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Yimutian Inc (YMT) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · US · Market cap $4.3M

YI Yimutian Inc logo Yimutian Inc YMT · US
Price$0.3480
Fair Value$0.7395
Upside+112.5%
Quality27/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -33.2% net margin
Negative equity (buybacks among others) · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/8)
Narrow moat 10/100
Evidence: Low Range $0.4883 – $0.9247 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 25, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 17 days ago

Share price −33.1% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 113% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (27/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($0.4883). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range ($0.4883 to $0.9247) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

$42.00 $0.2990 Fair Value $0.7395 Aug 2025 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Jul 25, 2026.

How to read this chart

12‑month range $0.2990 – $42.00 · fair‑value band $0.4883 – $0.9247 · the $0.3480 price screens below the $0.7395 fair value. As of Jul 25, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Yimutian Inc (YMT) currently trades at $0.3480, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.7395, implying the stock looks roughly 112.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 27/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Yimutian Inc generated revenue of $141M at a net margin of -33.2%. Revenue declined 7.7% year over year. Net debt stands at $17.7M. Fundamentals as of Jul 25, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.4883 (bear case) to $0.9247 (bull case); at $0.3480, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at 113%, YMT screens cheaper than that median.

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $141M
Revenue growth (YoY) -7.7%
Net margin -33.2%
Free cash flow −$50.0M FY2025
Operating margin -36.5%
EPS (TTM) $-1.66
More key figures
Net debt $17.7M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 25, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 27/100

Of which business quality 31 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 0

Profitability 41
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 57
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 12
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 33
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 50
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 0
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Yimutian Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides agricultural B2B platform services for agricultural product transaction in the People's Republic of China.

Full company description

Yimutian Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides agricultural B2B platform services for agricultural product transaction in the People's Republic of China. The company develops Yimutian App, an agricultural product B2B e-commerce platform; and Douniu App, an online agricultural product wholesale market circulation platform that matches offline transactions of agricultural products between sellers and wholesale buyers. The company also provides digital agricultural commerce services; agricultural sourcing and trading services; smart farming; and other digital agricultural solutions, which includes consulting, brand promotion, and digital agricultural training programs, as well as engages in the farming business. Yimutian Inc. was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in Haidian, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Yimutian Inc reported revenue of $141M in FY2025 versus $131M in FY2021, a compound +1.9%/yr. Reported net income was −$46.6M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$141M
Latest YoY
−12.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−3.4%
Revenue +1.9%/yr
FY21 $131M
FY22 $156M
FY23 $188M
FY24 $161M
FY25 $141M
Net income
FY21 −$181M
FY22 −$116M
FY23 −$106M
FY24 −$34.9M
FY25 −$46.6M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Yimutian Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/YMT

Peer Group

Software - Application · 709 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 31 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +113% · Top 25%
Return on assets -24% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -33% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -36% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -8% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.03× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 38
PAST 0 · sector 13
HEALTH 0 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 28

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Insider activity: 45/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 25, 2026).

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Uber Technologies, Inc UBER $72.67 $51.11 -30%
Salesforce, Inc CRM $170.77 $182.10 +7%
ServiceNow, Inc NOW $107.71 $33.12 -69%
Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS $384.17 $80.41 -79%
Snowflake Inc SNOW $271.87 $34.04 -87%
Adobe Inc ADBE $230.61 $379.48 +65%
Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP $241.92 $177.51 -27%
Intuit Inc INTU $291.09 $258.69 -11%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Yimutian Inc (YMT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 25, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.7395 versus a price of $0.3480, about +113% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of YMT?
Our model-based fair value for Yimutian Inc is $0.7395 (as of Jul 25, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $0.3480.
What is the quality score of YMT?
Yimutian Inc has a Quality Score of 27/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Yimutian Inc (YMT)?
Yimutian Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $141M (latest available figure, as of Jul 25, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of YMT?
The net profit margin of Yimutian Inc is about -33.2%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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