The Warehouse Group (WHGPF) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $186M
Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated 19 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 22, 2026, revised from $0.9100 to $0.9400 (+3.3%) since Jun 25, 2026.
A solid business, screening 76% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case ($0.6500). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (57/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range ($0.6500 to $1.30) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.5350 – $2.53 · fair‑value band $0.6500 – $1.30 · the $0.5350 price screens below the $0.9400 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.
Analysis
The Warehouse Group (WHGPF) currently trades at $0.5350, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.9400, implying the stock looks roughly 75.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $3.1B. Revenue grew 0.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.5%. Net debt stands at $810M. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.6500 (bear case) to $1.30 (bull case); at $0.5350, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 50% fair-value upside, at 76%, WHGPF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 16 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($1.80) versus Earnings-Based ($0.5400). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 52
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
The Warehouse Group Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the operation of retail stores in New Zealand. The company sells general merchandise, apparels, technology, appliance, and stationery products.
Full company description
The Warehouse Group Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the operation of retail stores in New Zealand. The company sells general merchandise, apparels, technology, appliance, and stationery products. The Warehouse Group Limited operates its physical retails stores under The Warehouse Stores, Warehouse Stationery Stores, and Noel Leeming Stores; and online stores under The Warehouse Stores, Warehouse Stationery Stores, and Noel Leeming Stores; Torpedo7, and TheMarket.com brand names. The company is involved in the provision of property and investment services. The Warehouse Group Limited was founded in 1982 and is based in Auckland, New Zealand.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
The Warehouse Group reported revenue of $3.1B in FY2025 versus $3.4B in FY2021, a compound −2.5%/yr. Reported net income was −$2.8M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Department Stores · 127 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Department Stores median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Department Stores stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).
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|---|---|---|---|
| Falabella S.A FALABELLA | 5,875 CLP | 8,880 CLP | +51% |
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| 99 Speed Mart Retail Holdings 5326 | 3.70 MYR | 1.45 MYR | -61% |
| Cencosud S.A CENCOSUD | 2,040 CLP | 2,516 CLP | +23% |
| Vishal Mega Mart Limited VMM | ₹113.94 | ₹37.39 | -67% |
| SHINSEGAE Inc 004170 | 610,000 KRW | 200,259 KRW | -67% |
| Organización Soriana, S. A. B. de C. V., SORIANAB | 30.04 MXN | 59.59 MXN | +98% |
| Lotte Shopping Co 023530 | 155,300 KRW | 81,725 KRW | -47% |
| Lojas Renner S.A LREN3 | R$14.10 | R$33.36 | +137% |
| La Comer, S.A. LACOMERUBC | 34.37 MXN | 51.49 MXN | +50% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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