Viva Leisure Ltd (VVA) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 9, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Viva Leisure Ltd stock A$4.21, price A$1.45, upside +190.3%, quality 53 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 21 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$1.01 – A$2.45 · fair‑value band A$2.95 – A$5.47 · the A$1.45 price screens below the A$4.21 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 9, 2026.
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Viva Leisure Limited operates health clubs. The company operates health clubs under the Club Lime; and franchised health clubs under the Plus Fitness brand in Australia, New Zealand, and India. It also operates fitness club under the hiit republic, GROUNDUP, rebalance brands.
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In addition, the company offers Viva Pay, a proprietary payments platform; Supp Society, an in-house e-commerce, and in-club supplement brand; and Fling, a flexible gym access platform.
Further, it offers Viva Labs, a dedicated in-house technology division that designs, builds, and manages the platforms underpinning every aspect of operations; and Viva Access, a control system, to power secure, seamless, and fully autonomous entry across our entire network.
Additionally, the company provides debit services; rents fitness equipment; and supplement. Viva Leisure Limited was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Dickson, Australia.
Stock analysis
Viva Leisure Ltd (VVA) currently trades at A$1.45, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$4.21, implying the stock looks roughly 66% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of A$11.87 per share, and 20 of the 21 models we run sit above the A$1.45 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at A$2.67, and 1 of the 21 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: A$2.95 (bear) to A$5.47 (bull), the price of A$1.45 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Viva Leisure Ltd reported revenue of A$235M in FY2026 versus A$90.8M in FY2022, a compound +26.9%/yr. Reported net income was A$12.8M in FY2026.
Key figures
Market cap A$143M (≈ $98.3M) Micro · P/E ratio 11.2 · P/S ratio 0.60 · EPS (TTM) A$0.1300 · Net margin 5.4% · Return on equity 11.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.3% (5-year average) · Operating margin 19.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 49 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 190%, VVA screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
BearA$2.95Fair Value A$4.21BullA$5.47
Price A$1.45 · Upside +190.3%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 4 months old). Earnings retained since then (A$0.0470 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.90/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+11.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+23.0%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +29.1% a year
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+26.3%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+50.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+50.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.7% → 18%
2026 sits 260% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 3 years, not that single year.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−13.6%
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Australia: IMF forecast 3.0% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −16.1% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Leisure · 169 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score53 · Below median
Fair Value upside+190.3% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)11.0% · Above median
Return on assets2.0% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)5.4% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months)19.9% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)7.5% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months)0.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.81× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Leisure median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)11.2× · Cheapest 25%
P/B1.17× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Viva Leisure Ltd (VVA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$4.21 versus a price of A$1.45, about +190% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of VVA?
Our model-based fair value for Viva Leisure Ltd is A$4.21 (as of Nov 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$1.45.
What is the quality score of VVA?
Viva Leisure Ltd has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Viva Leisure Ltd (VVA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$4.21 (as of Nov 9, 2026) from 21 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$2.95, optimistic scenario A$5.47. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Viva Leisure Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$4.21, about +190% upside versus a price of A$1.45 (undervalued). Cautious scenario A$2.95, optimistic scenario A$5.47. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Viva Leisure Ltd (VVA)?
Viva Leisure Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$237M (latest available figure, as of Nov 9, 2026).
What growth is priced into Viva Leisure Ltd (VVA)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Viva Leisure Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by -13.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +23.0 % per year. As of Nov 9, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of VVA use?
Our models discount Viva Leisure Ltd at 11.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.47, country premium for Australia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Viva Leisure Ltd that is -13.6 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (11.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Viva Leisure Ltd (VVA) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Viva Leisure Ltd grew +23.0 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of -13.6 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Viva Leisure Ltd (VVA) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Viva Leisure Ltd (-13.6 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Viva Leisure Ltd (VVA)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 34.82 %: that much free cash flow Viva Leisure Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Viva Leisure Ltd (VVA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Viva Leisure Ltd it is A$4.21 per share (as of Nov 9, 2026), against a price of A$1.45. It is the blended result of 21 valuation models in 6 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Viva Leisure Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 9, 2026, VVA trades below its calculated fair value: price A$1.45, fair value A$4.21, a gap of about +190% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of VVA?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$1.45); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$4.21). For Viva Leisure Ltd the two are A$2.76 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Viva Leisure Ltd worth?
The market values Viva Leisure Ltd at about A$143M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 9, 2026). Per share that is A$1.45; our models calculate a fair value of A$4.21 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about VVA?
Our models span a range for Viva Leisure Ltd: cautious scenario A$2.95, base A$4.21, optimistic A$5.47 per share (as of Nov 9, 2026, price A$1.45). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of VVA?
Viva Leisure Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 11.2 (as of Nov 9, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of A$4.21 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 5 fiscal years (2019 to 2026), reported earnings: 26.3. Other multiples: P/B 1.2, P/S 0.6, EV/EBITDA 4.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of Viva Leisure Ltd (VVA)?
Balance-sheet figures for Viva Leisure Ltd (as of Nov 9, 2026): return on equity 11.0%, debt of 0.81 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 53/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is VVA from its 52-week high?
Viva Leisure Ltd trades at A$1.45, about 19% below its 52-week high of A$1.79 and 6% above the low of A$1.37 (as of Nov 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$4.21 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Viva Leisure Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Pop Mart International Group, Amer Sports, Inc, Hasbro, Inc, Life Time Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Viva Leisure Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 9, 2026: price A$1.45, calculated fair value A$4.21 (+190%), Quality Score 53/100, from 21 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of VVA calculated?
We run Viva Leisure Ltd through 21 models from 6 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of A$4.21 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Viva Leisure Ltd currently trades 66% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Viva Leisure Ltd (VVA)?
The closing price on Nov 9, 2026 was A$1.45. Our model-based fair value is A$4.21, about +190% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Viva Leisure Ltd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (A$2.95). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (53/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (A$2.95 to A$5.47) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Viva Leisure Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Viva Leisure Ltd (VVA)?
The market capitalisation of Viva Leisure Ltd is A$143M (≈ $98.3M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Viva Leisure Ltd (VVA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Viva Leisure Ltd is 0.60 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Viva Leisure Ltd (VVA)?
Earnings per share at Viva Leisure Ltd are A$0.1300 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 11.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Viva Leisure Ltd (VVA)?
The net margin of Viva Leisure Ltd is 5.4% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Viva Leisure Ltd (VVA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Viva Leisure Ltd is 11.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Viva Leisure Ltd (VVA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Viva Leisure Ltd is 4.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Viva Leisure Ltd (VVA)?
The operating margin of Viva Leisure Ltd is 19.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Viva Leisure Ltd (VVA)?
Revenue at Viva Leisure Ltd is growing +7.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +18.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Viva Leisure Ltd (VVA)?
Earnings per share at Viva Leisure Ltd are growing +139% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Viva Leisure Ltd (VVA) carry?
The net debt of Viva Leisure Ltd is A$385M (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 7.8 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Nov 9, 2026