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Watkin Jones PLC (WJG) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Watkin Jones PLC £0.22, price £0.15, upside +44.4%, quality 47 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
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Consumer Cyclical · GB · ISIN GB00BD6RF223

WJ Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Watkin Jones PLC

WJG · LSE

SpeculativeUpside exists, but weak quality makes the signal speculative.

✓Fair value £0.2200 · Undervalued (+44%)
!Quality 47/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −4.6 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -3.4% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (4/10)
!Narrow moat 12/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

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Price vs Fair Value

£2.51 £0.1520 Fair Value £0.2200 Jul 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range £0.1520 – £2.51 · fair‑value band £0.1400 – £0.2700 · the £0.1524 price screens below the £0.2200 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Watkin Jones Plc engages in the development and the management of properties for residential occupation in the United Kingdom. The company operates through Student Accommodation, Build to Rent, Affordable Homes, Refresh, and Accommodation Management segments.

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Watkin Jones Plc engages in the development and the management of properties for residential occupation in the United Kingdom. The company operates through Student Accommodation, Build to Rent, Affordable Homes, Refresh, and Accommodation Management segments. It is involved in the development of purpose-built student accommodation, build to rent accommodation, and residential housing property; refurbishment, redevelopment and repurposing of existing accommodation; and management of student accommodation and build to rent/private rental sector property. In addition, the company is involved in property development, accommodation management, property fund asset management, and property letting. The company was formerly known as Watkin Jones Limited and changed its name to Watkin Jones Plc in March 2016. Watkin Jones Plc was founded in 1791 and is based in London, the United Kingdom.

Stock analysis

Watkin Jones PLC (WJG) currently trades at £0.1524, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £0.2200, implying the stock looks roughly 30.7% undervalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: £0.1400 (bear) to £0.2700 (bull), the price of £0.1524 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Watkin Jones PLC reported revenue of £280M in FY2025 versus £430M in FY2021, a compound −10.2%/yr. Reported net income was −£8.4M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 48.2M GBX · P/S ratio 0.19 · EPS (TTM) £−0.0300 · Net margin −3.0% · Return on equity −6.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.0% · Operating margin −4.5% · Revenue (TTM) £251M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 39 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 56% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 44% fair-value upside, at 44%, WJG screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear £0.1400 Fair Value £0.2200 Bull £0.2700
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) £0.2400 £0.3300 £0.4900 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) £0.2400 £0.3300 £0.4900 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 47/100

Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 15

Profitability 17
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 15
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 26
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 79
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 38
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 9
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 86
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−22.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−11.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +1.4% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.2%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
15.0% (2019) → −3.2% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Residential Construction · 65 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/9 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 50 · Below median
Fair Value upside +45% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets −1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −3% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −4% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −23% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.08× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Residential Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.51× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.26× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)93 · sector 80
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 33
HEALTH (low debt)96 · sector 88
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 71

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Residential Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
D.R. Horton, Inc DHI $140.17 $238.11 +70%
PulteGroup, Inc PHM $118.71 $190.19 +60%
Lennar Corporation LEN $81.52 $117.15 +44%
NVR, Inc NVR $6,242 $8,059 +29%
Toll Brothers, Inc TOL $135.27 $230.52 +70%
Installed Building Products, Inc IBP $211.94 $233.13 +10%
Meritage Homes Corporation MTH $66.40 $103.12 +55%
Champion Homes, Inc SKY $88.84 $97.72 +10%
Cavco Industries, Inc CVCO $558.39 $614.23 +10%
M/I Homes, Inc MHO $142.67 $180.03 +26%

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Watkin Jones PLC · Fair Value
£0.2200 +31%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Watkin Jones PLC Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/WJG

Frequently asked questions

Is Watkin Jones PLC (WJG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £0.2200 versus a price of £0.1524, about +44% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of WJG?
Our model-based fair value for Watkin Jones PLC is £0.2200 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: £0.1524.
What is the quality score of WJG?
Watkin Jones PLC has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Watkin Jones PLC (WJG)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of £0.2200 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario £0.1400, optimistic scenario £0.2700. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Watkin Jones PLC stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at £0.2200, about +44% upside versus a price of £0.1524 (undervalued). Cautious scenario £0.1400, optimistic scenario £0.2700. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Watkin Jones PLC (WJG)?
Watkin Jones PLC reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £251M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Watkin Jones PLC (WJG)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Watkin Jones PLC it is £0.2200 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of £0.1524. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Watkin Jones PLC stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, WJG trades below its calculated fair value: price £0.1524, fair value £0.2200, a gap of about +44% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of WJG?
No. The price is what the market pays today (£0.1524); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (£0.2200). For Watkin Jones PLC the two are £0.0676 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Watkin Jones PLC worth?
The market values Watkin Jones PLC at about 48.2M GBX (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is £0.1524; our models calculate a fair value of £0.2200 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about WJG?
Our models span a range for Watkin Jones PLC: cautious scenario £0.1400, base £0.2200, optimistic £0.2700 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price £0.1524). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Watkin Jones PLC (WJG)?
Balance-sheet figures for Watkin Jones PLC (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −6.7%, debt of 0.08 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 47/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is WJG from its 52-week high?
Watkin Jones PLC trades at £0.1524, about 56% below its 52-week high of £0.3440 and at the low of £0.1520 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of £0.2200 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Watkin Jones PLC?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value D.R. Horton, Inc, PulteGroup, Inc, Lennar Corporation, NVR, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Watkin Jones PLC stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price £0.1524, calculated fair value £0.2200 (+44%), Quality Score 47/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of WJG calculated?
We run Watkin Jones PLC through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of £0.2200, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Watkin Jones PLC currently trades 44 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Watkin Jones PLC (WJG)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was £0.1524. Our model-based fair value is £0.2200, about +44% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Watkin Jones PLC right now?
The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (47/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (£0.1400 to £0.2700) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Watkin Jones PLC

How large is the market capitalisation of Watkin Jones PLC (WJG)?
The market capitalisation of Watkin Jones PLC is 48.2M GBX. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Watkin Jones PLC (WJG)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Watkin Jones PLC is 0.19 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Watkin Jones PLC (WJG)?
Earnings per share at Watkin Jones PLC are £−0.0300. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Watkin Jones PLC (WJG)?
The net margin of Watkin Jones PLC is −3.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Watkin Jones PLC (WJG)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Watkin Jones PLC is −6.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Watkin Jones PLC (WJG)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Watkin Jones PLC is 2.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Watkin Jones PLC (WJG)?
The operating margin of Watkin Jones PLC is −4.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Watkin Jones PLC (WJG)?
Revenue at Watkin Jones PLC is growing −22.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg −11.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Watkin Jones PLC (WJG)?
Earnings per share at Watkin Jones PLC are growing +25.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Watkin Jones PLC (WJG) generate?
The free cash flow of Watkin Jones PLC is −14.2M GBX (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Watkin Jones PLC (WJG) hold?
Watkin Jones PLC holds more cash than debt, 36.8M GBX net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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