Whitecap Resources Inc (WCP) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · CA · Market cap C$19.4B
Fair value as of: Jul 20, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 18 days ago
Share price +9.2% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 42% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (C$12.05). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (C$6.25 to C$12.05) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 20, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range C$3.64 – C$17.09 · fair‑value band C$6.25 – C$12.05 · the C$16.24 price screens above the C$9.34 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 20, 2026.
Analysis
Whitecap Resources Inc (WCP) currently trades at C$16.24, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$9.34, implying the stock looks roughly 42.5% overvalued today. We read business quality at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Whitecap Resources Inc generated revenue of C$6.2B at a net margin of 13.7%. Revenue grew 114.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.2%. Net debt stands at C$4.3B. Fundamentals as of Jul 20, 2026
Our scenario range runs from C$6.25 (bear case) to C$12.05 (bull case); at C$16.24, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 99% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -26% fair-value upside, at -42%, WCP screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (C$36.53) versus Economic Profit (C$5.45). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 80
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Whitecap Resources Inc. engages in the acquisition, development, and holding of interests in petroleum and natural gas properties and assets in Western Canada. Its primary areas of focus are development programs located in Northern Alberta, British Columbia, Central Alberta, and Western and Eastern Saskatchewan.
Full company description
Whitecap Resources Inc. engages in the acquisition, development, and holding of interests in petroleum and natural gas properties and assets in Western Canada. Its primary areas of focus are development programs located in Northern Alberta, British Columbia, Central Alberta, and Western and Eastern Saskatchewan. The company was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Whitecap Resources Inc reported revenue of C$5.2B in FY2025 versus C$2.3B in FY2021, a compound +22.7%/yr. Reported net income was C$985M in FY2025, compounding −13.7%/yr from FY2021.
WCP screens 42% overvalued. Compare with CNOOC Limited →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Whitecap Resources Inc's Dividend Analysis
- Whitecap Resources Inc (WCPRF) (Q2 2026) Earnings Call Highlights: Record Funds Flow and ...
- WHITECAP REPORTS RECORD SECOND QUARTER 2026 FINANCIAL RESULTS AND INCREASED PRODUCTION GUIDANCE
- WHITECAP RESOURCES INC. ANNOUNCES EXECUTIVE APPOINTMENT, CONFIRMS MONTHLY DIVIDEND FOR JULY OF $0.0608 PER SHARE AND ANNOUNCES SECOND QUARTE
Peer Group
Oil & Gas E&P · 316 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas E&P stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 20, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| CNOOC Limited 600938 | ¥28.97 | ¥32.55 | +12% |
| ConocoPhillips explores for, COP | $109.04 | $91.79 | -16% |
| Canadian Natural Resources Limited CNQ | $42.86 | $31.54 | -26% |
| EOG Resources, Inc EOG | $139.89 | $130.19 | -7% |
| Occidental Petroleum Corporation OXY | $54.86 | $30.68 | -44% |
| Diamondback Energy, Inc FANG | $183.39 | $106.12 | -42% |
| Devon Energy Corporation DVN | $43.83 | $27.06 | -38% |
| Woodside Energy Group WDS | A$30.46 | A$20.71 | -32% |
| EQT Corporation EQT | $48.85 | $42.85 | -12% |
| Texas Pacific Land Corporation TPL | $415.70 | $79.20 | -81% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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