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Siltronic AG (WAF) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · DE · Market cap €2.7B · ISIN DE000WAF3001

SA Siltronic AG WAF · XETRA
Price€79.45
Fair Value€145.17
Upside+82.7%
Quality33/100
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Strengths

Trades 45% below our fair value of €145.17

Risks

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +2.2 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -9.9% net margin
!Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (4/12)
Weak Growth (revenue 5y +2.2 %/yr)
Loss-making · -9.9% net margin
Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (4/12)
Narrow moat 12/100
Evidence: Low Range €99.21 – €191.13 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 27, 2026

From 4 valuation models · updated today

Share price +10.0% over the past month.

Below-average quality, trading 45% below our fair value.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

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What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (33/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (€99.21). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range (€99.21 to €191.13) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€126.22 €31.84 Fair Value €145.17 Jun 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €31.84 – €126.22 · fair‑value band €99.21 – €191.13 · the €79.45 price screens below the €145.17 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.

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Analysis

Siltronic AG (WAF) currently trades at €79.45, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €145.17, implying the stock looks roughly 82.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 33/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Siltronic AG generated revenue of €1.3B at a net margin of -5.1%. Revenue grew 3.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -3.7%. Net debt stands at €1.2B. Fundamentals as of Aug 27, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €99.21 (bear case) to €191.13 (bull case); at €79.45, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 151% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -59% fair-value upside, at 83%, WAF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM €1.76 €1.91 €2.15 70
DDM Multi-Stage €1.76 €2.18 €2.76 61
EV/EBITDA €107.31 €153.27 €199.23 54
All 4 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €1.76 €1.91 €2.15 70
DDM Multi-Stage €1.76 €2.18 €2.76 61
Multiples
EV/EBITDA €107.31 €153.27 €199.23 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €30.73 €41.18 €61.47 50

Widest divergence: Multiples (€153.27) versus Dividend Discount (€1.91). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).

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Key figures & financial health

P/S ratio 2.07 TTM
EPS (TTM) €-4.31
Net margin -5.1% FY2025
Return on equity -7.1% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) 6.4% avg 5y
Operating margin -17.1% TTM
More key figures
Growth
Revenue (TTM) €1.3B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) -11.4% 3y avg -9.3%
EPS growth (YoY) -47.9%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −€150M FY2025
Net debt €1.2B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 33/100

Of which business quality 33 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 55

Profitability 7
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 21
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 21
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 36
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 57
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 10
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 71
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 81
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Siltronic AG, together with its subsidiaries, develops, produces, markets, and sells hyperpure silicon wafers for the semiconductor industry in Germany, Rest of Europe, the United States, Taiwan, Mainland China, South Korea, Rest of Asia, and internationally. The company offers polished and epitaxial wafers.

Full company description

Siltronic AG, together with its subsidiaries, develops, produces, markets, and sells hyperpure silicon wafers for the semiconductor industry in Germany, Rest of Europe, the United States, Taiwan, Mainland China, South Korea, Rest of Asia, and internationally. The company offers polished and epitaxial wafers. It also provides Ultimate Silicon for use in CMOS technologies, such as DRAM and NAND components and memory chips; Float zone/FZ wafer based on float zone method; and HIREF wafers for discrete applications. Its products are used in electrical applications comprising computers, smartphones, industrial equipment, wind turbines, and cars with and without electric drives. The company was formerly known as Wacker Siltronic AG and changed its name to Siltronic AG in 2004. Siltronic AG was founded in 1953 and is headquartered in Munich, Germany.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Siltronic AG reported revenue of €1.3B in FY2025 versus €1.4B in FY2021, a compound −1.1%/yr. Reported net income was −€69.2M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 4/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€1.3B
Latest YoY
−4.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−9.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (12Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.1%
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue −1.1%/yr
FY21 €1.4B
FY22 €1.8B
FY23 €1.5B
FY24 €1.4B
FY25 €1.3B
Net income
FY21 €253M
FY22 €391M
FY23 €184M
FY24 €63.0M
FY25 −€69.2M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Siltronic AG Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/WAF.XETRA

Peer Group

Semiconductors · 328 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 33 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +83% · Top 25%
Return on assets -1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -10% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -17% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -11% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.2% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.68× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Semiconductors median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.71× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 2.42× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 14.1× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE100 · sector 0
FUTURE0 · sector 63
PAST0 · sector 24
HEALTH66 · sector 96
DIVIDEND4 · sector 18

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Semiconductors stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 27, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
NVIDIA Corporation NVDA $209.66 $98.98 -53%
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company TSM $417.69 $294.23 -30%
Broadcom Inc AVGO $355.59 $118.27 -67%
SK hynix Inc 000660 1,730,000 KRW 1,481,291 KRW -14%
Micron Technology, Inc MU $938.40 $148.38 -84%
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc AMD $480.93 $55.02 -89%
Intel Corporation INTC $88.24 $35.41 -60%
Texas Instruments Incorporated TXN $261.77 $78.54 -70%
QUALCOMM Incorporated QCOM $163.72 $147.20 -10%
MediaTek Inc 2454 3,845 TWD 1,559 TWD -59%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Siltronic AG (WAF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €145.17 versus a price of €79.45, about +83% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of WAF?
Our model-based fair value for Siltronic AG is €145.17 (as of Aug 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €79.45.
What is the quality score of WAF?
Siltronic AG has a Quality Score of 33/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Siltronic AG (WAF)?
Siltronic AG reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €1.3B (latest available figure, as of Aug 27, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of WAF?
The net profit margin of Siltronic AG is about -5.1%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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