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Webster Financial Corporation (WBS) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $12.3B

WF Webster Financial Corporation logo Webster Financial Corporation WBS · US
Price$78.78
Fair Value$80.46
Upside+2.1%
Quality69/100
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Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 37.4% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
2.10% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (8/15)
Wide moat 69/100
Evidence: High Range $60.34 – $100.57 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 19 days ago

Share price +2.2% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$79.12 $29.03 Fair Value $80.46 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $29.03 – $79.12 · fair‑value band $60.34 – $100.57 · the $78.78 price screens below the $80.46 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

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Analysis

Webster Financial Corporation (WBS) currently trades at $78.78, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $80.46, implying the stock looks roughly 2.1% fairly valued today. We read business quality at 69/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Webster Financial Corporation generated revenue of $2.7B at a net margin of 37.4%. Revenue grew 8.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.9%. Net debt stands at $1.9B. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $60.34 (bear case) to $100.57 (bull case); at $78.78, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 59% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at 2%, WBS screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $87.19 $138.86 $223.30 80
Residual Income $52.27 $58.83 $102.20 76
Rev-Margin DCF $67.01 $101.77 $144.98 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $87.03 $141.33 $231.29 38
Owner Earnings $88.40 $143.66 $235.23 31
5Y Revenue Exit $67.01 $101.88 $147.44 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $84.70 $137.05 $200.72 41
5Y P/E Exit $92.37 $152.29 $218.67 38
10Y Revenue Exit $71.70 $106.42 $155.96 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $84.82 $131.67 $199.04 37
10Y P/E Exit $89.83 $142.61 $213.55 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $42.09 $170.90 $232.58 54
Lynch FV $42.76 $61.09 $79.41 50
PEG = 1.0 $42.76 $61.09 $79.41 46
EPV $69.50 $79.32 $87.92 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $92.84 $123.78 $154.73 63
P/S Multiple $51.18 $68.25 $85.31 58
P/B Multiple $78.91 $105.22 $131.52 55
EV/EBIT $115.55 $150.55 $185.55 53
EV/EBITDA $90.80 $117.55 $144.29 54
EV/Revenue $58.33 $78.80 $99.27 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $29.29 $39.25 $58.58 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $87.19 $138.86 $223.30 80
Rev-Margin DCF $67.01 $101.77 $144.98 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $52.27 $58.83 $102.20 76
ROIC Compounder $73.59 $94.81 $123.87 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $72.29 $103.27 $134.25 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($137.05) versus Asset-Based ($39.25). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $2.7B
Revenue growth (YoY) +8.7%
Net margin 37.4%
Return on equity 10.9%
Free cash flow $1.0B FY2025
P/E ratio 12.5
More key figures
Operating margin 49.5%
EPS (TTM) $6.10
Dividend yield 2.1%
EPS growth (YoY) +15.4%
Net debt $1.9B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 69/100

Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 76

Profitability 34
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 61
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 78
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 10
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 81
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 71
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 69
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 91
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 99
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Webster Financial Corporation operates as the bank holding company for Webster Bank, National Association that provides various financial products and services to businesses, individuals, and families in the United States. It operates through three segments: Commercial Banking, Healthcare Financial Services, and Consumer Banking.

Full company description

Webster Financial Corporation operates as the bank holding company for Webster Bank, National Association that provides various financial products and services to businesses, individuals, and families in the United States. It operates through three segments: Commercial Banking, Healthcare Financial Services, and Consumer Banking. The company offers checking, savings, and money market accounts; time deposits; individual retirement account retirement savings; certificates of deposit; mortgages; home equity loans and lines of credit; business lines of credit; overdrafts; and term, commercial mortgages, student, PPA, SBA, and personal loans. It also provides commercial lending; financial planning, life and long-term insurance, personal retirement, and portfolio management solutions; employee retirement plans; credit cards; payroll services; automated clearing house payables and wires; bill pay, remote deposit capture, merchant, and lockbox services; treasury management and investment services; private banking services; wealth management services; and online and mobile banking services. Webster Financial Corporation was founded in 1870 and is headquartered in Stamford, Connecticut.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Webster Financial Corporation reported revenue of $4.4B in FY2025 versus $1.3B in FY2021, a compound +36.7%/yr. Reported net income was $1.0B in FY2025, compounding +25.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$4.4B
Latest YoY
+6.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+17.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+28.0%
Avg. growth/yr (36Y)
+12.2%
Revenue +36.7%/yr
FY21 $1.3B
FY22 $2.7B
FY23 $3.9B
FY24 $4.2B
FY25 $4.4B
Net income +25.1%/yr
FY21 $409M
FY22 $644M
FY23 $868M
FY24 $769M
FY25 $1.0B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Webster Financial Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/WBS

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1082 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 68 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +2% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 11% · Above median
Return on assets 1% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 37% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 49% · Above median
Revenue growth 9% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.1% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.08× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 12.5× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.30× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 4.51× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 12.2× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 8.4× · Cheaper than median
PEG 1.73× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 36 · sector 39
FUTURE 44 · sector 44
PAST 44 · sector 41
HEALTH 96 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 42 · sector 49

Insider activity: 48/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA 6,175 IDR 6,087 IDR -1%
KB Financial Group 105560 184,400 KRW 213,797 KRW +16%
PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI 2,970 IDR 4,891 IDR +65%
PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI 4,310 IDR 7,841 IDR +82%
Banco Bradesco S.A BBD 5,120 ARS 10,240 ARS +100%
Shinhan Financial Group 055550 107,900 KRW 137,259 KRW +27%
Hana Financial Group 086790 136,800 KRW 193,969 KRW +42%
Lloyds Banking Group LYG 4,138 ARS 8,275 ARS +100%
Banco de Chile, CHILE 193.10 CLP 152.55 CLP -21%
Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB 59,400 VND 84,201 VND +42%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Webster Financial Corporation (WBS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $80.46 versus a price of $78.78, about +2% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of WBS?
Our model-based fair value for Webster Financial Corporation is $80.46 (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $78.78.
What is the quality score of WBS?
Webster Financial Corporation has a Quality Score of 69/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Webster Financial Corporation (WBS)?
Webster Financial Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $2.7B (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of WBS?
The net profit margin of Webster Financial Corporation is about 37.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 37.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Webster Financial Corporation pay a dividend?
Webster Financial Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.19% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 19, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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