Weis Markets, Inc (WMK) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $2.0B
Weis Markets, Inc
WMK · US
Fair value as of: Jul 25, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 16 days ago
Share price −5.1% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 40% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($65.65). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (66/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $45.29 – $88.01 · fair‑value band $43.42 – $65.65 · the $75.25 price screens above the $45.33 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.
Analysis
Weis Markets, Inc (WMK) currently trades at $75.25, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $45.33, implying the stock looks roughly 39.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Weis Markets, Inc generated revenue of $5.0B at a net margin of 2.0%. Revenue grew 4.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.2%. Net debt stands at $55.0M. Fundamentals as of Jul 25, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $43.42 (bear case) to $65.65 (bull case); at $75.25, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 26% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -31% fair-value upside, at -40%, WMK screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($64.37) versus Growth DCF ($7.03). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 25, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 65 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 61
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Weis Markets, Inc. engages in the retail sale of food through a chain of supermarkets. The company's retail food stores offer groceries, dairy products, frozen food, meats, seafood, fresh produce, floral, pharmacy services, deli products, prepared food, bakery products, beer and wine, and fuel; and general merchandise items, such as health and beauty care, …
Full company description
Weis Markets, Inc. engages in the retail sale of food through a chain of supermarkets. The company's retail food stores offer groceries, dairy products, frozen food, meats, seafood, fresh produce, floral, pharmacy services, deli products, prepared food, bakery products, beer and wine, and fuel; and general merchandise items, such as health and beauty care, and household products. It also operates stores in Delaware, Maryland, New Jersey, New York, Pennsylvania, Virginia, and West Virginia primarily under the Weis Markets name, as well as Weis, Weis 2 Go, Weis Great Meals Start Here, Weis Gas-n-Go, and Weis Nutri-Facts. Weis Markets, Inc. was founded in 1912 and is based in Sunbury, Pennsylvania.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Weis Markets, Inc reported revenue of $5.0B in FY2025 versus $4.2B in FY2021, a compound +4.1%/yr. Reported net income was $93.7M in FY2025, compounding −3.7%/yr from FY2021.
WMK screens 40% overvalued. Compare with Loblaw Companies Limited →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Weis Markets declares $0.34 dividend
- Instacart (CART) and Weis Markets Launch AI-Powered Caper Carts in Pennsylvania
- Instacart and Weis Markets Launch AI-Powered Caper Carts to Transform In-Store Shopping
- Is Weis Markets, Inc. (WMK) A Good Stock To Buy Now?
Peer Group
Grocery Stores · 83 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Grocery Stores median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Grocery Stores stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 25, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Loblaw Companies Limited L | C$65.49 | C$44.44 | -32% |
| Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize N.V AD | €36.30 | €53.50 | +47% |
| The Kroger Co KR | $58.82 | $28.19 | -52% |
| Woolworths Group WOW | A$39.20 | A$13.40 | -66% |
| George Weston Limited WN | C$100.98 | C$63.61 | -37% |
| Coles Group COL | A$23.56 | A$15.86 | -33% |
| Metro Inc MRU | C$93.64 | C$94.01 | +0% |
| Carrefour SA CA | €16.40 | €11.51 | -30% |
| CP ALL Public Company TCPD | 1.89 SGD | 2.36 SGD | +25% |
| BIM Birlesik Magazalar A.S., BIMAS | 385.75 TRY | 267.12 TRY | -31% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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