Volkswagen AG (VOW) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · DE · Market cap €118B
What is Volkswagen AG really worth?
Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value of €78.34.
As of Aug 27, 2026, the fair value of Volkswagen AG is €78.34 per share against a price of €82.15, so the fair value sits 5% below the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 27, 2026
From 14 valuation models · updated 9 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 27, 2026, revised from €93.67 to €78.34 (−16.4%) since Aug 13, 2026.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €73.25 – €219.70 · fair‑value band €58.76 – €83.57 · the €82.15 price screens above the €78.34 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.
Analysis
Volkswagen AG (VOW) currently trades at €82.15, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €78.34, implying the stock looks roughly 4.9% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of €157.09 per share, and 8 of the 14 models we run sit above the €82.15 price. Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at €19.47, and 6 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Net debt stands at €150B. Fundamentals as of Aug 27, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €58.76 (bear case) to €83.57 (bull case); at €82.15, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −17% fair-value upside, at −5%, VOW screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 14 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (€157.09) versus Economic Profit (€5.17). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Notify me when VOW reaches fair value
Put VOW on your watchlist. We get in touch as soon as price and fair value meet or the trend turns.
Set up alert →Free, no payment details. Unsubscribe anytime in one click.
Key figures & financial health
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 30
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
There is no Profile data available for VOW.HA.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Volkswagen AG reported revenue of €322B in FY2025 versus €250B in FY2021, a compound +6.5%/yr. Reported net income was €7.3B in FY2025, compounding −16.9%/yr from FY2021.
Watch VOW: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Volkswagen CEO Signals More Pain Ahead
- What Does Volkswagen (XTRA:VOW3) Biggest Restructuring Ever Mean For Its Future?
Peer Group
Auto Manufacturers · 114 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Auto Manufacturers median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Auto Manufacturers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 27, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toyota Motor Corporation TM | $197.11 | $251.77 | +28% |
| BYD Company 81211 | HK$73.50 | HK$46.64 | −37% |
| Hyundai Motor Company 005380 | 418,500 KRW | 567,393 KRW | +36% |
| Ferrari N.V RACE | €355.50 | €167.67 | −53% |
| General Motors Company GM | $86.27 | $52.69 | −39% |
| Ford Motor Company F | $13.88 | $11.51 | −17% |
| Mercedes-Benz Group MBG | €46.95 | €106.16 | +126% |
| Dr. Ing. h.c. F. Porsche AG P911 | €43.91 | €17.34 | −61% |
| Maruti Suzuki India Limited MARUTI | ₹12,694 | ₹8,236 | −35% |
| Bayerische Motoren Werke Aktiengesellschaft BMW | €62.80 | €140.42 | +124% |
Compare Volkswagen AG with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Consumer Cyclical stocks →
Try a ready-made strategy
Pick a strategy and jump into the live analysis with that exact screen applied.
Discover tools
Frequently asked questions
Is Volkswagen AG (VOW) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of VOW?
What is the quality score of VOW?
What is the price target for Volkswagen AG (VOW)?
What is the Volkswagen AG stock forecast for 2026?
What is the net profit margin of VOW?
Does Volkswagen AG pay a dividend?
Watch Volkswagen AG in the live analysis
One click puts Volkswagen AG on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
Watch for free →Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. Your watchlist is yours, with or without an account.