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Vivendi SE (VVU) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Vivendi SE is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? Yes
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Some data
Sep 13, 2026
Vivendi SE
VVU · XETRAStretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.
!Fair value €0.4100 · Strongly overvalued (−73%)
!Quality 57/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −48.7 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 6.5% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
·2.62% dividend yield
!Narrow moat 25/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €0.5268 – €3.49 · fair‑value band €0.3400 – €0.5000 · the €1.53 price screens above the €0.4100 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
Company profile
Vivendi SE operates in the content, media, and entertainment industries in Europe, North America, Asia Pacific, Latin America, the Middle East, and Africa.
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Vivendi SE operates in the content, media, and entertainment industries in Europe, North America, Asia Pacific, Latin America, the Middle East, and Africa. The company creates and publishes video games for various digital devices, including mobile, PC, and consoles; and engages in the recorded music, music publishing, music-based merchandise, and audio-visual content businesses. It also provides online sports betting services; and media and education content in the Spanish and Spanish speaking markets, as well as creates, develops, sells, produces, and distributes content. In addition, the company is involved in publishing, media, and travel retail; commercial television broadcasting; and television, audiovisual production, and internet activities. The company was founded in 1853 and is headquartered in Paris, France.
Stock analysis
Vivendi SE (VVU) currently trades at €1.53, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €0.4100, implying the stock looks roughly 272.7% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of €3.16 per share, and 2 of the 18 models we run sit above the €1.53 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at €0.1700, and 16 of the 18 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: €0.3400 (bear) to €0.5000 (bull), the price of €1.53 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Vivendi SE reported revenue of €307M in FY2025 versus €8.7B in FY2021, a compound −56.7%/yr. Reported net income was €20.0M in FY2025, compounding −83.1%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap €1.9B · P/E ratio 76.4 · P/S ratio 4.98 · EPS (TTM) €0.0200 · Dividend yield 2.6% · Net margin 6.5% · Return on equity 0.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 56% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 27% fair-value upside, at −73%, VVU screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear €0.3400
Fair Value €0.4100
Bull €0.5000
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
€0.3500
€0.3900
€0.4700
82
Growth DCF
€0.3500
€0.3900
€0.4600
80
Owner Earnings
€0.5600
€0.6700
€0.8500
78
All 18 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
€0.3500
€0.3900
€0.4700
82
Owner Earnings
€0.5600
€0.6700
€0.8500
78
5Y Revenue Exit
€0.3500
€0.4200
€0.5100
74
5Y P/E Exit
€0.4700
€0.6200
€0.8000
72
10Y Revenue Exit
€0.3400
€0.3900
€0.4400
68
10Y P/E Exit
€0.4100
€0.5100
€0.5900
65
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
€0.1400
€0.1700
€0.1900
67
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
€0.3100
€0.3400
€0.3700
69
DDM Multi-Stage
€0.3100
€0.3700
€0.4500
67
Multiples
P/E Multiple
€0.4200
€0.5600
€0.7000
63
P/S Multiple
€0.2600
€0.3400
€0.4300
58
P/B Multiple
€0.2600
€0.3400
€0.4300
55
EV/Revenue
€0.3700
€0.4400
€0.5100
54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
€2.36
€3.16
€4.72
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
€0.3500
€0.3900
€0.4600
80
Rev-Margin DCF
€0.3500
€0.4200
€0.5100
74
Economic Profit
Residual Income
€3.00
€2.74
€1.72
76
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
€0.2900
€0.4200
€0.5500
67
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
57/100
Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 14
Profitability
15
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
50
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
48
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
49
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
36
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
8
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
97
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
39/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+3.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−68.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−48.7%
Revenue growth 28 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−14.7%
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’23
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−53.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−56.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.6%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−56% vs −35%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.4% → −34%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 27.8%/yr over ~10Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+50.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+2.0%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+0.3%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+2.5%
Projected 2028 (sales)+2.4%
Projected 2029 (sales)+2.4%
Projected 2030 (sales)+2.3%
VVU screens 273% overvalued. Compare with Konami Group →
Compare Vivendi SE with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electronic Gaming & Multimedia · 148 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Electronic Gaming & Multimedia median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Information Technology sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: German Stocks
- Valuation of the Germany market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Electronic Gaming & Multimedia stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Konami Group KNM | £207.30 | £65.48 | −68% |
| NetEase, Inc 9999 | HK$182.10 | HK$442.65 | +143% |
| Electronic Arts Inc EA | $209.70 | $76.57 | −63% |
| Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc TTWO | $215.47 | $60.20 | −72% |
| Roblox Corporation RBLX | $45.50 | $44.96 | −1% |
| Zhejiang Century Huatong Group 002602 | ¥15.56 | ¥27.63 | +78% |
| KRAFTON, Inc 259960 | 212,500 KRW | 395,557 KRW | +86% |
| Giant Network Group 002558 | ¥25.21 | ¥31.97 | +27% |
| International Games System Co 3293 | 693.00 TWD | 1,176 TWD | +70% |
| CD Projekt S.A CDR | 235.40 PLN | 258.94 PLN | +10% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Vivendi SE (VVU) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €0.4100 versus a price of €1.53, about −73% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of VVU?
Our model-based fair value for Vivendi SE is €0.4100 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €1.53.
What is the quality score of VVU?
Vivendi SE has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Vivendi SE (VVU)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €0.4100 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 18 valuation models. Cautious scenario €0.3400, optimistic scenario €0.5000. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Vivendi SE stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €0.4100, about −73% upside versus a price of €1.53 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €0.3400, optimistic scenario €0.5000. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Vivendi SE (VVU)?
Vivendi SE reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €307M (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
Does Vivendi SE pay a dividend?
Vivendi SE currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.62% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 13, 2026).
What growth is priced into Vivendi SE (VVU)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Vivendi SE would have to grow free cash flow by +50.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -48.7 % per year. As of Sep 13, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of VVU use?
Our models discount Vivendi SE at 10.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 1.22, country premium for Germany. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Vivendi SE that is +50.6 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Vivendi SE (VVU) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Vivendi SE grew -48.7 % a year. The price currently implies +50.6 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Vivendi SE (VVU) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.1 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Vivendi SE (+50.6 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Vivendi SE (VVU)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.19 %: that much free cash flow Vivendi SE produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Vivendi SE (VVU)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Vivendi SE it is €0.4100 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of €1.53. It is the blended result of 18 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Vivendi SE stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, VVU trades above its calculated fair value: price €1.53, fair value €0.4100, a gap of about −73% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of VVU?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€1.53); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€0.4100). For Vivendi SE the two are €1.12 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Vivendi SE worth?
The market values Vivendi SE at about €1.9B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is €1.53; our models calculate a fair value of €0.4100 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about VVU?
Our models span a range for Vivendi SE: cautious scenario €0.3400, base €0.4100, optimistic €0.5000 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price €1.53). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of VVU?
Vivendi SE trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 76.4 (as of Sep 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €0.4100 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.6, P/B 0.5, P/S 7.1.
What is the PEG ratio of VVU?
The PEG ratio of Vivendi SE is 1.63 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 13, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Vivendi SE (VVU)?
Balance-sheet figures for Vivendi SE (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity 0.4%. They feed the Quality Score of 57/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is VVU from its 52-week high?
Vivendi SE trades at €1.53, about 56% below its 52-week high of €3.51 (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €0.4100 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Vivendi SE?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value Konami Group, NetEase, Inc, Electronic Arts Inc, Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Vivendi SE stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price €1.53, calculated fair value €0.4100 (−73%), Quality Score 57/100, from 18 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of VVU calculated?
We run Vivendi SE through 18 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €0.4100, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Vivendi SE itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with Vivendi SE right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€0.5000). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Vivendi SE
How large is the market capitalisation of Vivendi SE (VVU)?
The market capitalisation of Vivendi SE is €1.9B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Vivendi SE (VVU)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Vivendi SE is 4.98 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Vivendi SE (VVU)?
Earnings per share at Vivendi SE are €0.0200 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 76.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Vivendi SE (VVU)?
The dividend yield of Vivendi SE is 2.6% (payout 200%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Vivendi SE (VVU)?
The net margin of Vivendi SE is 6.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Vivendi SE (VVU)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Vivendi SE is 0.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Vivendi SE (VVU)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Vivendi SE is 0.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Vivendi SE (VVU)?
The operating margin of Vivendi SE is −36.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Vivendi SE (VVU)?
Revenue at Vivendi SE is growing +8.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg −68.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Vivendi SE (VVU)?
Earnings per share at Vivendi SE are growing −80.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Vivendi SE (VVU) carry?
The net debt of Vivendi SE is €1.2B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 65.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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