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Vitania Ltd (VTNA) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · Il · Market cap 796M ILA

VL Vitania Ltd VTNA · TA
Price16.77 ILA
Fair Value10.21 ILA
Upside-39.1%
Quality39/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -37.8% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (2/12)
Narrow moat 36/100
Evidence: High Range 2.04 ILA – 10.21 ILA Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 13 valuation models · updated 21 days ago

Share price −22.2% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 39% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (10.21 ILA). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (39/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The model range is unusually wide (2.04 ILA to 10.21 ILA). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

34.67 ILA 16.60 ILA Fair Value 10.21 ILA Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 16.60 ILA – 34.67 ILA · fair‑value band 2.04 ILA – 10.21 ILA · the 16.77 ILA price screens above the 10.21 ILA fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

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Analysis

Vitania Ltd (VTNA) currently trades at 16.77 ILA, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 10.21 ILA, implying the stock looks roughly 39.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Vitania Ltd generated revenue of 324M ILA at a net margin of -30.2%. Revenue declined 30.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -8.7%. Net debt stands at 1.7B ILA. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 2.04 ILA (bear case) to 10.21 ILA (bull case); at 16.77 ILA, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 32% fair-value upside, at -39%, VTNA screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 3.52 ILA 15.88 ILA 80
Rev-Margin DCF 8.72 ILA 24.39 ILA 74
Gordon GGM 1.65 ILA 2.97 ILA 4.09 ILA 70
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 2.46 ILA 17.79 ILA 38
5Y Revenue Exit 8.86 ILA 26.09 ILA 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 0.6900 ILA 15.29 ILA 36.54 ILA 41
10Y Revenue Exit 7.11 ILA 23.18 ILA 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 11.77 ILA 34.39 ILA 37
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 1.65 ILA 2.97 ILA 4.09 ILA 70
DDM Multi-Stage 1.65 ILA 2.72 ILA 3.18 ILA 61
Multiples
EV/EBIT 8.60 ILA 16.07 ILA 23.55 ILA 53
EV/EBITDA 4.03 ILA 9.99 ILA 15.94 ILA 54
EV/Revenue 3.84 ILA 9.14 ILA 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 11.05 ILA 14.81 ILA 22.11 ILA 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 3.52 ILA 15.88 ILA 80
Rev-Margin DCF 8.72 ILA 24.39 ILA 74

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (14.81 ILA) versus Dividend Discount (2.72 ILA). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 279M ILA
Revenue growth (YoY) -50.4%
Net margin -37.8%
Return on equity -9.3%
Free cash flow 38.6M ILA FY2025
Operating margin 45.1%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) -2.24 ILA
EPS growth (YoY) -53.3%
Net debt 1.7B ILA FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 39/100

Of which business quality 37 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 27

Profitability 3
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 23
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 65
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 18
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 88
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 77
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 9
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 48
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Vitania Ltd. operates as a real estate company in Israel. It engages in entrepreneurship, land development, and improvement and construction of buildings. The company constructs and leases offices, commercial areas, residential buildings, and assisted living facilities, as well as parking lots. Vitania Ltd.

Full company description

Vitania Ltd. operates as a real estate company in Israel. It engages in entrepreneurship, land development, and improvement and construction of buildings. The company constructs and leases offices, commercial areas, residential buildings, and assisted living facilities, as well as parking lots. Vitania Ltd. was incorporated in 1995 and is based in Tel Aviv-Yafo, Israel.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Vitania Ltd reported revenue of 322M ILA in FY2025 versus 130M ILA in FY2021, a compound +25.4%/yr. Reported net income was −97.8M ILA in FY2025.

Growth Quality 67/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
322M ILS
Latest YoY
+13.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+22.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+31.3%
Avg. growth/yr (20Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+22.6%
Revenue +25.4%/yr
FY21 130M ILA
FY22 174M ILA
FY23 201M ILA
FY24 284M ILA
FY25 322M ILA
Net income
FY21 145M ILA
FY22 126M ILA
FY23 78.1M ILA
FY24 93.7M ILA
FY25 −97.8M ILA
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +4.3 % p.a.
Revenue per share +6.1 pp

of which total revenue +11.4 pp · buybacks/dilution −5.3 pp

EBIT margin −0.4 pp
Tax rate +0.7 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −2.1 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

VTNA screens 39% overvalued. Compare with DLF Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Vitania Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/VTNA

Peer Group

Real Estate - Development · 588 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 39 · Below median
Fair Value upside −39% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) -38% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 45% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -50% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.65× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.25× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.93× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 6.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 15.9× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 48
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 0 · sector 10
HEALTH 68 · sector 84
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 38

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
DLF Limited DLF ₹657.75 ₹159.49 -76%
Lodha Developers Limited LODHA ₹1,188 ₹583.43 -51%
PT Pantai Indah Kapuk Dua Tbk, PANI 6,125 IDR 1,330 IDR -78%
Oberoi Realty Limited OBEROIRLTY ₹1,925 ₹1,183 -39%
Godrej Properties Limited GODREJPROP ₹2,102 ₹1,044 -50%
PT Jaya Real Property, Tbk., JRPT 1,080 IDR 1,674 IDR +55%
PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk, BSDE 555.00 IDR 1,388 IDR +150%
PT Sentul City Tbk, BKSL 64.00 IDR 84.16 IDR +32%
PT Ciputra Development Tbk, CTRA 555.00 IDR 1,388 IDR +150%
PT Duta Pertiwi Tbk DUTI 4,100 IDR 6,239 IDR +52%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Vitania Ltd (VTNA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 10.21 ILA versus a price of 16.77 ILA, about −39% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of VTNA?
Our model-based fair value for Vitania Ltd is 10.21 ILA (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 16.77 ILA.
What is the quality score of VTNA?
Vitania Ltd has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Vitania Ltd (VTNA)?
Vitania Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 324M ILS (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of VTNA?
The net profit margin of Vitania Ltd is about -30.2%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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