X-Energy, Inc. Class A (XE) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of X-Energy, Inc. Class A $1.69, price $14.38, upside -88.3%, quality 19 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 2, 2026.
How to read this chart
5‑month range $13.83 – $35.98 · fair‑value band $1.11 – $2.11 · the $14.38 price screens above the $1.69 fair value. As of Oct 2, 2026.
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X-Energy, Inc. designs and develops nuclear reactor technology. The company manufactures nuclear fuels. It provides the Xe-100 reactor that is designed to generate 80 megawatts of electric power or 200 megawatts of thermal output (heat) and TRISO-X, a fuel for reactors. The company was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in Rockville, Maryland.
Stock analysis
X-Energy, Inc. Class A Common Stock (XE) currently trades at $14.38, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.69, 88.3% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: $1.11 (bear) to $2.11 (bull), the price of $14.38 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 19/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
X-Energy, Inc. Class A Common Stock reported revenue of $109M in FY2025 versus $77.0M in FY2021, a compound +9.1%/yr. Reported net income was −$390M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $6.4B · P/S ratio 42.6 · EPS (TTM) $−0.7000 · Net margin −299% · Return on equity −60.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) −73.6% · Operating margin −220% · Revenue (TTM) $150M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −49% fair-value upside, at −88%, XE screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $1.11Fair Value $1.69Bull $2.11
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.8/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
+29.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.3%
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−79.0% (2021) → −156.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (96 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 793 stocks
Beats the industry median on 1/7 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score26 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−87.9% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−11.9% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth196.2% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.16× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
P/B7.61× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)42.64× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 30
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)92· sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 26
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "X-Energy, Inc. Class A Common Stock Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/XE
Frequently asked questions
Is X-Energy, Inc. Class A (XE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.69 versus a price of $14.38, about −88% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of XE?
Our model-based fair value for X-Energy, Inc. Class A Common Stock is $1.69 (as of Oct 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $14.38.
What is the quality score of XE?
X-Energy, Inc. Class A Common Stock has a Quality Score of 19/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for X-Energy, Inc. Class A (XE)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $1.69 (as of Oct 2, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $1.11, optimistic scenario $2.11. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the X-Energy, Inc. Class A Common Stock stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $1.69, about −88% upside versus a price of $14.38 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $1.11, optimistic scenario $2.11. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of X-Energy, Inc. Class A (XE)?
X-Energy, Inc. Class A Common Stock reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $150M (latest available figure, as of Oct 2, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of X-Energy, Inc. Class A (XE)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For X-Energy, Inc. Class A Common Stock it is $1.69 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026), against a price of $14.38. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is X-Energy, Inc. Class A Common Stock stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 2, 2026, XE trades above its calculated fair value: price $14.38, fair value $1.69, a gap of about −88% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of XE?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($14.38); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($1.69). For X-Energy, Inc. Class A Common Stock the two are $12.69 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is X-Energy, Inc. Class A Common Stock worth?
The market values X-Energy, Inc. Class A Common Stock at about $6.4B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 2, 2026). Per share that is $14.38; our models calculate a fair value of $1.69 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about XE?
Our models span a range for X-Energy, Inc. Class A Common Stock: cautious scenario $1.11, base $1.69, optimistic $2.11 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026, price $14.38). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of X-Energy, Inc. Class A (XE)?
Balance-sheet figures for X-Energy, Inc. Class A Common Stock (as of Oct 2, 2026): return on equity −60.2%, debt of 0.16 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 19/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
Which stocks are comparable to X-Energy, Inc. Class A Common Stock?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value GE Vernova Inc, SIE, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is X-Energy, Inc. Class A Common Stock stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 2, 2026: price $14.38, calculated fair value $1.69 (−88%), Quality Score 19/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of XE calculated?
We run X-Energy, Inc. Class A Common Stock through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $1.69, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. X-Energy, Inc. Class A Common Stock itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of X-Energy, Inc. Class A (XE)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $14.38. Our model-based fair value is $1.69, about −88% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with X-Energy, Inc. Class A Common Stock right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($2.11). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (19/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range ($1.11 to $2.11) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of X-Energy, Inc. Class A Common Stock
How large is the market capitalisation of X-Energy, Inc. Class A (XE)?
The market capitalisation of X-Energy, Inc. Class A Common Stock is $6.4B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of X-Energy, Inc. Class A (XE)?
The price-to-sales ratio of X-Energy, Inc. Class A Common Stock is 42.6 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of X-Energy, Inc. Class A (XE)?
Earnings per share at X-Energy, Inc. Class A Common Stock are $−0.7000. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of X-Energy, Inc. Class A (XE)?
The net margin of X-Energy, Inc. Class A Common Stock is −299% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of X-Energy, Inc. Class A (XE)?
The return on equity (ROE) of X-Energy, Inc. Class A Common Stock is −60.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of X-Energy, Inc. Class A (XE)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of X-Energy, Inc. Class A Common Stock is −73.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of X-Energy, Inc. Class A (XE)?
The operating margin of X-Energy, Inc. Class A Common Stock is −220% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at X-Energy, Inc. Class A (XE)?
Revenue at X-Energy, Inc. Class A Common Stock is growing +196% versus a year earlier (3y avg +1.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does X-Energy, Inc. Class A (XE) generate?
The free cash flow of X-Energy, Inc. Class A Common Stock is −$267M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does X-Energy, Inc. Class A (XE) hold?
X-Energy, Inc. Class A Common Stock holds more cash than debt, $436M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Thin data
Oct 2, 2026