Viva Leisure Limited (VVA) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · AU · Market cap A$143M
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from A$2.05 to A$1.17 (−42.9%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −2.6% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 21% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- Our model range runs from A$0.8200 (bear) to A$1.46 (bull), base A$1.17. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 43/100 (below-average quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$1.01 – A$2.45 · fair‑value band A$0.8200 – A$1.46 · the A$1.48 price screens above the A$1.17 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
Viva Leisure Limited (VVA) currently trades at A$1.48, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$1.17, implying the stock looks roughly 21.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Viva Leisure Limited generated revenue of A$229M at a net margin of 3.7%. Revenue grew 17.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.5%. Net debt stands at A$371M. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from A$0.8200 (bear case) to A$1.46 (bull case); at A$1.48, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 19% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at -21%, VVA screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (A$5.60) versus Asset-Based (A$0.7500). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 52
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Viva Leisure Limited operates health clubs. The company operates health clubs under the Club Lime; and franchised health clubs under the Plus Fitness brand in Australia, New Zealand, and India. It also operates fitness club under the hiit republic, GROUNDUP, rebalance brands.
Full company description
Viva Leisure Limited operates health clubs. The company operates health clubs under the Club Lime; and franchised health clubs under the Plus Fitness brand in Australia, New Zealand, and India. It also operates fitness club under the hiit republic, GROUNDUP, rebalance brands. In addition, the company offers Viva Pay, a proprietary payments platform; Supp Society, an in-house e-commerce, and in-club supplement brand; and Fling, a flexible gym access platform. Further, it offers Viva Labs, a dedicated in-house technology division that designs, builds, and manages the platforms underpinning every aspect of operations; and Viva Access, a control system, to power secure, seamless, and fully autonomous entry across our entire network. Additionally, the company provides debit services; rents fitness equipment; and supplement. Viva Leisure Limited was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Dickson, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Viva Leisure Limited reported revenue of A$210M in FY2025 versus A$83.6M in FY2021, a compound +25.9%/yr. Reported net income was A$5.2M in FY2025.
VVA screens 21% overvalued. Compare with ANTA Sports Products Limited →
Peer Group
Leisure · 190 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Leisure median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Leisure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| ANTA Sports Products Limited 2020 | HK$74.15 | HK$119.29 | +61% |
| Pop Mart International Group 9992 | HK$160.20 | HK$227.30 | +42% |
| Amer Sports, Inc AS | $36.44 | $16.16 | -56% |
| Hasbro, Inc HAS | $81.55 | $83.38 | +2% |
| Life Time Group LTH | $42.15 | $16.15 | -62% |
| Acushnet Holdings GOLF | $114.78 | $37.79 | -67% |
| Li Ning Company 2331 | HK$14.80 | HK$29.26 | +98% |
| Benefit Systems S.A BFT | 5,255 PLN | 3,714 PLN | -29% |
| Ninebot Limited 689009 | ¥37.82 | ¥39.17 | +4% |
| Asmodee Group ASMDEEB | kr 145.70 | kr 41.90 | -71% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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