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Vysarn Limited (VYS) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · AU · Market cap A$488M

VL Vysarn Limited VYS · AU
PriceA$1.16
Fair ValueA$0.3825
Upside-66.9%
Quality40/100
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Mixed Growth
Solidly profitable · 10.9% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (6/13)
Moderate moat 54/100
Evidence: High Range A$0.2210 – A$0.4335 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Share price +20.9% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 67% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.4335). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (40/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • A fairly wide model range (A$0.2210 to A$0.4335) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

A$1.16 A$0.0710 Fair Value A$0.3825 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.0710 – A$1.16 · fair‑value band A$0.2210 – A$0.4335 · the A$1.16 price screens above the A$0.3825 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

Vysarn Limited (VYS) currently trades at A$1.16, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.3825, implying the stock looks roughly 66.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Vysarn Limited generated revenue of A$132M at a net margin of 10.9%. Revenue grew 62.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of A$10.2M. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from A$0.2210 (bear case) to A$0.4335 (bull case); at A$1.16, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 172% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at -67%, VYS screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF A$0.2000 A$0.3200 A$0.5200 80
Rev-Margin DCF A$0.2600 A$0.4700 A$0.8900 74
ROIC Compounder A$0.3700 A$0.5400 A$0.6200 72
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF A$0.2100 A$0.2900 A$0.5500 38
Owner Earnings A$0.1900 A$0.3600 A$0.6800 31
5Y Revenue Exit A$0.2400 A$0.4100 A$0.7700 39
5Y EBITDA Exit A$0.3600 A$0.6500 A$1.23 41
5Y P/E Exit A$0.2600 A$0.5600 A$0.9800 38
10Y Revenue Exit A$0.2200 A$0.4800 A$0.6500 36
10Y EBITDA Exit A$0.3100 A$0.7200 A$1.44 37
10Y P/E Exit A$0.2500 A$0.5200 A$0.9800 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd A$0.1400 A$0.9600 A$1.35 54
Lynch FV A$0.5000 A$0.7100 A$0.9200 50
PEG = 1.0 A$0.5000 A$0.7100 A$0.9200 46
EPV A$0.3000 A$0.3300 A$0.3600 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple A$0.2600 A$0.3400 A$0.4300 63
P/S Multiple A$0.2300 A$0.3000 A$0.3800 58
P/B Multiple A$0.2600 A$0.3400 A$0.4300 55
EV/EBIT A$0.4700 A$0.6100 A$0.7600 53
EV/EBITDA A$0.4300 A$0.5600 A$0.6900 54
EV/Revenue A$0.2400 A$0.3300 A$0.4200 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0900 A$0.1300 A$0.1900 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF A$0.2000 A$0.3200 A$0.5200 80
Rev-Margin DCF A$0.2600 A$0.4700 A$0.8900 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income A$0.1600 A$0.1700 A$0.2400 61
ROIC Compounder A$0.3700 A$0.5400 A$0.6200 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E A$0.6100 A$0.8700 A$1.13 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (A$0.8700) versus Asset-Based (A$0.1300). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) A$132M
Revenue growth (YoY) +62.9%
Net margin 10.9%
Return on equity 14.4%
Free cash flow A$7.2M FY2025
P/E ratio 30.5
More key figures
Operating margin 12.0%
EPS (TTM) A$0.0300
EPS growth (YoY) +76.0%
Net cash A$10.2M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 40/100

Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 77

Profitability 50
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 33
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 46
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 86
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 20
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 22
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 100
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 2
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Vysarn Limited provides water services to various sectors, including resources, urban development, government and utilities in Australia. The company operates through Industrial, Technology, Advisory, and Other segments. It offers hydrogeological drilling, test pumping, reinjection water services, and water infrastructure engineering consultancy.

Full company description

Vysarn Limited provides water services to various sectors, including resources, urban development, government and utilities in Australia. The company operates through Industrial, Technology, Advisory, and Other segments. It offers hydrogeological drilling, test pumping, reinjection water services, and water infrastructure engineering consultancy. The company also provides water management consulting services in hydrogeology, hydrology, and environmental planning; dewatering services; groundwater management services; aquifer recharge and hydraulic engineering solutions; and asset management services, as well as designs, constructs, and operates custom wastewater treatment plants. Vysarn Limited was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in West Perth, Australia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Vysarn Limited reported revenue of A$107M in FY2025 versus A$25.8M in FY2021, a compound +42.5%/yr. Reported net income was A$10.7M in FY2025, compounding +136.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 87/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
A$107M
Latest YoY
+40.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+32.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+55.0%
Avg. growth/yr (17Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+49.2%
Revenue +42.5%/yr
FY21 A$25.8M
FY22 A$46.3M
FY23 A$65.0M
FY24 A$75.9M
FY25 A$107M
Net income +136.0%/yr
FY21 A$345K
FY22 A$2.9M
FY23 A$3.9M
FY24 A$8.0M
FY25 A$10.7M

VYS screens 67% overvalued. Compare with Larsen & Toubro Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Vysarn Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/VYS

Peer Group

Engineering & Construction · 839 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 40 · Below median
Fair Value upside −67% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 14% · Above median
Return on assets 8% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 11% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 12% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 63% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 30.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 3.47× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 2.60× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 48.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 13.9× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 16
FUTURE 100 · sector 17
PAST 58 · sector 26
HEALTH 100 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 33

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Larsen & Toubro Limited LT ₹3,815 ₹1,994 -48%
Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 346,000 KRW 268,779 KRW -22%
Hyundai Engineering & Construction Co 000720 99,000 KRW 63,993 KRW -35%
United Integrated Services Co 2404 1,250 TWD 925.62 TWD -26%
Samsung E&A Co 028050 42,550 KRW 44,840 KRW +5%
Rail Vikas Nigam Limited RVNL ₹232.67 ₹61.46 -74%
Daewoo Engineering & Construction Co 047040 16,240 KRW 6,507 KRW -60%
NBCC (India) Limited NBCC ₹96.32 ₹48.22 -50%
Cemindia Projects Limited CEMPRO ₹1,330 ₹730.69 -45%
KEPCO Engineering & Construction Company 052690 92,700 KRW 20,172 KRW -78%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Vysarn Limited (VYS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.3825 versus a price of A$1.16, about −67% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of VYS?
Our model-based fair value for Vysarn Limited is A$0.3825 (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is A$1.16.
What is the quality score of VYS?
Vysarn Limited has a Quality Score of 40/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Vysarn Limited (VYS)?
Vysarn Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$132M (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of VYS?
The net profit margin of Vysarn Limited is about 10.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 10.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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