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Olive Resource Capital Inc (XTERF) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · US · Market cap $4.3M

OR Olive Resource Capital Inc logo Olive Resource Capital Inc XTERF · US
Price$0.0420
Fair Value$0.0476
Upside+13.3%
Quality62/100
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Weak Growth
Highly profitable · 83.1% net margin
negative free cash flow
Ranks above peers (10/10)
Wide moat 85/100
Evidence: High Range $0.0379 – $0.1081 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 31, 2026

From 15 valuation models · updated 10 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 31, 2026, revised from $0.0479 to $0.0476 (−0.6%) since Jun 26, 2026.

A solid business, screening 13% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide ($0.0379 to $0.1081). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Our model range runs from $0.0379 (bear) to $0.1081 (bull), base $0.0476. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 62/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$0.1229 $0.0042 Fair Value $0.0476 Nov 2015 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 31, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.0042 – $0.1229 · fair‑value band $0.0379 – $0.1081 · the $0.0420 price screens below the $0.0476 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 31, 2026.

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Analysis

Olive Resource Capital Inc (XTERF) currently trades at $0.0420, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0476, implying the stock looks roughly 13.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Olive Resource Capital Inc generated revenue of $10.9M at a net margin of 83.1%. Revenue grew 13.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 76.2%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 0.8. Fundamentals as of Jul 31, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.0379 (bear case) to $0.1081 (bull case); at $0.0420, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -34% fair-value upside, at 13%, XTERF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $0.6200 $1.04 $18.84 76
Growth-Adj P/E $2.62 $3.74 $4.87 68
ROIC Compounder $0.6700 $0.8900 $1.14 67
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $0.9700 $1.90 $3.53 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $0.5900 $4.12 $5.78 54
Lynch FV $2.13 $3.04 $3.95 50
PEG = 1.0 $2.13 $3.04 $3.95 46
EPV $0.5600 $0.6300 $0.6800 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $1.11 $1.48 $1.85 63
P/S Multiple $0.0200 $0.0200 $0.0300 58
P/B Multiple $0.3300 $0.4500 $0.5600 55
EV/EBIT $0.9200 $1.22 $1.53 53
EV/EBITDA $0.6600 $0.8700 $1.09 54
EV/Revenue $0.0200 $0.0300 $0.0400 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.0700 $0.1000 $0.1500 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $0.6200 $1.04 $18.84 76
ROIC Compounder $0.6700 $0.8900 $1.14 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $2.62 $3.74 $4.87 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($3.74) versus Asset-Based ($0.1000). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $10.9M
Revenue growth (YoY) +13.2%
Net margin 83.1%
Return on equity 76.2%
Free cash flow −$463K FY2025
P/E ratio 0.8
More key figures
Operating margin 83.6%
EPS (TTM) $0.0500
Net cash $328K FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 62/100

Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 61

Profitability 64
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 69
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 81
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 26
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 63
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Olive Resource Capital Inc. operates as a resource-focused merchant bank and investment company. It also invests in natural resource companies in all stages of development. The company was formerly known as Norvista Capital Corporation and changed its name to Olive Resource Capital Inc. in January 2022. Olive Resource Capital Inc.

Full company description

Olive Resource Capital Inc. operates as a resource-focused merchant bank and investment company. It also invests in natural resource companies in all stages of development. The company was formerly known as Norvista Capital Corporation and changed its name to Olive Resource Capital Inc. in January 2022. Olive Resource Capital Inc. is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Olive Resource Capital Inc reported revenue of $1.7M in FY2025 versus −$307K in FY2021. Reported net income was $9.0M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 19/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$1.7M
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−16.5%
Avg. growth/yr (29Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.3%
Revenue
FY21 −$307K
FY22 −$3.1M
FY23 $1.4M
FY24 $76.1K
FY25 $1.7M
Net income
FY21 −$1.8M
FY22 −$3.8M
FY23 $631K
FY24 −$542K
FY25 $9.0M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Olive Resource Capital Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/XTERF

Peer Group

Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 475 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 62 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +19% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 76% · Top 25%
Return on assets 45% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 83% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 84% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 13% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 0.8× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.28× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.40× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 59 · sector 0
FUTURE 66 · sector 23
PAST 100 · sector 0
HEALTH 0 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 21

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 31, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
BHP Group BHPN 1,425 MXN 942.42 MXN -34%
Rio Tinto Group RIO A$164.89 A$81.76 -50%
Grupo México, S.A. GMEXICOB 199.23 MXN 187.72 MXN -6%
Vale S.A VALE $14.19 $9.14 -36%
Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 58.05 SAR 33.87 SAR -42%
CMOC Group 603993 ¥18.20 ¥16.15 -11%
Fortescue Ltd FMG A$18.47 A$18.62 +1%
China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 ¥74.71 ¥9.55 -87%
Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC ₹521.95 ₹576.80 +11%
China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co 600111 ¥39.56 ¥10.59 -73%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Olive Resource Capital Inc (XTERF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 31, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0476 versus a price of $0.0420, about +13% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of XTERF?
Our model-based fair value for Olive Resource Capital Inc is $0.0476 (as of Jul 31, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $0.0420.
What is the quality score of XTERF?
Olive Resource Capital Inc has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Olive Resource Capital Inc (XTERF)?
Olive Resource Capital Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $10.9M (latest available figure, as of Jul 31, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of XTERF?
The net profit margin of Olive Resource Capital Inc is about 83.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 83.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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