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Yimutian Inc. (YMT) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Yimutian Inc. is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

Valuation from Sep 23, 2026. With the latest figures (losses, negative cash flow), a fair value can no longer be calculated.
  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Technology · US · ADR · ISIN US9859152061

YI Yimutian Inc. logo Thin data Sep 23, 2026

Yimutian Inc.

YMT · US

Cheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.

✓Fair value $1.96 · Strongly undervalued (+75.3%)
!Quality 24/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 3y −3.4 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -33.2% net margin (TTM)
!Negative equity (buybacks among others) · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (1/6)
!Narrow moat 10/100
!Insider activity 45/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$672.00 $1.12 Fair Value $1.96 Aug 2025 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

13‑month range $1.12 – $672.00 · fair‑value band $1.30 – $2.45 · the $1.12 price screens below the $1.96 fair value. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Yimutian Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides agricultural B2B platform services for agricultural product transaction in the People's Republic of China.

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Yimutian Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides agricultural B2B platform services for agricultural product transaction in the People's Republic of China. The company develops Yimutian App, an agricultural product B2B e-commerce platform; and Douniu App, an online agricultural product wholesale market circulation platform that matches offline transactions of agricultural products between sellers and wholesale buyers. The company also provides digital agricultural commerce services; agricultural sourcing and trading services; smart farming; and other digital agricultural solutions, which includes consulting, brand promotion, and digital agricultural training programs, as well as engages in the farming business. Yimutian Inc. was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in Haidian, China.

Stock analysis

Yimutian Inc. American Depositary Shares (YMT) currently trades at $1.12, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.96, implying the stock looks roughly 42.9% undervalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 80/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: $1.30 (bear) to $2.45 (bull), the price of $1.12 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 24/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Yimutian Inc. American Depositary Shares reported revenue of 141M CNY in FY2025 versus 131M CNY in FY2021, a compound +1.9%/yr. Reported net income was −46.6M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $920K · EPS (TTM) $−26.84 · Net margin −33.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) −87.8% · Operating margin −36.5% · Revenue (TTM) $141M · Revenue growth (YoY) −7.7% · Free cash flow −$50.0M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 100% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −8% fair-value upside, at 75%, YMT screens cheaper than that median.

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 24/100

Of which business quality 28 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 0

Profitability 41
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 37
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 12
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 33
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 50
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 0
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−12.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.4%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−92.8% (2021) → −29.7% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Application · 687 stocks

Beats the industry median on 0/5 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 28 · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Return on assets −23.5% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −33.2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −36.5% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −7.7% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.

Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper

P/B Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 27
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 41
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 15
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 30

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
SAP SE SAP €186.74 €172.46 −8%
Salesforce, Inc CRM $229.57 $342.73 +49%
Shopify Inc SHOP $144.01 $64.36 −55%
ServiceNow, Inc NOW $134.01 $147.41 +10%
Uber Technologies, Inc UBER $69.36 $103.69 +49%
Snowflake Inc SNOW $330.31 $74.36 −77%
Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP $261.80 $150.01 −43%
Adobe Inc ADBE $239.94 $454.04 +89%
Datadog, Inc DDOG $268.70 $32.52 −88%
Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS $326.70 $225.48 −31%

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Yimutian Inc. American Depositary Shares · Fair Value
$1.96 +43%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Yimutian Inc. American Depositary Shares Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/YMT

Frequently asked questions

Is Yimutian Inc. (YMT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.96 versus a price of $1.12, about +75% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of YMT?
Our model-based fair value for Yimutian Inc. American Depositary Shares is $1.96 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $1.12.
What is the quality score of YMT?
Yimutian Inc. American Depositary Shares has a Quality Score of 24/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Yimutian Inc. (YMT)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $1.96 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $1.30, optimistic scenario $2.45. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Yimutian Inc. American Depositary Shares stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $1.96, about +75% upside versus a price of $1.12 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $1.30, optimistic scenario $2.45. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Yimutian Inc. (YMT)?
Yimutian Inc. American Depositary Shares reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $141M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Yimutian Inc. (YMT)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Yimutian Inc. American Depositary Shares it is $1.96 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $1.12. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Yimutian Inc. American Depositary Shares stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, YMT trades below its calculated fair value: price $1.12, fair value $1.96, a gap of about +75% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of YMT?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($1.12); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($1.96). For Yimutian Inc. American Depositary Shares the two are $0.8430 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Yimutian Inc. American Depositary Shares worth?
The market values Yimutian Inc. American Depositary Shares at about $920K (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $1.12; our models calculate a fair value of $1.96 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about YMT?
Our models span a range for Yimutian Inc. American Depositary Shares: cautious scenario $1.30, base $1.96, optimistic $2.45 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $1.12). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Yimutian Inc. (YMT)?
Balance-sheet figures for Yimutian Inc. American Depositary Shares (as of Sep 23, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 24/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is YMT from its 52-week high?
Yimutian Inc. American Depositary Shares trades at $1.12, about 100% below its 52-week high of $504.00 and at the low of $1.12 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $1.96 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Yimutian Inc. American Depositary Shares?
From the same area (Technology) we also value SAP SE, Salesforce, Inc, Shopify Inc, ServiceNow, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Yimutian Inc. American Depositary Shares stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $1.12, calculated fair value $1.96 (+75%), Quality Score 24/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of YMT calculated?
We run Yimutian Inc. American Depositary Shares through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $1.96, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Yimutian Inc. American Depositary Shares currently trades 43 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Yimutian Inc. (YMT)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $1.12. Our model-based fair value is $1.96, about +75% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Yimutian Inc. American Depositary Shares right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (24/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case ($1.30). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range ($1.30 to $2.45) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Yimutian Inc. American Depositary Shares

How large is the market capitalisation of Yimutian Inc. (YMT)?
The market capitalisation of Yimutian Inc. American Depositary Shares is $920K. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Yimutian Inc. (YMT)?
Earnings per share at Yimutian Inc. American Depositary Shares are $−26.84. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Yimutian Inc. (YMT)?
The net margin of Yimutian Inc. American Depositary Shares is −33.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Yimutian Inc. (YMT)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Yimutian Inc. American Depositary Shares is −87.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Yimutian Inc. (YMT)?
The operating margin of Yimutian Inc. American Depositary Shares is −36.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Yimutian Inc. (YMT)?
Revenue at Yimutian Inc. American Depositary Shares is growing −7.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −3.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Yimutian Inc. (YMT) generate?
The free cash flow of Yimutian Inc. American Depositary Shares is −$50.0M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Yimutian Inc. (YMT) carry?
The net debt of Yimutian Inc. American Depositary Shares is $17.7M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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