MingZhu Logistics Holdings Ltd (YGMZF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of MingZhu Logistics Holdings Ltd $0.00, price $0.00, upside +50.0%, quality 30 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.0017 – $610.56 · the $0.0026 price screens below the $0.0039 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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MingZhu Logistics Holdings Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides trucking services to the transportation industry in the People's Republic of China. It operates through three segments: Trucking Services, Car Owner Services, and Liquor Distribution. The company also offers car owner and liquor distribution services.
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MingZhu Logistics Holdings Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides trucking services to the transportation industry in the People's Republic of China. It operates through three segments: Trucking Services, Car Owner Services, and Liquor Distribution. The company also offers car owner and liquor distribution services. It serves sizeable third-party logistics companies, freight forwarders, and warehouse operators, as well as other supply chain service providers. The company was founded in 2002 and is based in Shenzhen, the People's Republic of China.
Stock analysis
MingZhu Logistics Holdings Ltd (YGMZF) currently trades at $0.0026, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0039, implying the stock looks roughly 33.3% undervalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 91/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 30/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
MingZhu Logistics Holdings Ltd reported revenue of $40.4M in FY2024 versus $18.8M in FY2020, a compound +21.1%/yr. Reported net income was −$6.2M in FY2024.
Key figures
Market cap $14.0K · P/E ratio 0.0 · EPS (TTM) $4.69 · Net margin −15.3% · Return on equity −4.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.1% · Operating margin −7.5% · Revenue (TTM) $31.2M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 22 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 100% below its 52-week high and 53% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −60% fair-value upside, at 50%, YGMZF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.0039Fair Value $0.0039Bull $0.0039
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2024 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then ($4.69 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.13/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−54.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+32.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.6%
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.1%
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
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’24
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
9.1% (2019) → −10.0% (2024)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2024 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare MingZhu Logistics Holdings Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Trucking · 45 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/8 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score29 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+50.0% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets3.5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)−7.6% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−7.5% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−40.4% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.01× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Trucking median · lower = cheaper
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Is MingZhu Logistics Holdings Ltd (YGMZF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0039 versus a price of $0.0026, about +50% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of YGMZF?
Our model-based fair value for MingZhu Logistics Holdings Ltd is $0.0039 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.0026.
What is the quality score of YGMZF?
MingZhu Logistics Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 30/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for MingZhu Logistics Holdings Ltd (YGMZF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.0039 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 1 valuation models. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the MingZhu Logistics Holdings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.0039, about +50% upside versus a price of $0.0026 (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of MingZhu Logistics Holdings Ltd (YGMZF)?
MingZhu Logistics Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $31.2M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of MingZhu Logistics Holdings Ltd (YGMZF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For MingZhu Logistics Holdings Ltd it is $0.0039 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of $0.0026. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is MingZhu Logistics Holdings Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, YGMZF trades below its calculated fair value: price $0.0026, fair value $0.0039, a gap of about +50% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of YGMZF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.0026); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.0039). For MingZhu Logistics Holdings Ltd the two are $0.0013 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is MingZhu Logistics Holdings Ltd worth?
The market values MingZhu Logistics Holdings Ltd at about $14.0K (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is $0.0026; our models calculate a fair value of $0.0039 per share.
What is the P/E ratio of YGMZF?
MingZhu Logistics Holdings Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 0.0 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $0.0039 is built from several models across several years.
How solid is the balance sheet of MingZhu Logistics Holdings Ltd (YGMZF)?
Balance-sheet figures for MingZhu Logistics Holdings Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −4.0%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 30/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is YGMZF from its 52-week high?
MingZhu Logistics Holdings Ltd trades at $0.0026, about 100% below its 52-week high of $16.00 and 53% above the low of $0.0017 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.0039 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to MingZhu Logistics Holdings Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc, XPO, Inc, Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings, TFI International Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is MingZhu Logistics Holdings Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price $0.0026, calculated fair value $0.0039 (+50%), Quality Score 30/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of YGMZF calculated?
We run MingZhu Logistics Holdings Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.0039, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. MingZhu Logistics Holdings Ltd currently trades 33 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of MingZhu Logistics Holdings Ltd (YGMZF)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was $0.0026. Our model-based fair value is $0.0039, about +50% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with MingZhu Logistics Holdings Ltd right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (30/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case ($0.0039). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of MingZhu Logistics Holdings Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of MingZhu Logistics Holdings Ltd (YGMZF)?
The market capitalisation of MingZhu Logistics Holdings Ltd is $14.0K. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of MingZhu Logistics Holdings Ltd (YGMZF)?
Earnings per share at MingZhu Logistics Holdings Ltd are $4.69 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 0.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of MingZhu Logistics Holdings Ltd (YGMZF)?
The net margin of MingZhu Logistics Holdings Ltd is −15.3% (fiscal year 2024). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of MingZhu Logistics Holdings Ltd (YGMZF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of MingZhu Logistics Holdings Ltd is −4.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of MingZhu Logistics Holdings Ltd (YGMZF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of MingZhu Logistics Holdings Ltd is −0.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of MingZhu Logistics Holdings Ltd (YGMZF)?
The operating margin of MingZhu Logistics Holdings Ltd is −7.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at MingZhu Logistics Holdings Ltd (YGMZF)?
Revenue at MingZhu Logistics Holdings Ltd is growing −40.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +32.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does MingZhu Logistics Holdings Ltd (YGMZF) generate?
The free cash flow of MingZhu Logistics Holdings Ltd is −$2.7M (fiscal year 2024). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does MingZhu Logistics Holdings Ltd (YGMZF) carry?
The net debt of MingZhu Logistics Holdings Ltd is $3.0M (fiscal year 2024). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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