Weis Markets Inc (WMK) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Weis Markets Inc stock $45.86, price $77.72, that is 41.0% below the price, quality 66 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 23 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 6, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $47.38 – $87.60 · fair‑value band $28.69 – $66.91 · the $77.72 price screens above the $45.86 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 6, 2026.
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Weis Markets, Inc. engages in the retail sale of food through a chain of supermarkets.
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The company's retail food stores offer groceries, dairy products, frozen food, meats, seafood, fresh produce, floral, pharmacy services, deli products, prepared food, bakery products, beer and wine, and fuel; and general merchandise items, such as health and beauty care, and household products.
It also operates stores in Delaware, Maryland, New Jersey, New York, Pennsylvania, Virginia, and West Virginia primarily under the Weis Markets name, as well as Weis, Weis 2 Go, Weis Great Meals Start Here, Weis Gas-n-Go, and Weis Nutri-Facts.
Weis Markets, Inc. was founded in 1912 and is based in Sunbury, Pennsylvania.
Stock analysis
Weis Markets Inc (WMK) currently trades at $77.72, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $45.86, 41% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $68.30 per share, and 3 of the 23 models we run sit above the $77.72 price.
Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at $13.08, and 20 of the 23 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $28.69 (bear) to $66.91 (bull), the price of $77.72 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Weis Markets Inc reported revenue of $5.0B in FY2025 versus $4.2B in FY2021, a compound +4.1%/yr. Reported net income was $93.7M in FY2025, compounding −3.7%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $1.9B Small · P/E ratio 19.4 · P/S ratio 0.38 · EPS (TTM) $4.09 · Dividend yield 1.7% · Net margin 2.1% · Return on equity 7.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.7% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 27% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at −41%, WMK screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$28.69Fair Value $45.86Bull$66.91
Price $77.72 · Downside -41.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then ($2.33 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
In the last 6 months, no officer or director bought or sold shares on the open market.
Plus 2 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.46/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+3.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +5.6% a year
Revenue growth 40 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.0%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−0.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−2.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.7%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−2.1% vs 5.2%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.4% → 2%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+70.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +66.4% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Grocery Stores · 74 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score66 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−41.0% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)7.3% · Below median
Return on assets4.6% · Above median
Net margin (12 months)2.1% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)2.2% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)3.0% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months)1.7% · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Grocery Stores median · lower = cheaper
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Is Weis Markets Inc (WMK) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $45.86 versus a price of $77.72, about 41% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of WMK?
Our model-based fair value for Weis Markets Inc is $45.86 (as of Nov 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $77.72.
What is the quality score of WMK?
Weis Markets Inc has a Quality Score of 66/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Weis Markets Inc (WMK)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $45.86 (as of Nov 6, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario $28.69, optimistic scenario $66.91. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Weis Markets Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $45.86, about 41% lower versus a price of $77.72 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $28.69, optimistic scenario $66.91. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Weis Markets Inc (WMK)?
Weis Markets Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $5.1B (latest available figure, as of Nov 6, 2026).
Does Weis Markets Inc pay a dividend?
Weis Markets Inc currently shows a dividend yield of 1.75% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 6, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Weis Markets Inc (WMK) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Weis Markets Inc pays a dividend of $1.36 per share a year, a dividend yield of 1.7%. The next ex-dividend date is Nov 9, 2026, with payment on Nov 23, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since at least 1985. The payout ratio is 33.3% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 0.14 times. Our assessment: Watch coverage. The dividend isn’t fully covered by free cash flow or earnings, part of it is funded from reserves or debt. Fine for now, but worth watching: if it stays uncovered, the dividend could be cut.
What growth is priced into Weis Markets Inc (WMK)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Weis Markets Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +70.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +3.8 % per year. As of Nov 6, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of WMK use?
Our models discount Weis Markets Inc at 9.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.39, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Weis Markets Inc that is +70.3 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (9.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Weis Markets Inc (WMK) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Weis Markets Inc grew +3.8 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +70.3 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Weis Markets Inc (WMK) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Weis Markets Inc (+70.3 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Weis Markets Inc (WMK)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.25 %: that much free cash flow Weis Markets Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Weis Markets Inc (WMK)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Weis Markets Inc it is $45.86 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026), against a price of $77.72. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Weis Markets Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 6, 2026, WMK trades above its calculated fair value: price $77.72, fair value $45.86, a gap of about −41% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of WMK?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($77.72); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($45.86). For Weis Markets Inc the two are $31.86 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Weis Markets Inc worth?
The market values Weis Markets Inc at about $1.9B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 6, 2026). Per share that is $77.72; our models calculate a fair value of $45.86 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about WMK?
Our models span a range for Weis Markets Inc: cautious scenario $28.69, base $45.86, optimistic $66.91 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026, price $77.72). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of WMK?
Weis Markets Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 19.4 (as of Nov 6, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $45.86 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 10 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings, FY2018 ex one-offs: 16.6. Other multiples: PEG 1.4, P/B 1.4, P/S 0.4, EV/EBITDA 6.9.
What is the PEG ratio of WMK?
The PEG ratio of Weis Markets Inc is 1.38 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 6, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Weis Markets Inc (WMK)?
Balance-sheet figures for Weis Markets Inc (as of Nov 6, 2026): return on equity 7.3%. They feed the Quality Score of 66/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is WMK from its 52-week high?
Weis Markets Inc trades at $77.72, about 6% below its 52-week high of $82.25 and 27% above the low of $61.02 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $45.86 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Weis Markets Inc?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Loblaw Companies Limited, The Kroger Co, Woolworths Group, Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize N.V, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Weis Markets Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 6, 2026: price $77.72, calculated fair value $45.86 (−41%), Quality Score 66/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of WMK calculated?
We run Weis Markets Inc through 23 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $45.86 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Weis Markets Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Weis Markets Inc (WMK)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $77.72. Our model-based fair value is $45.86, about 41% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Weis Markets Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($66.91). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (66/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($28.69 to $66.91) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Weis Markets Inc (WMK) come from?
Earnings per share at Weis Markets Inc grew +5.0 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +5.9 %, EBIT margin −2.0 %, tax rate +1.0 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.2 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Weis Markets Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Weis Markets Inc (WMK)?
The market capitalisation of Weis Markets Inc is $1.9B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Weis Markets Inc (WMK)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Weis Markets Inc is 0.38 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Weis Markets Inc (WMK)?
Earnings per share at Weis Markets Inc are $4.09 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 19.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Weis Markets Inc (WMK)?
The dividend yield of Weis Markets Inc is 1.7% (payout 33.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Weis Markets Inc (WMK)?
The net margin of Weis Markets Inc is 2.1% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Weis Markets Inc (WMK)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Weis Markets Inc is 7.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Weis Markets Inc (WMK)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Weis Markets Inc is 6.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Weis Markets Inc (WMK)?
The operating margin of Weis Markets Inc is 2.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Weis Markets Inc (WMK)?
Revenue at Weis Markets Inc is growing +3.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +1.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Weis Markets Inc (WMK)?
Earnings per share at Weis Markets Inc are growing +21.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Weis Markets Inc (WMK) carry?
The net debt of Weis Markets Inc is $55.0M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 11.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Nov 6, 2026