X-Energy, Inc (XE) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $5.5B
Fair value as of: Jul 25, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated today
Share price −23.8% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (3 months)
3‑month range $13.83 – $35.98 · fair‑value band $1.11 – $2.11 · the $14.56 price screens above the $1.69 fair value. As of Jul 25, 2026.
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X-Energy, Inc (XE) currently trades at $14.56, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.69, implying the stock looks roughly 88.4% overvalued today. We read business quality at 26/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $117M. Revenue grew 133.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -60.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $436M. Fundamentals as of Jul 25, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $1.11 (bear case) to $2.11 (bull case); at $14.56, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 61% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -44% fair-value upside, at -88%, XE screens richer than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 25, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
X-Energy, Inc. designs and develops nuclear reactor technology. The company manufactures nuclear fuels. It provides the Xe-100 reactor that is designed to generate 80 megawatts of electric power or 200 megawatts of thermal output (heat) and TRISO-X, a fuel for reactors. The company was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in Rockville, Maryland.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
X-Energy, Inc reported revenue of $109M in FY2025 versus $77.0M in FY2021, a compound +9.1%/yr. Reported net income was −$390M in FY2025.
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Recent news
- How Investors Can Swing for the Fences With $100,000 Now
- TRISO-X Awarded Tennessee Grant to Support Expansion of Nuclear Fuel Campus
- Cathie Wood Loads Up on SpaceX, Meta, Eli Lilly and Circle Group
- GEV or XE: Which Alternative Energy Stock Is a Stronger Play Now?
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection, not financial advice.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 25, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| GE Vernova Inc 1GEV | €967.60 | €212.97 | -78% |
| SIEGY SIEGY | $155.06 | $89.54 | -42% |
| 1SIE 1SIE | €284.30 | €122.46 | -57% |
| SMAWF SMAWF | $307.12 | $176.28 | -43% |
| SMNS SMNS | C$31.76 | C$22.68 | -29% |
| SIE SIE | €258.40 | €144.67 | -44% |
| Schneider Electric S.E. SBGSF | $334.00 | $148.44 | -56% |
| Siemens Energy AG SMEGF | $182.39 | $47.02 | -74% |
| Eaton Corporation ETN | $418.61 | $207.98 | -50% |
| Atlas Copco AB ATCOA | kr 190.60 | kr 165.45 | -13% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.