COMPASS GROUP LS-1105 (XGR2) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Jul 24, 2026: fair value of COMPASS GROUP LS-1105 €16.10, price €26.74, upside -39.8%, quality 58 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €9.59 – €33.47 · fair‑value band €11.25 – €20.32 · the €26.74 price screens above the €16.10 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.
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Compass Group PLC provides food and support services in North America and internationally. The company offers support services, such as cleaning in hospitals; reception services at corporate headquarters; managing remote camps; grounds and facilities services at schools and universities; insurance brokerage services; and others.
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Compass Group PLC provides food and support services in North America and internationally. The company offers support services, such as cleaning in hospitals; reception services at corporate headquarters; managing remote camps; grounds and facilities services at schools and universities; insurance brokerage services; and others. It serves business and industry; healthcare and senior living; education; sports and leisure; and defense, offshore, and remote sectors. The company was founded in 1941 and is based in Chertsey, the United Kingdom.
Stock analysis
COMPASS GROUP LS-1105 (XGR2) currently trades at €26.74, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €16.10, 39.8% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of €17.37 per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the €26.74 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at €2.67, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: €11.25 (bear) to €20.32 (bull), the price of €26.74 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
COMPASS GROUP LS-1105 reported revenue of $35.2B in FY2025 versus $17.9B in FY2021, a compound +18.4%/yr. Reported net income was $1.4B in FY2025, compounding +41.4%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.
Key figures
Market cap €45.4B · P/E ratio 25.7 · P/S ratio 1.04 · EPS (TTM) €1.04 · Dividend yield 2.2% · Net margin 4.1% · Return on equity 26.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 49 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at −40%, XGR2 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear €11.25Fair Value €16.10Bull €20.32
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then (€0.4476 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.83/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+32.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.0%
Revenue growth 24 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.6%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+35.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+33.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.2%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.33.3% vs 4.5%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.3% → 7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ 2024: reporting currency changed from GBP to USD; growth across this seam is distorted
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+7.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+21.0%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +5.4% a year for the price and +18.4% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Restaurants · 205 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score58 · Above median
Fair Value upside−17.3% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)26.9% · Top 25%
Return on assets7.3% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)4.2% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)6.7% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth10.7% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)2.2% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.58× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Restaurants median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)25.7× · Priciest 25%
P/B6.71× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "COMPASS GROUP LS-1105 Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/XGR2
Frequently asked questions
Is COMPASS GROUP LS-1105 (XGR2) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €16.10 versus the last price from Jul 24, 2026 of €26.74, about −40% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of XGR2?
Our model-based fair value for COMPASS GROUP LS-1105 is €16.10 (as of Sep 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Jul 24, 2026): €26.74.
What is the quality score of XGR2?
COMPASS GROUP LS-1105 has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for COMPASS GROUP LS-1105 (XGR2)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €16.10 (as of Sep 29, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario €11.25, optimistic scenario €20.32. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the COMPASS GROUP LS-1105 stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €16.10, about −40% upside versus the last price from Jul 24, 2026 of €26.74 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €11.25, optimistic scenario €20.32. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of COMPASS GROUP LS-1105 (XGR2)?
COMPASS GROUP LS-1105 reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €48.5B (latest available figure, as of Sep 29, 2026).
Does COMPASS GROUP LS-1105 pay a dividend?
COMPASS GROUP LS-1105 currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.22% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 29, 2026).
What growth is priced into COMPASS GROUP LS-1105 (XGR2)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, COMPASS GROUP LS-1105 would have to grow free cash flow by +7.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +12.1 % per year. As of Sep 29, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of XGR2 use?
Our models discount COMPASS GROUP LS-1105 at 8.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.65, country premium for Germany. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For COMPASS GROUP LS-1105 that is +7.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has COMPASS GROUP LS-1105 (XGR2) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at COMPASS GROUP LS-1105 grew +12.1 % a year. The price currently implies +7.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of COMPASS GROUP LS-1105 (XGR2) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.9 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into COMPASS GROUP LS-1105 (+7.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of COMPASS GROUP LS-1105 (XGR2)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 4.88 %: that much free cash flow COMPASS GROUP LS-1105 produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of COMPASS GROUP LS-1105 (XGR2)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For COMPASS GROUP LS-1105 it is €16.10 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026), against a price of €26.74. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is COMPASS GROUP LS-1105 stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 29, 2026, XGR2 trades above its calculated fair value: price €26.74, fair value €16.10, a gap of about −40% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of XGR2?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€26.74); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€16.10). For COMPASS GROUP LS-1105 the two are €10.64 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is COMPASS GROUP LS-1105 worth?
The market values COMPASS GROUP LS-1105 at about €45.4B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 29, 2026). Per share that is €26.74; our models calculate a fair value of €16.10 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about XGR2?
Our models span a range for COMPASS GROUP LS-1105: cautious scenario €11.25, base €16.10, optimistic €20.32 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026, price €26.74). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of XGR2?
COMPASS GROUP LS-1105 trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 25.7 (as of Sep 29, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €16.10 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.7, P/B 6.7, P/S 1.1, EV/EBITDA 14.4.
What is the PEG ratio of XGR2?
The PEG ratio of COMPASS GROUP LS-1105 is 1.69 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 29, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of COMPASS GROUP LS-1105 (XGR2)?
Balance-sheet figures for COMPASS GROUP LS-1105 (as of Sep 29, 2026): return on equity 26.9%, debt of 0.58 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 58/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is XGR2 from its 52-week high?
COMPASS GROUP LS-1105 trades at €26.74, about 12% below its 52-week high of €30.27 and 18% above the low of €22.72 (as of Jul 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €16.10 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to COMPASS GROUP LS-1105?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value McDonald's Corporation, Starbucks Corporation, Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc, Yum! Brands, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is COMPASS GROUP LS-1105 stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 29, 2026: price €26.74, calculated fair value €16.10 (−40%), Quality Score 58/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of XGR2 calculated?
We run COMPASS GROUP LS-1105 through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €16.10, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. COMPASS GROUP LS-1105 itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of COMPASS GROUP LS-1105 (XGR2)?
The latest price we hold is from Jul 24, 2026 and stands at €26.74. Our model-based fair value is €16.10, about −40% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with COMPASS GROUP LS-1105 right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€20.32). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (58/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (€11.25 to €20.32) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of COMPASS GROUP LS-1105 (XGR2) come from?
Earnings per share at COMPASS GROUP LS-1105 grew +4.9 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +7.4 %, EBIT margin −0.9 %, tax rate −0.5 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.9 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of COMPASS GROUP LS-1105
How large is the market capitalisation of COMPASS GROUP LS-1105 (XGR2)?
The market capitalisation of COMPASS GROUP LS-1105 is €45.4B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of COMPASS GROUP LS-1105 (XGR2)?
The price-to-sales ratio of COMPASS GROUP LS-1105 is 1.04 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of COMPASS GROUP LS-1105 (XGR2)?
Earnings per share at COMPASS GROUP LS-1105 are €1.04 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 25.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of COMPASS GROUP LS-1105 (XGR2)?
The dividend yield of COMPASS GROUP LS-1105 is 2.2% (payout 57.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of COMPASS GROUP LS-1105 (XGR2)?
The net margin of COMPASS GROUP LS-1105 is 4.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of COMPASS GROUP LS-1105 (XGR2)?
The return on equity (ROE) of COMPASS GROUP LS-1105 is 26.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of COMPASS GROUP LS-1105 (XGR2)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of COMPASS GROUP LS-1105 is 8.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of COMPASS GROUP LS-1105 (XGR2)?
The operating margin of COMPASS GROUP LS-1105 is 6.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at COMPASS GROUP LS-1105 (XGR2)?
Revenue at COMPASS GROUP LS-1105 is growing +10.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +11.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at COMPASS GROUP LS-1105 (XGR2)?
Earnings per share at COMPASS GROUP LS-1105 are growing +16.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does COMPASS GROUP LS-1105 (XGR2) carry?
The net debt of COMPASS GROUP LS-1105 is €6.4B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 2.9 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Sep 29, 2026