Chiron Real Estate Inc. (XRN) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Chiron Real Estate Inc. $90.04, price $35.57, upside +153.1%, quality 40 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $25.88 – $63.01 · fair‑value band $55.23 – $90.04 · the $35.57 price screens below the $90.04 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Chiron Real Estate Inc. is a net-lease medical REIT that acquires healthcare facilities and leases those facilities to physician groups and regional and national healthcare systems. Chiron Real Estate Inc. was established on March 18, 2011, incorporated in Maryland and is based in Bethesda, Maryland.
Stock analysis
Chiron Real Estate Inc. (XRN) currently trades at $35.57, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $90.04, implying the stock looks roughly 60.5% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $82.92 per share, and 5 of the 6 models we run sit above the $35.57 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $25.81, and 1 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $55.23 (bear) to $90.04 (bull), the price of $35.57 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Chiron Real Estate Inc. reported revenue of $161M in FY2025 versus $116M in FY2021, a compound +8.6%/yr. Reported net income was −$5.8M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $476M · P/S ratio 3.12 · EPS (TTM) $−1.13 · Dividend yield 9.5% · Net margin −3.6% · Return on equity −1.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.1% · Operating margin 23.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 44 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 24% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 6% fair-value upside, at 153%, XRN screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $55.23Fair Value $90.04Bull $90.04
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.18/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+16.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.5%
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
31.9% (2021) → 30.7% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Chiron Real Estate Inc. with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.REIT - Healthcare Facilities · 25 stocks
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Chiron Real Estate Inc. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/XRN
Frequently asked questions
Is Chiron Real Estate Inc. (XRN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $90.04 versus a price of $35.57, about +153% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of XRN?
Our model-based fair value for Chiron Real Estate Inc. is $90.04 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $35.57.
What is the quality score of XRN?
Chiron Real Estate Inc. has a Quality Score of 40/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Chiron Real Estate Inc. (XRN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $90.04 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario $55.23, optimistic scenario $90.04. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Chiron Real Estate Inc. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $90.04, about +153% upside versus a price of $35.57 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $55.23, optimistic scenario $90.04. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Chiron Real Estate Inc. (XRN)?
Chiron Real Estate Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $152M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Chiron Real Estate Inc. pay a dividend?
Chiron Real Estate Inc. currently shows a dividend yield of about 9.47% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Chiron Real Estate Inc. (XRN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Chiron Real Estate Inc. it is $90.04 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $35.57. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Chiron Real Estate Inc. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, XRN trades below its calculated fair value: price $35.57, fair value $90.04, a gap of about +153% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of XRN?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($35.57); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($90.04). For Chiron Real Estate Inc. the two are $54.47 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Chiron Real Estate Inc. worth?
The market values Chiron Real Estate Inc. at about $476M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $35.57; our models calculate a fair value of $90.04 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about XRN?
Our models span a range for Chiron Real Estate Inc.: cautious scenario $55.23, base $90.04, optimistic $90.04 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $35.57). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of XRN?
The PEG ratio of Chiron Real Estate Inc. is 5.09 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Chiron Real Estate Inc. (XRN)?
Balance-sheet figures for Chiron Real Estate Inc. (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −1.7%, debt of 0.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 40/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is XRN from its 52-week high?
Chiron Real Estate Inc. trades at $35.57, about 7% below its 52-week high of $38.10 and 24% above the low of $28.75 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $90.04 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Chiron Real Estate Inc.?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Welltower Inc, Ventas, Inc, Omega Healthcare Investors, Inc, Healthpeak Properties, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Chiron Real Estate Inc. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $35.57, calculated fair value $90.04 (+153%), Quality Score 40/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of XRN calculated?
We run Chiron Real Estate Inc. through 6 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $90.04, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Chiron Real Estate Inc. currently trades 153 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Chiron Real Estate Inc. (XRN)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $35.57. Our model-based fair value is $90.04, about +153% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Chiron Real Estate Inc. right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (40/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case ($55.23). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Key figures of Chiron Real Estate Inc.
How large is the market capitalisation of Chiron Real Estate Inc. (XRN)?
The market capitalisation of Chiron Real Estate Inc. is $476M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Chiron Real Estate Inc. (XRN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Chiron Real Estate Inc. is 3.12 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Chiron Real Estate Inc. (XRN)?
Earnings per share at Chiron Real Estate Inc. are $−1.13. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Chiron Real Estate Inc. (XRN)?
The dividend yield of Chiron Real Estate Inc. is 9.5%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Chiron Real Estate Inc. (XRN)?
The net margin of Chiron Real Estate Inc. is −3.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Chiron Real Estate Inc. (XRN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Chiron Real Estate Inc. is −1.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Chiron Real Estate Inc. (XRN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Chiron Real Estate Inc. is 3.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Chiron Real Estate Inc. (XRN)?
The operating margin of Chiron Real Estate Inc. is 23.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Chiron Real Estate Inc. (XRN)?
Revenue at Chiron Real Estate Inc. is growing +10.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Chiron Real Estate Inc. (XRN) generate?
The free cash flow of Chiron Real Estate Inc. is −$8.1M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Chiron Real Estate Inc. (XRN) carry?
The net debt of Chiron Real Estate Inc. is $651M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Sep 23, 2026