Wagend Infra Venture Limited (WAGEND) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · IN · Market cap ₹53.3M
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated 7 days ago
Share price +6.1% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 77% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹0.3655). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (₹0.1955 to ₹0.3655) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹0.6100 – ₹3.61 · fair‑value band ₹0.1955 – ₹0.3655 · the ₹1.22 price screens above the ₹0.2805 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Wagend Infra Venture Limited (WAGEND) currently trades at ₹1.22, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹0.2805, implying the stock looks roughly 77.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Wagend Infra Venture Limited generated revenue of ₹27.9M at a net margin of 1.2%. It earns a return on equity of 0.4%. Net debt stands at ₹16.4M. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 122.0. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹0.1955 (bear case) to ₹0.3655 (bull case); at ₹1.22, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 40% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at -77%, WAGEND screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 16 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (₹8.63) versus Multiples (₹0.1200). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 52
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Wagend Infra Venture Limited develops infrastructure projects in India. The company constructs railways and roads on contract basis. It is also involved in the other non-specialized wholesale trade activities. The company was formerly known as Agarwal Holdings Limited and changed its name to Wagend Infra Venture Limited in May 2012.
Full company description
Wagend Infra Venture Limited develops infrastructure projects in India. The company constructs railways and roads on contract basis. It is also involved in the other non-specialized wholesale trade activities. The company was formerly known as Agarwal Holdings Limited and changed its name to Wagend Infra Venture Limited in May 2012. Wagend Infra Venture Limited was incorporated in 1981 and is based in Mumbai, India.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Wagend Infra Venture Limited reported revenue of ₹24.3M in FY2026 versus ₹50.0K in FY2022, a compound +369.5%/yr. Reported net income was ₹337K in FY2026, compounding −26.8%/yr from FY2022.
Peer Group
Infrastructure Operations · 69 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Infrastructure Operations median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Infrastructure Operations stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Merchants Expressway Network & Technology Holdings 001965 | ¥9.36 | ¥10.25 | +10% |
| Jiangsu Expressway Company 600377 | ¥12.01 | ¥14.47 | +20% |
| Shandong Hi-speed Company 600350 | ¥10.87 | ¥8.68 | -20% |
| Impulsora del Desarrollo y el Empleo en América Latina, S.A. IDEALB1 | 43.00 MXN | 33.24 MXN | -23% |
| Promotora y Operadora de Infraestructura, S. A. B. de C. V. PINFRA | 281.25 MXN | 945.00 MXN | +236% |
| Motiva Infraestrutura de Mobilidade S.A MOTV3 | R$14.03 | R$29.97 | +114% |
| Zhejiang Expressway Co 0576 | HK$6.31 | HK$18.50 | +193% |
| Guangdong Provincial Expressway Development Co 000429 | ¥13.16 | ¥13.79 | +5% |
| Anhui Expressway Company 600012 | ¥16.15 | ¥14.90 | -8% |
| Shenzhen Expressway Corporation 600548 | ¥8.37 | ¥9.16 | +9% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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