W P Carey Inc (WPC) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 5, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of W P Carey Inc stock $69.27, price $65.29, upside +6.1%, quality 57 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. Calculated from audited financials with 16 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 6, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $43.64 – $76.69 · fair‑value band $32.32 – $113.59 · the $65.29 price screens below the $69.27 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 6, 2026.
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W. P. Carey Inc. ranks among the largest net lease REITs with a well-diversified portfolio of high-quality, operationally critical commercial real estate. It includes 1,703 net lease properties covering approximately 185 million square feet as of March 31, 2026.
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With offices in New York, London, Amsterdam and Dallas, the company remains focused on investing primarily in single-tenant, industrial, warehouse and retail properties located in the U.S. and Europe, under long-term net leases with built-in rent escalations.
W. P. Carey Inc. was incorporated in 1973 in Maryland, USA.
Stock analysis
W P Carey Inc (WPC) currently trades at $65.29, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $69.27, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 5.7%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $80.49 per share, and 5 of the 16 models we run sit above the $65.29 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $13.58, and 11 of the 16 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $32.32 (bear) to $113.59 (bull), the price of $65.29 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
W P Carey Inc reported revenue of $1.7B in FY2025 versus $1.3B in FY2021, a compound +8.0%/yr. Reported net income was $466M in FY2025, compounding +3.3%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $14.8B Large · P/E ratio 22.7 · P/S ratio 8.16 · EPS (TTM) $2.88 · Dividend yield 5.5% · Net margin 35.8% · Return on equity 7.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 57 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −31% fair-value upside, at 6%, WPC screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$32.32Fair Value $69.27Bull$113.59
Price $65.29 · Upside +6.1%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
In the last 6 months, no officer or director bought or sold shares on the open market.
SaleBrian H ZanderChief Accounting Officer433 shares at $74.00$32,042May 6, 2026
Plus 11 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.81/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+8.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +6.5% a year
Revenue growth 28 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.7%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+4.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−1.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)5.5%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−1.2% vs −1.2%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.87% → 44%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far and about what analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+8.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+6.2%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +5.6% a year for the price and +3.7% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (98 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
AI conclusion: Long-term net leases with built-in escalations and portfolio diversification deliver stable cash conversion, while limited moat signals and high leverage remain the key constraints.
Main risk: Larger net-lease REITs such as Realty Income and private equity or credit platforms could bid aggressively for single-tenant properties, compressing acquisition cap rates and squeezing WPC's investment spreads as well as margins on new deals.
Bull case: WPC could leverage its European platform for cheaper euro debt and its diversified portfolio with built-in escalations to maintain accretive acquisitions despite rival bidding and secure stable cash flows.
Bear case: Aggressive bidding by larger peers and private funds combined with higher refinancing costs could narrow acquisition spreads, slow portfolio growth and pressure margins as well as AFFO expansion over several years.
W. P. Carey focuses on single-tenant net lease properties under long-term contracts that include built-in rent escalations. These features offer some protection in an inflationary setting while the diversified portfolio across the US and Europe spreads exposure. Will the escalations and investment momentum deliver more durable cash flow growth than any debt cost pressures subtract?
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.REIT - Diversified · 140 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/15 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score57 · Below median
Fair Value upside+6.1% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)7.8% · Above median
Return on assets2.6% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)35.8% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)56.6% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)9.2% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months)5.5% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.07× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs REIT - Diversified median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "W P Carey Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/WPC
Frequently asked questions
Is W P Carey Inc (WPC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $69.27 versus a price of $65.29, about +6% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of WPC?
Our model-based fair value for W P Carey Inc is $69.27 (as of Nov 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $65.29.
What is the quality score of WPC?
W P Carey Inc has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for W P Carey Inc (WPC)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $69.27 (as of Nov 6, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario $32.32, optimistic scenario $113.59. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the W P Carey Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $69.27, about +6% upside versus a price of $65.29 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $32.32, optimistic scenario $113.59. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of W P Carey Inc (WPC)?
W P Carey Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.8B (latest available figure, as of Nov 6, 2026).
Does W P Carey Inc pay a dividend?
W P Carey Inc currently shows a dividend yield of 5.54% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 6, 2026).
What growth is priced into W P Carey Inc (WPC)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, W P Carey Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +8.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +8.0 % per year. As of Nov 6, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of WPC use?
Our models discount W P Carey Inc at 8.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.77, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For W P Carey Inc that is +8.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has W P Carey Inc (WPC) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at W P Carey Inc grew +8.0 % a year. The price currently implies +8.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of W P Carey Inc (WPC) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into W P Carey Inc (+8.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of W P Carey Inc (WPC)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 7.36 %: that much free cash flow W P Carey Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of W P Carey Inc (WPC)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For W P Carey Inc it is $69.27 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026), against a price of $65.29. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is W P Carey Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 6, 2026, WPC trades below its calculated fair value: price $65.29, fair value $69.27, a gap of about +6% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of WPC?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($65.29); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($69.27). For W P Carey Inc the two are $3.98 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is W P Carey Inc worth?
The market values W P Carey Inc at about $14.8B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 6, 2026). Per share that is $65.29; our models calculate a fair value of $69.27 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about WPC?
Our models span a range for W P Carey Inc: cautious scenario $32.32, base $69.27, optimistic $113.59 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026, price $65.29). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of WPC?
W P Carey Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 22.7 (as of Nov 6, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $69.27 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.5, P/B 1.8, P/S 8.2, EV/EBITDA 15.4.
What is the PEG ratio of WPC?
The PEG ratio of W P Carey Inc is 1.47 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 6, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of W P Carey Inc (WPC)?
Balance-sheet figures for W P Carey Inc (as of Nov 6, 2026): return on equity 7.8%, debt of 1.07 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 57/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is WPC from its 52-week high?
W P Carey Inc trades at $65.29, about 15% below its 52-week high of $76.69 and 6% above the low of $61.60 (as of Nov 5, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $69.27 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to W P Carey Inc?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Goodman Group, VICI Properties Inc, Charter Hall Group, The GPT Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is W P Carey Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 6, 2026: price $65.29, calculated fair value $69.27 (+6%), Quality Score 57/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of WPC calculated?
We run W P Carey Inc through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $69.27, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.5% above its aggregate fair value. W P Carey Inc currently trades 6% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of W P Carey Inc (WPC)?
The closing price on Nov 5, 2026 was $65.29. Our model-based fair value is $69.27, about +6% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with W P Carey Inc right now?
The model range is unusually wide ($32.32 to $113.59). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Where does the earnings growth of W P Carey Inc (WPC) come from?
Earnings per share at W P Carey Inc grew +1.6 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −1.0 %, EBIT margin −1.2 %, tax rate +0.2 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +3.7 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of W P Carey Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of W P Carey Inc (WPC)?
The market capitalisation of W P Carey Inc is $14.8B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of W P Carey Inc (WPC)?
The price-to-sales ratio of W P Carey Inc is 8.16 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of W P Carey Inc (WPC)?
Earnings per share at W P Carey Inc are $2.88 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 22.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of W P Carey Inc (WPC)?
The dividend yield of W P Carey Inc is 5.5% (payout 126%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of W P Carey Inc (WPC)?
The net margin of W P Carey Inc is 35.8% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of W P Carey Inc (WPC)?
The return on equity (ROE) of W P Carey Inc is 7.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of W P Carey Inc (WPC)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of W P Carey Inc is 6.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of W P Carey Inc (WPC)?
The operating margin of W P Carey Inc is 56.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at W P Carey Inc (WPC)?
Revenue at W P Carey Inc is growing +9.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at W P Carey Inc (WPC)?
Earnings per share at W P Carey Inc are growing −4.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does W P Carey Inc (WPC) carry?
The net debt of W P Carey Inc is $8.6B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 7.9 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Nov 6, 2026