Vince Holding (VNCE) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $95.6M
Vince Holding
VNCE · US
Fair value as of: Jul 25, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated 16 days ago
Share price +2.4% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 24% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- A fairly wide model range ($5.85 to $10.55) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- Our model range runs from $5.85 (bear) to $10.55 (bull), base $8.36. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 44/100 (below-average quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $1.08 – $13.16 · fair‑value band $5.85 – $10.55 · the $6.76 price screens below the $8.36 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.
Analysis
Vince Holding (VNCE) currently trades at $6.76, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $8.36, implying the stock looks roughly 23.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Vince Holding generated revenue of $306M at a net margin of 3.0%. Revenue grew 10.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 21.3%. Net debt stands at $122M. Fundamentals as of Jul 25, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $5.85 (bear case) to $10.55 (bull case); at $6.76, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 1% fair-value upside, at 24%, VNCE screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 15 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($8.44) versus Dividend Discount ($0.1500). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 25, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 72
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Vince Holding Corp. operates as a retail company in the United States and internationally. It operates in two segments, Vince Wholesale and Vince Direct-to-Consumer.
Full company description
Vince Holding Corp. operates as a retail company in the United States and internationally. It operates in two segments, Vince Wholesale and Vince Direct-to-Consumer. The company offers women's products, including cashmere sweaters and silk blouses, as well as leather and suede jackets, dresses, skirts, pants, t-shirts, footwear, outerwear, and accessories; and men's products, such as cashmere sweaters, woven shirts, core and fashion pants, blazers, outerwear, footwear, and accessories under the Vince brand. It sells its products through its branded specialty retail stores, outlet stores, department stores, and specialty stores, as well as through its vince.com e-commerce platform. The company was formerly known as Apparel Holding Corp. and changed its name to Vince Holding Corp. in November 2013. The company was founded in 2002 and is based in New York, New York. Vince Holding Corp. operates as a subsidiary of P180.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Vince Holding reported revenue of $300M in FY2026 versus $323M in FY2022, a compound −1.8%/yr. Reported net income was $6.4M in FY2026.
of which total revenue −0.8 pp · buybacks/dilution −11.0 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Apparel Manufacturing · 212 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Apparel Manufacturing median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Apparel Manufacturing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 25, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| H & M Hennes & Mauritz AB HMB | kr 163.45 | kr 165.47 | +1% |
| Ralph Lauren Corporation RL | $374.08 | $224.21 | -40% |
| Moncler S.p.A MONC | €52.08 | €50.69 | -3% |
| LPP SA LPP | 19,380 PLN | 17,754 PLN | -8% |
| Bosideng International Holdings 3998 | HK$4.88 | HK$5.92 | +21% |
| Youngor Fashion Co 600177 | ¥7.57 | ¥5.59 | -26% |
| Page Industries Limited PAGEIND | ₹39,900 | ₹12,395 | -69% |
| Hla Group 600398 | ¥6.05 | ¥9.92 | +64% |
| Eclat Textile Co 1476 | 333.50 TWD | 357.81 TWD | +7% |
| Youngone Corporation 111770 | 87,600 KRW | 196,629 KRW | +124% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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