Wiseway Group (WWG) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · AU · Market cap A$57.7M
Fair value as of: Jul 13, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 28 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 13, 2026, revised from A$0.5300 to A$0.1505 (−71.6%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −28.4% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 37% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.1960). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (64/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.0381 – A$0.3945 · fair‑value band A$0.1120 – A$0.1960 · the A$0.2400 price screens above the A$0.1505 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.
Analysis
Wiseway Group (WWG) currently trades at A$0.2400, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.1505, implying the stock looks roughly 37.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Wiseway Group generated revenue of A$89.0M at a net margin of -0.6%. Revenue grew 16.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 26.3%. Net debt stands at A$21.0M. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from A$0.1120 (bear case) to A$0.1960 (bull case); at A$0.2400, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 111% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -11% fair-value upside, at -37%, WWG screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (A$0.6700) versus Asset-Based (A$0.0900). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 47
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Wiseway Group Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides logistics and freight forwarding services in Australia, New Zealand, China, Singapore, and the United States.
Full company description
Wiseway Group Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides logistics and freight forwarding services in Australia, New Zealand, China, Singapore, and the United States. The company offers air cargo services comprising exports, imports, and technology and visibility solutions; sea cargo services consisting of LCL and FCL, specialized perishables handling, and integrated customs clearance and distribution solutions; and warehousing and transport services, such as customs bonded and general warehousing, local and interstate transportation, and container transportation solutions. It also provides road transport services, including local metropolitan delivery, interstate freight, and specialized container transportation connecting ports, warehouses, and final destinations; e-commerce and fulfillment services comprising order fulfilment, last-mile distribution and returns, and technology integration and analytics solutions; and perishables services, including climate-controlled warehousing, secure cold chain storage, temperature-controlled transportation, and food safety and compliance. Wiseway Group Limited was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Bankstown, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Wiseway Group reported revenue of A$185M in FY2025 versus A$126M in FY2021, a compound +10.1%/yr. Reported net income was A$4.4M in FY2025, compounding +25.3%/yr from FY2021.
WWG screens 37% overvalued. Compare with United Parcel Service, Inc →
Peer Group
Integrated Freight & Logistics · 218 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Integrated Freight & Logistics median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 45/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Integrated Freight & Logistics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| United Parcel Service, Inc UPS | $117.72 | $104.58 | -11% |
| FedEx Corporation FDX | $314.69 | $347.68 | +10% |
| Deutsche Post AG DHL | €57.22 | €53.18 | -7% |
| DSV A/S DSV | kr 1,660 | kr 712.57 | -57% |
| Kuehne + Nagel International AG KNIN | CHF 209.90 | CHF 147.92 | -30% |
| J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc JBHT | $291.41 | $133.80 | -54% |
| S.F. Holding 002352 | ¥31.91 | ¥48.64 | +52% |
| C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc CHRW | $193.50 | $86.56 | -55% |
| Expeditors International of Washington, Inc EXPD | $172.02 | $115.95 | -33% |
| ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc 2057 | HK$181.40 | HK$241.93 | +33% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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