Workday, Inc (WDAY) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · US · Market cap $34.5B

A solid business, but screening 69% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

• The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($65.77). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
• Solid but not exceptional quality (58/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $112.50 – $307.21 · fair‑value band $39.46 – $65.77 · the $170.24 price screens above the $52.62 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

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Analysis

Workday, Inc (WDAY) currently trades at $170.24, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $52.62, implying the stock looks roughly 69.1% overvalued today. We read business quality at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Workday, Inc generated revenue of $9.9B at a net margin of 8.6%. Revenue grew 13.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.9%. Net debt stands at $2.3B. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $39.46 (bear case) to $65.77 (bull case); at $170.24, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 54% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at -69%, WDAY screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($180.00) versus Asset-Based ($26.02). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Workday, Inc. provides enterprise cloud applications in the United States and internationally. The company offers a suite of financial management applications to maintain accounting information; manage financial processes, such as payables and receivables; identify real-time financial, operational, and management insights; perform financial consolidation; …

Full company description

Workday, Inc. provides enterprise cloud applications in the United States and internationally. The company offers a suite of financial management applications to maintain accounting information; manage financial processes, such as payables and receivables; identify real-time financial, operational, and management insights; perform financial consolidation; reduce time-to-close; promote internal control and auditability; and achieve consistency across finance operations. It also provides spend management solutions that help organizations to streamline supplier selection and contract management, build and execute sourcing events, such as requests for proposals, and manage indirect spend; expense management solutions to submit and approve expenses; and a suite of human capital management applications that enables HR teams to hire, onboard, pay, develop, reskill, and provide employee experiences. In addition, the company offers planning applications. Further, it provides supply chain and inventory solutions to healthcare organizations; solutions to manage the end-to-end student and faculty lifecycle; Workday Extend for customers and their developers to build custom applications. The company serves the professional and business services, financial services, healthcare, manufacturing, media, education, government, technology, media, retail, and hospitality industries. It sells its solutions through its direct sales organization. The company was formerly known as North Tahoe Power Tools, Inc. and changed its name to Workday, Inc. in July 2005. Workday, Inc. was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Pleasanton, California.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Workday, Inc reported revenue of $9.6B in FY2026 versus $5.1B in FY2022, a compound +16.8%/yr. Reported net income was $693M in FY2026, compounding +121.1%/yr from FY2022.

WDAY screens 69% overvalued. Compare with SAP SE →

Peer Group

Software - Application · 709 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.