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Vanadium Resources Ltd (VR8) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Vanadium Resources Ltd A$0.04, price A$0.08, upside -45.3%, quality 29 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Basic Materials · AU · ISIN AU0000053522

VR Thin data Sep 23, 2026

Vanadium Resources Ltd

VR8 · AU

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value A$0.0416 · Strongly overvalued (−45%)
!Quality 29/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +154.9 %/yr)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
✓Ranks above peers (5/8)
!Narrow moat 11/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

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Price vs Fair Value

A$0.1750 A$0.0120 Fair Value A$0.0416 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.0120 – A$0.1750 · fair‑value band A$0.0343 – A$0.0489 · the A$0.0760 price screens above the A$0.0416 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Vanadium Resources Limited, engages in the exploration and development of mineral projects in Australia and South Africa. The company explores for vanadium deposits.

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Vanadium Resources Limited, engages in the exploration and development of mineral projects in Australia and South Africa. The company explores for vanadium deposits. It holds 100% interest in the Quartz Bore project that consists of a single exploration permit covering an area of approximately 15 square kilometers located in the West Pilbara province, Western Australia; and 86.49% interests in the Steelpoortdrift Vanadium project that includes a single granted permit covering an area of approximately 24.6 square kilometers located in Limpopo province, South Africa. Vanadium Resources Limited was formerly known as Tando Resources Limited and changed its name to Vanadium Resources Limited in July 2019. Vanadium Resources Limited was incorporated in 2017 and is based in Victoria Park, Australia.

Stock analysis

Vanadium Resources Ltd (VR8) currently trades at A$0.0760, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0416, implying the stock looks roughly 82.7% overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 93/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: A$0.0343 (bear) to A$0.0489 (bull), the price of A$0.0760 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 29/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Vanadium Resources Ltd reported revenue of A$55.9K in FY2025 versus A$70 in FY2021, a compound +431.6%/yr. Reported net income was −A$2.5M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap A$11.4M (≈ $8.0M) · Return on equity −5.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) −4.0% · Operating margin −160% · Revenue (TTM) A$56.0K · Revenue growth (YoY) +102% · Free cash flow −A$2.4M · Net debt A$12.2K.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 37 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades at its 52-week high and 533% above its 52-week low.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −45%, VR8 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear A$0.0343 Fair Value A$0.0416 Bull A$0.0489
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0200 A$0.0300 A$0.0400 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0200 A$0.0300 A$0.0400 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 29/100

Of which business quality 31 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 70

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 36
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 75
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 60
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 67
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 29
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 24/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−59.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+53.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+154.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 8 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+135.1%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−499,173.1% (2020) → −2,347.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

VR8 screens 83% overvalued. Compare with Vale S.A →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 457 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/6 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 31 · Below median
Fair Value upside −45% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −2% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) −160% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 102% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.28× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 36
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 30

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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CMOC Group 603993 ¥17.66 ¥20.07 +14%
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Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC ₹595.45 ₹655.00 +10%
Korea Zinc Company 010130 1,116,000 KRW 646,063 KRW −42%
Western Mining Co 601168 ¥36.77 ¥40.45 +10%
Boliden AB BOL kr 539.40 kr 464.47 −14%
Xiamen Tungsten Co 600549 ¥49.34 ¥24.75 −50%
PLS Group PLS A$4.18 A$6.65 +59%

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Vanadium Resources Ltd · Fair Value
A$0.0416 −83%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Vanadium Resources Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/VR8

Frequently asked questions

Is Vanadium Resources Ltd (VR8) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0416 versus a price of A$0.0760, about −45% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of VR8?
Our model-based fair value for Vanadium Resources Ltd is A$0.0416 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.0760.
What is the quality score of VR8?
Vanadium Resources Ltd has a Quality Score of 29/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Vanadium Resources Ltd (VR8)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0416 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0343, optimistic scenario A$0.0489. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Vanadium Resources Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0416, about −45% upside versus a price of A$0.0760 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0343, optimistic scenario A$0.0489. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Vanadium Resources Ltd (VR8)?
Vanadium Resources Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$56.0K (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Vanadium Resources Ltd (VR8)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Vanadium Resources Ltd it is A$0.0416 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of A$0.0760. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Vanadium Resources Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, VR8 trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.0760, fair value A$0.0416, a gap of about −45% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of VR8?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.0760); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0416). For Vanadium Resources Ltd the two are A$0.0344 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Vanadium Resources Ltd worth?
The market values Vanadium Resources Ltd at about A$11.4M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is A$0.0760; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0416 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about VR8?
Our models span a range for Vanadium Resources Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0343, base A$0.0416, optimistic A$0.0489 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price A$0.0760). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Vanadium Resources Ltd (VR8)?
Balance-sheet figures for Vanadium Resources Ltd (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −5.6%. They feed the Quality Score of 29/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is VR8 from its 52-week high?
Vanadium Resources Ltd trades at A$0.0760, at its 52-week high of A$0.0760 and 533% above the low of A$0.0120 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0416 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Vanadium Resources Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Vale S.A, Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Vanadium Resources Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price A$0.0760, calculated fair value A$0.0416 (−45%), Quality Score 29/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of VR8 calculated?
We run Vanadium Resources Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.0416, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Vanadium Resources Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Vanadium Resources Ltd (VR8)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was A$0.0760. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0416, about −45% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Vanadium Resources Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.0489). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (29/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Vanadium Resources Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Vanadium Resources Ltd (VR8)?
The market capitalisation of Vanadium Resources Ltd is A$11.4M (≈ $8.0M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the return on equity of Vanadium Resources Ltd (VR8)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Vanadium Resources Ltd is −5.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Vanadium Resources Ltd (VR8)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Vanadium Resources Ltd is −4.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Vanadium Resources Ltd (VR8)?
The operating margin of Vanadium Resources Ltd is −160% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Vanadium Resources Ltd (VR8)?
Revenue at Vanadium Resources Ltd is growing +102% versus a year earlier (3y avg +53.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Vanadium Resources Ltd (VR8) generate?
The free cash flow of Vanadium Resources Ltd is −A$2.4M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Vanadium Resources Ltd (VR8) carry?
The net debt of Vanadium Resources Ltd is A$12.2K (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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