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Yduqs Participações S.A (YDUQ3) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · BR · Market cap R$2.2B

YP Yduqs Participações S.A YDUQ3 · SA
PriceR$7.96
Fair ValueR$15.69
Upside+97.1%
Quality58/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 2.1% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
6.44% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (9/15)
Moderate moat 47/100
Evidence: High Range R$11.77 – R$19.61 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from R$15.35 to R$15.69 (+2.2%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −3.7% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 97% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (R$11.77). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (58/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

R$31.31 R$5.82 Fair Value R$15.69 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range R$5.82 – R$31.31 · fair‑value band R$11.77 – R$19.61 · the R$7.96 price screens below the R$15.69 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

Yduqs Participações S.A (YDUQ3) currently trades at R$7.96, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$15.69, implying the stock looks roughly 97.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Yduqs Participações S.A generated revenue of R$5.5B at a net margin of 2.1%. Revenue grew 1.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.8%. Net debt stands at R$4.7B. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from R$11.77 (bear case) to R$19.61 (bull case); at R$7.96, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 53% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 17% fair-value upside, at 97%, YDUQ3 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF R$32.53 R$57.38 R$95.35 80
Residual Income R$9.13 R$9.49 R$9.62 76
Rev-Margin DCF R$17.14 R$30.61 R$47.16 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF R$32.43 R$58.57 R$99.41 38
Owner Earnings R$15.51 R$30.89 R$54.92 31
5Y Revenue Exit R$17.14 R$30.34 R$47.09 39
5Y EBITDA Exit R$44.91 R$84.79 R$133.12 41
5Y P/E Exit R$12.57 R$21.38 R$30.57 38
10Y Revenue Exit R$21.74 R$35.41 R$54.03 36
10Y EBITDA Exit R$39.94 R$73.33 R$121.11 37
10Y P/E Exit R$19.40 R$29.17 R$41.14 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd R$4.85 R$18.65 R$25.27 54
Lynch FV R$4.55 R$6.51 R$8.46 50
PEG = 1.0 R$4.55 R$6.51 R$8.46 46
EPV R$25.77 R$31.20 R$35.89 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM R$5.18 R$10.31 R$15.62 70
DDM Multi-Stage R$5.18 R$8.91 R$10.89 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple R$11.77 R$15.69 R$19.61 63
P/S Multiple R$9.09 R$12.13 R$15.16 58
P/B Multiple R$9.09 R$12.13 R$15.16 55
EV/EBIT R$48.14 R$67.06 R$85.99 53
EV/EBITDA R$58.06 R$80.29 R$102.53 54
EV/Revenue R$9.58 R$17.39 R$25.20 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) R$5.79 R$7.75 R$11.57 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF R$32.53 R$57.38 R$95.35 80
Rev-Margin DCF R$17.14 R$30.61 R$47.16 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income R$9.13 R$9.49 R$9.62 76
ROIC Compounder R$29.09 R$40.28 R$54.19 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E R$8.47 R$12.11 R$15.74 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (R$30.89) versus Earnings-Based (R$6.51). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) R$5.5B
Revenue growth (YoY) +1.5%
Net margin 2.1%
Return on equity 3.8%
Free cash flow R$912M FY2025
P/E ratio 20.2
More key figures
Operating margin 22.8%
EPS (TTM) R$0.4400
Dividend yield 6.4%
EPS growth (YoY) -46.7%
Net debt R$4.7B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 58/100

Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 22

Profitability 35
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 33
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 77
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 24
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 83
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 65
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 6
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 1
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Yduqs Participações S.A. provides higher education services in Brazil. The company offers face-to-face, semi-face-to-face, and distance education under the Estácio, Ibmec, IDOMED, Wyden, and Damásio brands.

Full company description

Yduqs Participações S.A. provides higher education services in Brazil. The company offers face-to-face, semi-face-to-face, and distance education under the Estácio, Ibmec, IDOMED, Wyden, and Damásio brands. It also operates two edtechs to prepare the candidates for exams and competitions, including HardWork Medicina and Grupo Q which offers Qconcursos solutions. The company was formerly known as Estácio Participações S.A. Yduqs Participações S.A. was founded in 1970 and is based in Rio De Janeiro, Brazil.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Yduqs Participações S.A reported revenue of R$5.5B in FY2025 versus R$4.4B in FY2021, a compound +5.9%/yr. Reported net income was R$181M in FY2025, compounding +3.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 75/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
R$5.5B
Latest YoY
+3.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.5%
Avg. growth/yr (21Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.8%
Revenue +5.9%/yr
FY21 R$4.4B
FY22 R$4.6B
FY23 R$5.1B
FY24 R$5.4B
FY25 R$5.5B
Net income +3.5%/yr
FY21 R$158M
FY22 −R$58.2M
FY23 R$152M
FY24 R$341M
FY25 R$181M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Yduqs Participações S.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/YDUQ3

Peer Group

Education & Training Services · 148 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 58 · Above median
Fair Value upside +97% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Below median
Return on assets 7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 23% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 6.4% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 1.08× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Education & Training Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 20.0× · Pricier than median
P/B 0.74× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.40× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.5× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 3.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 0.78× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 37
FUTURE 8 · sector 24
PAST 15 · sector 18
HEALTH 46 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 66

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Education & Training Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
New Oriental Education & Technology Group EDUN 966.48 MXN 897.37 MXN -7%
TAL Education Group TAL $10.24 $15.60 +52%
Laureate Education, Inc LAUR $36.45 $41.45 +14%
Physicswallah Limited PWL ₹131.59 ₹14.81 -89%
Grand Canyon Education, Inc LOPE $149.00 $152.01 +2%
Covista Inc CVSA $116.22 $135.45 +17%
Stride, Inc LRN $83.39 $139.45 +67%
Universal Technical Institute, Inc UTI $40.33 $21.35 -47%
Perdoceo Education Corporation PRDO $31.66 $41.45 +31%
Strategic Education, Inc STRA $84.18 $105.48 +25%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Yduqs Participações S.A (YDUQ3) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of R$15.69 versus a price of R$7.96, about +97% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of YDUQ3?
Our model-based fair value for Yduqs Participações S.A is R$15.69 (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is R$7.96.
What is the quality score of YDUQ3?
Yduqs Participações S.A has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Yduqs Participações S.A (YDUQ3)?
Yduqs Participações S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about R$5.5B (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of YDUQ3?
The net profit margin of Yduqs Participações S.A is about 2.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 2.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Yduqs Participações S.A pay a dividend?
Yduqs Participações S.A currently shows a dividend yield of about 6.42% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 18, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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