucking and pipeline operations.
Full company description
Vivakor, Inc. provides crude oil transportation, terminaling, and marketing services in the United States. It operates through three segments: Crude Oil Transportation; Terminaling and Storage Facilities; and Marketing and Trading. The Crude Oil Transportation segment engages in trucking and pipeline operations. It includes transportation of crude oil and constituent products, such as crude oil waste streams using a trucking fleet and pipeline infrastructure; operates crude oil gathering and shuttle system; and provides transportation services. The Terminaling and Storage Facilities segment owns and operates ten crude oil pipeline injection truck stations and two major terminaling facilities. The Marketing and Trading segment purchases, sales, and distribution of crude oil, condensate, natural gas liquids, and refined or processed oil products, such as atmospheric tank bottoms, naphtha, and other light hydrocarbons. It also provides remediation of soil and the extraction of hydrocarbons. The company was formerly known as NGI Holdings, LLC and changed its name to Vivakor, Inc. in April 2008. The company was incorporated in 2006 and is based in Dallas, Texas.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Vivakor Inc reported revenue of $104M in FY2025 versus $1.1M in FY2021, a compound +213.0%/yr. Reported net income was −$110M in FY2025.
VIVK screens 145% overvalued. Compare with Exxon Mobil Corporation →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- EXCLUSIVE: Vivakor Targets Critical Minerals Expansion Through Potential M2i Acquisition
- Vivakor Accelerates Crude Oil Trading Portfolio toward $2 Billion in Annualized Commercial Activity
- Vivakor Raises Crude Oil Marketing Platform Guidance to Approximately $1.5 Billion Annually
- Vivakor Advances Houston Remediation Processing Center Toward Commercial Operations
Peer Group
Oil & Gas Integrated · 55 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Integrated median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas Integrated stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Exxon Mobil Corporation XOM | $156.44 | $88.98 | −43% |
| Chevron Corporation CVX | $201.86 | $90.66 | −55% |
| PetroChina Company 601857 | ¥11.23 | ¥15.47 | +38% |
| Shell plc SHELL | €40.28 | €39.46 | −2% |
| TotalEnergies SE TOTB | €75.55 | €69.02 | −9% |
| Petróleo Brasileiro S.A XPBRA | €7.11 | €2.03 | −71% |
| China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation 600028 | ¥5.52 | ¥4.59 | −17% |
| Equinor ASA EQNR | kr 395.90 | kr 338.01 | −15% |
| Suncor Energy Inc SU | C$91.13 | C$59.11 | −35% |
| Eni S.p.A E | $55.12 | $32.53 | −41% |
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